Thomas J Wood
@thomasjwood.bsky.social
750 followers 230 following 79 posts
Political scientist, Ohio State
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thomasjwood.bsky.social
Nope! Survey research was expensive in the 1940s!
thomasjwood.bsky.social
The last time I posted the income relationship to presidential vote among White respondents to the @electionstudies.bsky.social ANES, people asked for additional estimates among all voters.

Updated estimates here:
thomasjwood.bsky.social
Rapid secularization of Democratic politics continues -- in the 2024 ANES, only 54% of Democrats reported religion an important part of their life.
thomasjwood.bsky.social
Trump's presidency has coincided with a rapid decline in GOP partisan advantage -- a 5 percentage point decline since the end of Biden's presidency.

Data from Gallup social series.
thomasjwood.bsky.social
Might be of interest to those teaching American politics -- motivated reasoning in retrospective economic/personal/geostrategic evaluation has been a stable part of presidential elections for 40 years.

Data from the @electionstudies.bsky.social CDF and 2024 timeseries.
thomasjwood.bsky.social
By the end of 2024, Stimson's Policy Mood was near 20 year highs in liberal policy support.

(Ht @mattgrossmann.bsky.social for tweeting the new data!)
thomasjwood.bsky.social
As expected, the change in government sharply reduced Democrats’ trust in the CDC and FDA. But surprisingly, by 2025 Democrats now express higher trust in federal health authorities than Republicans do.
thomasjwood.bsky.social
With initial data, it appears that Trump's 2nd term approval is weakly related to consumer confidence.
thomasjwood.bsky.social
The rightward shift in young men's partisanship is recent -- since 2024.

data from the @pewresearch.org 's NPORS study.
thomasjwood.bsky.social
Even Republicans have not recovered their pre-pandemic levels of economic confidence.

Data from the University of Michigan ISR's (bsky-less?) consumer sentiment survey
thomasjwood.bsky.social
Presidential vote has only been correlated with life expectancy since 2008, and even then the effect is strongest among whites.
thomasjwood.bsky.social
While liberals have moved almost a full scale point more supportive of free trade since the election (on a 7pt scale) conservatives are unmoved.

A super interesting case for the role of elites in shaping mass attitudes.
Data from the incredible @prl.bsky.social 's 'America's Political Pulse.'
thomasjwood.bsky.social
Outside of a tiny number of super polarized issues (in this case, immigration and climate change), the American public basically agrees on the topics deserving of national attention.

Data from AP-NORC.
thomasjwood.bsky.social
Gun control attitudes continue to depolarize (on the margins!) in the 2024 General Social Survey.

Data from @norc.org
thomasjwood.bsky.social
It's only on questions of race where younger generations are less tolerant -- for the other speakers on the GSS, Gen Z/Millenials basically indistinguishable from other Americans.
thomasjwood.bsky.social
National political spending preferences by partisanship, 1972-2024.

Fascinating that numerous policy areas have seen negligble polarization over this period. Data from @norc.org's GSS
thomasjwood.bsky.social
Confidence in national institutions, by partisanship, 1974-2024.

The collapse in Democrats' Supreme Court confidence in 2022-2024 is the largest single year change seen in 50 years. Data from the GSS @norc.org
thomasjwood.bsky.social
The newly released GSS shows Whites continue to liberalize in their perceived cause of racial economic inequality.
thomasjwood.bsky.social
Stark class income * partisan effect also apparent in 119th Congress's congressional districts:
thomasjwood.bsky.social
Whoa nice to think of a mere in bsky w/ a lede!

But sure Dems becoming marginally less expansionary in abortion attitudes
thomasjwood.bsky.social
Abortion attidudes depolarized (on the margins!) in the newly released 2024 General Social Survey from @norc.org.
thomasjwood.bsky.social
Presidential vote among whites shows continued income polarization (data from @electionstudies.bsky.social's 2024 timeseries), with income negatively correlated to GOP presidential vote.
thomasjwood.bsky.social
It's not just the coastal universities -- a plurality of conservatives perceive even the flagship public university in their state to be liberal.
thomasjwood.bsky.social
Ha fair enough.

I'm always down for new ways to burnish Chicago's credentials!
thomasjwood.bsky.social
Is the Catholic Theological Union affiliated with the UofC?