Tim Raupach
@timraupach.com
3.6K followers 470 following 210 posts
Scientia Senior Lecturer at UNSW Sydney Institute for Climate Risk and Response. I study severe storms, especially hail, in a changing climate ⛈️. I also take photos and climb mountains. These views are my own. https://timraupach.com
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Oh, very good! 👏
timraupach.com
This feels like the right music to be listening to while working on climate projections of hail risk to crops...
timraupach.com
Thanks for all the work on the report - you all did an amazing job.
timraupach.com
It’s not an impossible problem, though, because with careful monitoring and thorough simulation studies we can get new insights. This is why it’s important that we continue with our work to better understand these systems and their changes in a warming climate. 4/4
timraupach.com
However, changes for severe convective storms and for large hail can, at this stage, be given only with low confidence. The report is quite correct to clearly state this uncertainty. This is because the physical scale and relative rarity of storms makes them hard to observe and model. 3/4
timraupach.com
Severe convective storms including hail are one of ten priority hazards identified by the report. Modelled economic costs for a mid-century moderate emissions scenario are high for storms and hail. Storms are affected by climate change and can be extremely damaging, so are a key climate risk. 2/4
timraupach.com
The Australian Climate Service's National Climate Risk Assessment is an excellent document - it gives a comprehensive and robust assessment of the state of knowledge on climate risks now and for the future. It makes for sobering reading. 1/4
www.acs.gov.au/pages/nation...
National Climate Risk Assessment
Learn about Australia's first National Climate Risk Assessment.
www.acs.gov.au
Reposted by Tim Raupach
michaelhobbes.bsky.social
On one hand, reducing car use reduces urban pollution.
But on the other, everyone likes it and cities become more livable
Average nitrogen dioxide concentration in Paris has fallen significantly Her proposals have faced pushback — from right-leaning politicians, a car owners’ association and suburban commuters, who say that targeting cars makes their lives more difficult.

But last month, Parisians voted in a referendum to turn an additional 500 streets over to pedestrians. A year earlier, Paris had moved to sharply increase parking fees for SUVs, forcing drivers to pay three times more than they would for smaller cars. The city has also turned a bank of the Seine from a busy artery into a pedestrian zone and banned most car traffic from the shopping boulevard of Rue de Rivoli.

Carlos Moreno, a professor at Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne University and a former adviser to the city, said the French capital has developed “an urban policy based on well-being.”
timraupach.com
The @ametsoc.org has released a statement on the deeply flawed DoE 2025 Climate Synthesis report. It reaffirms that the modern climate is changing primarily because of human influence; this is harmful; scientists agree; and response options are available. Read here: www.ametsoc.org/ams/about-am...
The Practice and Assessment of Science: Five Foundational Flaws in the Department of Energy's 2025 Climate Report
Adopted by the Executive Committee of the AMS Council on 27 August 2025
www.ametsoc.org
timraupach.com
Shocked to discover that Excel can't open two independent documents that have the same filename. In 2025.
timraupach.com
Joanna Aldridge (QBE) presented on projections of large hail risk in the USA.
timraupach.com
Greeshma Surendran from @ccrc.bsky.social uses pseudo-global warming models to look at changes in extreme wind gusts.
timraupach.com
Next up, David Bee Olmedo from @nsw-bnhrc.bsky.social and @ccrc.bsky.social discusses scaling of extreme rainfall with temperature calculated using radar data.
timraupach.com
Our afternoon session at the storms workshop is on climate impacts. Getting us started is Sarah Chapman from the Queensland Government talking about projections for storm environments under different warming levels.
timraupach.com
The ECR panel is Greeshma Surendran (UNSW), Rai Ibaceta (NSW Reconstruction Authority), and Stefi Montoya (Risk Frontiers) with moderators @borisblanc.bsky.social and Tanya Patel (both UNSW).
timraupach.com
An important panel now at our storms workshop, as early career researchers tell us about their experiences, hopes and dreams in storm science and industry.
timraupach.com
Todd Lane from Uni Melbourne explores the types of organised convection that occur in Australia - not all storms follow the standard textbook model.
timraupach.com
Anthony Cornelius from Weatherwatch uses radar data to look at possible hailstorm drivers.
timraupach.com
Harald Richter (BOM) starts our workshop session on observations and modeling by talking about learnings from the @noaa.gov spring forecasting experiment 2025.
timraupach.com
At our storms workshop, Rob Warren (BOM) looks at the climatology and large-scale environments of thunderstorms across Australia
timraupach.com
Jordan Brook from BOM now explains rapid forecast updates including a primer on ensemble forecasting
timraupach.com
James Harding from the BOM gets the workshop started today with a description of how thunderstorm forecasting works.