Theis Builds
@theisbuilds.bsky.social
Lies are free. Truth costs money.
Tracking prediction markets across Polymarket + Kalshi.
in10x.com
Tracking prediction markets across Polymarket + Kalshi.
in10x.com
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by month end?
Meituan at 0% odds. But $1.5M has traded on this question.
High volume, low confidence. The crowd is watching but skeptical.
in10x.com
Meituan at 0% odds. But $1.5M has traded on this question.
High volume, low confidence. The crowd is watching but skeptical.
in10x.com
January 13, 2026 at 11:17 AM
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by month end?
Meituan at 0% odds. But $1.5M has traded on this question.
High volume, low confidence. The crowd is watching but skeptical.
in10x.com
Meituan at 0% odds. But $1.5M has traded on this question.
High volume, low confidence. The crowd is watching but skeptical.
in10x.com
Will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine this month?
The money says 3%. Over $1M traded on this question.
Despite all the headlines about peace talks, the crowd isn't buying it. I trust the money.
The money says 3%. Over $1M traded on this question.
Despite all the headlines about peace talks, the crowd isn't buying it. I trust the money.
January 13, 2026 at 11:14 AM
Will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine this month?
The money says 3%. Over $1M traded on this question.
Despite all the headlines about peace talks, the crowd isn't buying it. I trust the money.
The money says 3%. Over $1M traded on this question.
Despite all the headlines about peace talks, the crowd isn't buying it. I trust the money.
Everyone has an opinion on what the Fed will do next week.
The money says 95% chance they hold rates steady. Nearly $9M bet across Fed scenarios on Polymarket alone.
I don't know if they're right. But I trust a crowd with skin in the game.
in10x.com
The money says 95% chance they hold rates steady. Nearly $9M bet across Fed scenarios on Polymarket alone.
I don't know if they're right. But I trust a crowd with skin in the game.
in10x.com
In10x - Own a Piece of AI
Earn a piece of AI. Or be owned by it. Join the community-owned AI startup radar.
in10x.com
January 12, 2026 at 8:40 AM
Everyone has an opinion on what the Fed will do next week.
The money says 95% chance they hold rates steady. Nearly $9M bet across Fed scenarios on Polymarket alone.
I don't know if they're right. But I trust a crowd with skin in the game.
in10x.com
The money says 95% chance they hold rates steady. Nearly $9M bet across Fed scenarios on Polymarket alone.
I don't know if they're right. But I trust a crowd with skin in the game.
in10x.com
Pundits already arguing about 2028.
The money says Newsom at 35%. Shapiro 12%. Pritzker 10%. Everyone else in single digits.
It's three years out. But money moves before narratives. I check the odds.
in10x.com
The money says Newsom at 35%. Shapiro 12%. Pritzker 10%. Everyone else in single digits.
It's three years out. But money moves before narratives. I check the odds.
in10x.com
In10x - Own a Piece of AI
Earn a piece of AI. Or be owned by it. Join the community-owned AI startup radar.
in10x.com
January 12, 2026 at 8:39 AM
Pundits already arguing about 2028.
The money says Newsom at 35%. Shapiro 12%. Pritzker 10%. Everyone else in single digits.
It's three years out. But money moves before narratives. I check the odds.
in10x.com
The money says Newsom at 35%. Shapiro 12%. Pritzker 10%. Everyone else in single digits.
It's three years out. But money moves before narratives. I check the odds.
in10x.com
🔔 Teddy Swims surges to 43% odds for Super Bowl LX halftime after being announced for Madden Bowl during Super Bowl week. The Grammy-nominated artist is now a serious contender alongside Kendrick Lamar.
January 11, 2026 at 6:02 PM
🔔 Teddy Swims surges to 43% odds for Super Bowl LX halftime after being announced for Madden Bowl during Super Bowl week. The Grammy-nominated artist is now a serious contender alongside Kendrick Lamar.
🔔 "No one announced as next James Bond" now at 38% odds - up 5%. Eon Productions remains silent as fans celebrate another James Bond Day without knowing who 007 will be.
January 11, 2026 at 6:00 PM
🔔 "No one announced as next James Bond" now at 38% odds - up 5%. Eon Productions remains silent as fans celebrate another James Bond Day without knowing who 007 will be.
