Tom Long
tomlongphd.bsky.social
Tom Long
@tomlongphd.bsky.social
Professor of International Relations at University of Warwick; Latin America; Historical IR; small states
The article offers a novel typology of critical junctures, outlining four pathways that may emerge during such episodes: path-breaking change, continuity, and two forms of conditioned transformation (see the table below). We illustrate these in the post-WW1 juncture.

Comments welcome!
December 1, 2025 at 6:20 PM
We argue that explaining episodes of change requires attention to antecedents, the presence of permissive conditions, and the mechanisms that either lead to or prevent the establishment of a new status quo.
December 1, 2025 at 6:20 PM
We note that IR's use of critical junctures often differs from that in neighboring fields. IR scholars’ use of the concept more often pertains to situations in which comparison is difficult; relatedly, IR tends to focus more on within-juncture dynamics than on identifying institutional legacies.
December 1, 2025 at 6:20 PM
Yes, I've worked in RG59 a good bit. This could be a disaster, or it could be pre-registration like at most Latin American foreign ministry archives. Given the current direction of policy, I fear the former... but also don't want panic if it's more of an admin change. Thanks for flagging it.
June 24, 2025 at 10:52 PM
Oh, wow. Any idea what this means in practice? Like, submit a form in advance or only federal employees on government business?
June 24, 2025 at 9:39 PM
Thank you!
June 2, 2025 at 12:25 PM
Thanks, Jan!
May 27, 2025 at 5:18 PM