Tom Chance
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tomchance.bsky.social
Tom Chance
@tomchance.bsky.social
CEO of the Community Land Trust Network / Rhwydwaith Ymddiriedolaethau Tir Cymunedol https://www.communitylandtrusts.org.uk
Motivated reasoning.
November 28, 2025 at 4:07 PM
Thanks, I can see it's tricky. I think it'd be an interesting exercise, at least, stick some big error margins around the central scenario, what impact will this actually have and what are the policy options?
November 27, 2025 at 5:00 PM
Yes I did some work on that in 2011 inc a model to safeguard privacy, it could be sold to drivers as also saving them the complicated admin and maybe enabling monthly rather than annual payments.
November 27, 2025 at 9:03 AM
Do you think it would be possible to estimate the squeeze on PRS supply, the extent to which home ownership might supplant it across the stock, and the £ required for social housing providers to soak up the rest? A coordinated strategy, if shrinking the PRS is your aim.
November 27, 2025 at 8:04 AM
I don't understand the rationale for paying in advance and reconciling, it's bad enough having to do that with self-assessments for income tax and NICs on variable incomes, making personal finances much more lumpy and complicated. Why not just pay in arrears with each VED assessment?!
November 27, 2025 at 8:00 AM
Ah, yes, maybe they've fixed it.
November 26, 2025 at 3:31 PM
Ah okay, thanks for that specific context!
November 20, 2025 at 2:34 PM
One explanation is that there are different approaches to density, and some of the de-densification is getting right of unpopular (and sometimes unsafe) tower blocks in wastelands of grass which aren't the built form that produces density (in the main) in France & Japan (4-9 storey blocks)
November 20, 2025 at 2:27 PM
Interesting analysis @housingpaul.bsky.social, the party's policy used to be more moderate in wanting to reverse the growth of the PRS and return to a tenure split with a far greater share of social housing.

I'd also point out a v.big chunk of the Vienna housing is co-ops 😀
November 20, 2025 at 2:20 PM
As I wrote in my blog, I'm sure there is a lot of scope to build sustainable settlements near stations. But unless the minister's 'suitable' is doing a lot of heavy lifting it risks just being bad planning and a gimmick.
November 18, 2025 at 3:06 PM
It's a start, yes, for maybe 1 in 14 journeys - and probably fewer if you're talking about a village with a station and few local jobs/services. How about starting with the other 13 in 14 journeys? Why give specific status to the 1? Why not also apply it to bus stops? Does walking distance matter?
November 18, 2025 at 3:06 PM
But not to most jobs that most people do. Mostly people will just drive. The RTPI looked at this some years ago, and I wrote about it here: tomchance.org/2019/11/07/t...

I don't think proximity to a train station should confer any special status, it's not an indication of much in and of itself.
The green belt train stations – a bad idea that just won’t go away
In the mid noughties I lived for two stretches in St Albans, a commuter city nestled in the Hertfordshire green belt. The first time I lived and worked in the town centre, after leaving school. Som…
tomchance.org
November 18, 2025 at 2:51 PM
But most journeys are not train commutes to London. They're local journeys that will be by car unless you build sustainable settlements with good active travel and public transport provision to access jobs, schools, doctors, shops, etc.
November 18, 2025 at 2:37 PM
We'll be including this as an ask for the elections next year with our members in Wales.
November 18, 2025 at 10:28 AM