🔔 Odds of Netanyahu leaving office by end of 2026 hit 54% - up 7% this week. Markets pricing in potential political reckoning amid ongoing coalition tensions and ceasefire negotiations.
January 11, 2026 at 5:58 PM
🔔 Odds of Netanyahu leaving office by end of 2026 hit 54% - up 7% this week. Markets pricing in potential political reckoning amid ongoing coalition tensions and ceasefire negotiations.
Day 2 of In10x:
You build → Claude writes the post → published.
Free MCP for Claude Desktop & Cursor: in10x.com
#buildinpublic
You build → Claude writes the post → published.
Free MCP for Claude Desktop & Cursor: in10x.com
#buildinpublic
January 2, 2026 at 2:21 PM
Day 2 of In10x:
You build → Claude writes the post → published.
Free MCP for Claude Desktop & Cursor: in10x.com
#buildinpublic
You build → Claude writes the post → published.
Free MCP for Claude Desktop & Cursor: in10x.com
#buildinpublic
First real user found a bug within 10 minutes. Fixed it, then shipped 3 features he asked for same day. This is the vibecoder way - build fast, listen faster 🚀
January 2, 2026 at 12:27 AM
First real user found a bug within 10 minutes. Fixed it, then shipped 3 features he asked for same day. This is the vibecoder way - build fast, listen faster 🚀
Day 1 grinding for 100 users. Manual outreach only. Automated replies get ignored instantly - people can smell AI a mile away 😅
January 2, 2026 at 12:09 AM
Day 1 grinding for 100 users. Manual outreach only. Automated replies get ignored instantly - people can smell AI a mile away 😅
Built a free tool to help vibecoders get discovered. Not another "post and pray" platform. Actually indexes what you're building so investors and users can find you. Looking for 10 beta users today → in10x.com
In10x - Where Vibecoders Ship
Build in public. Get discovered. Find investors.
in10x.com
January 1, 2026 at 11:21 PM
Built a free tool to help vibecoders get discovered. Not another "post and pray" platform. Actually indexes what you're building so investors and users can find you. Looking for 10 beta users today → in10x.com
You can mass produce shipping now. One person, one weekend, one app.
But getting noticed? Still takes months of grinding in the dark.
Building got democratized. Discovery didn’t
But getting noticed? Still takes months of grinding in the dark.
Building got democratized. Discovery didn’t
January 1, 2026 at 9:31 AM
You can mass produce shipping now. One person, one weekend, one app.
But getting noticed? Still takes months of grinding in the dark.
Building got democratized. Discovery didn’t
But getting noticed? Still takes months of grinding in the dark.
Building got democratized. Discovery didn’t
Finally shipped v1 of In10x 🚀
The MCP integration was a grind—Claude Desktop kept fighting me.
But it's working now. Discovery layer for vibecoders is live.
Build in public. Ship through the pain.
The MCP integration was a grind—Claude Desktop kept fighting me.
But it's working now. Discovery layer for vibecoders is live.
Build in public. Ship through the pain.
December 30, 2025 at 10:55 PM
Finally shipped v1 of In10x 🚀
The MCP integration was a grind—Claude Desktop kept fighting me.
But it's working now. Discovery layer for vibecoders is live.
Build in public. Ship through the pain.
The MCP integration was a grind—Claude Desktop kept fighting me.
But it's working now. Discovery layer for vibecoders is live.
Build in public. Ship through the pain.
Why is the Body Index only 38?
• Robots cost 3-5x human wages
• Max autonomy: 2-4 hours
• ~4,200 units deployed globally
• Mostly pilots, not production
The hype says robots are coming.
The data says they're crawling.
in10x.com
• Robots cost 3-5x human wages
• Max autonomy: 2-4 hours
• ~4,200 units deployed globally
• Mostly pilots, not production
The hype says robots are coming.
The data says they're crawling.
in10x.com
December 11, 2025 at 12:50 AM
Why is the Body Index only 38?
• Robots cost 3-5x human wages
• Max autonomy: 2-4 hours
• ~4,200 units deployed globally
• Mostly pilots, not production
The hype says robots are coming.
The data says they're crawling.
in10x.com
• Robots cost 3-5x human wages
• Max autonomy: 2-4 hours
• ~4,200 units deployed globally
• Mostly pilots, not production
The hype says robots are coming.
The data says they're crawling.
in10x.com
Humanoid robots deployed globally: ~4,200
Developers using AI coding tools: 20+ million
This is why the Brain Index (73) is almost double the Body Index (38).
AI is scaling exponentially.
Robots are scaling linearly.
The gap tells you what's coming first.
Developers using AI coding tools: 20+ million
This is why the Brain Index (73) is almost double the Body Index (38).
AI is scaling exponentially.
Robots are scaling linearly.
The gap tells you what's coming first.
December 11, 2025 at 12:46 AM
Humanoid robots deployed globally: ~4,200
Developers using AI coding tools: 20+ million
This is why the Brain Index (73) is almost double the Body Index (38).
AI is scaling exponentially.
Robots are scaling linearly.
The gap tells you what's coming first.
Developers using AI coding tools: 20+ million
This is why the Brain Index (73) is almost double the Body Index (38).
AI is scaling exponentially.
Robots are scaling linearly.
The gap tells you what's coming first.
Tesla wants to build 10 million robots.
But there's a problem:
You can manufacture bodies.
You can't manufacture brains.
Body Index: 38/100
Brain Index: 73/100
The software is racing ahead.
The hardware is crawling.
That gap is everything.
But there's a problem:
You can manufacture bodies.
You can't manufacture brains.
Body Index: 38/100
Brain Index: 73/100
The software is racing ahead.
The hardware is crawling.
That gap is everything.
December 11, 2025 at 12:46 AM
Tesla wants to build 10 million robots.
But there's a problem:
You can manufacture bodies.
You can't manufacture brains.
Body Index: 38/100
Brain Index: 73/100
The software is racing ahead.
The hardware is crawling.
That gap is everything.
But there's a problem:
You can manufacture bodies.
You can't manufacture brains.
Body Index: 38/100
Brain Index: 73/100
The software is racing ahead.
The hardware is crawling.
That gap is everything.
AI can already code better than most junior devs.
But robots still can't fold laundry.
🧠 Brain Index: 73/100
🤖 Body Index: 38/100
Your job type determines your timeline.
Cognitive work? Pressure is NOW.
Physical work? You have years.
Track the gap: in10x.com
But robots still can't fold laundry.
🧠 Brain Index: 73/100
🤖 Body Index: 38/100
Your job type determines your timeline.
Cognitive work? Pressure is NOW.
Physical work? You have years.
Track the gap: in10x.com
Home
in10x.com
December 8, 2025 at 9:22 AM
AI can already code better than most junior devs.
But robots still can't fold laundry.
🧠 Brain Index: 73/100
🤖 Body Index: 38/100
Your job type determines your timeline.
Cognitive work? Pressure is NOW.
Physical work? You have years.
Track the gap: in10x.com
But robots still can't fold laundry.
🧠 Brain Index: 73/100
🤖 Body Index: 38/100
Your job type determines your timeline.
Cognitive work? Pressure is NOW.
Physical work? You have years.
Track the gap: in10x.com
Everyone's counting robots.
Wrong metric.
Robots are nothing without AI to control them.
🧠 Brain: 73/100 (AI capability)
🤖 Body: 38/100 (Robot deployment)
The 35-point gap is your adaptation window.
When they converge, everything changes.
in10x.com
Wrong metric.
Robots are nothing without AI to control them.
🧠 Brain: 73/100 (AI capability)
🤖 Body: 38/100 (Robot deployment)
The 35-point gap is your adaptation window.
When they converge, everything changes.
in10x.com
Home
in10x.com
December 8, 2025 at 9:16 AM
Everyone's counting robots.
Wrong metric.
Robots are nothing without AI to control them.
🧠 Brain: 73/100 (AI capability)
🤖 Body: 38/100 (Robot deployment)
The 35-point gap is your adaptation window.
When they converge, everything changes.
in10x.com
Wrong metric.
Robots are nothing without AI to control them.
🧠 Brain: 73/100 (AI capability)
🤖 Body: 38/100 (Robot deployment)
The 35-point gap is your adaptation window.
When they converge, everything changes.
in10x.com