Tom Parkin
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tomparkin.bsky.social
Tom Parkin
@tomparkin.bsky.social
Social democrat, publisher of Data Shows, focused on shared prosperity

Data Shows: tparkin.substack.com
Doug Ford was celebrating these Oct employment numbers:

- 14,700 full-time jobs cut
- 20.7 million fewer hours worked

The unemployment rate decline was completely due to a big increase in part-time work

He is an unaffordable jobs disaster

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Ontario lost full-time jobs in October, but jobless rate fell on more part-time work
In October, Ontario lost 14,700 full time jobs and total hours worked fell by 20.7 million hours.
open.substack.com
November 10, 2025 at 12:36 PM
After 10 months of Trump, where are federal and provincial Buy Canada provisions?

Saw mill and steel mill workers lose jobs and billions in subsidies pay to counter Trump’s economic force against Canada

But in August, $1.2B in lumber and steel was imported

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Sawmill and steel workers lose jobs while Canada imports over $1.2B a month in steel and lumber
After 10 months of Trump, still no Buy Canada or Buy Ontario provisions giving priority to Canadian-made products.
open.substack.com
October 29, 2025 at 5:20 AM
After 10 months of Trump the PM still has no Buy Canadian plan and he talks about “generational” projects that won’t get shovels into dirt for years

Where is urgency for the 1.5 million Canadians unemployed today?

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Carney speech offers little to 1.5 million Canadians unemployed today
From his heights in the stratosphere, Carney is not seeing the 1.5 million Canadians without a paycheque today.
open.substack.com
October 24, 2025 at 12:32 PM
The federal NDP can build on two popular provincial governments, four official oppositions and 195 legislators

A new federal leader who is an asset to them — defeating Danielle Smith along the way — makes them allies in building the federal NDP

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Next federal NDP leader will build on provincial strength, or make things worse
A federal leader who helps re-elect NDP governments and turn NDP oppositions leaders into NDP premiers will build the federal better and faster. And get rid of Danielle Smith.
open.substack.com
October 22, 2025 at 12:13 PM
Poilievre’s wrong that population growth is causing unemployment — pop growth was under 1% last year

But you can’t fight feelings with facts

Can that feeling be displaced with social solidarity? Do demands for jobs and growth create feelings of unity in diversity?
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Poilievre, wrong on facts again, this time about jobs
He’s weak on facts. But strong on feelings. Destructive ones. Can a jobs focus be a counter-feeling?
open.substack.com
October 15, 2025 at 2:08 PM
Workers pay the price for Doug Ford having no jobs plan

47,000 Ontario jobs vanish in September and unemployment rate continues its two year rise hitting 7.9%

Workers are leaving the labour market as jobs in manufacturing, construction and retail shrink

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Ontario workers walloped, 47,000 jobs gone in September, jobless rate hits 7.9%
While BC, Alberta and Manitoba enjoyed jobs growth, others had moderate job losses, Ontario workers paid a hard price with 47,000 fewer jobs
open.substack.com
October 10, 2025 at 3:27 PM
You pay for PCs dropping 338,000 Highway Traffic Acf charges, double the number from ten years ago

42% of stunt driving charges got dropped. 32% of charges for driving with a suspended licence dropped

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Ontarians pay as PCs' backlogged courts drop 338,000 traffic safety charges
Millions in lost fine revenue. Millions spent to process and prepare cases that never get decided — because of a backlogged court system. Guess who pays!
open.substack.com
October 7, 2025 at 2:17 PM
To justify the UCP’s eight year minimum wage freeze, Premier Smith falsely claimed the Notley NDP’s increases caused “mass layoffs” of young workers

In fact, there were 22,100 fewer unemployed young workers at the end of Notley’s term than at its beginning

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Smith spreads false jobs facts to defend her minimum wage freeze
Fact is, Notley's NDP cut youth unemployment by 22,100 people while hiking the minimum wage.
open.substack.com
October 2, 2025 at 12:26 PM
Doug Ford works hard to distract from his electricity muddle

And Ontarians pay the price with money, emissions, and an uncertain electricity supply

Ask yourself, how much should you pay for Doug Ford’s messes?

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273% hike in fossil fuel burning the price of Ford PCs' energy muddle
Ontarians are paying the price in money, emissions and uncertainty about where Ontario's future electricity will come from.
open.substack.com
September 30, 2025 at 11:19 AM
The cost of Doug Ford is 91,000 employees let go in July and 19,000 fewer job openings, leaving five job-seekers for every job opening

And many still working are paying the price with reduced shift hours

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Ontario lost 91,000 jobs, openings shrank by 19,000 in July: StatsCan
Ontarians are paying the price for a premier who doesn't believe there's a jobs problem, and has no plan to address it.
open.substack.com
September 26, 2025 at 11:29 AM
Stiles has vowed to transform the NDP into a party that can defeat and replace the Ford PCs

Given the PCs’ high polling levels, that goal requires attacking PC strengths. Stiles’ new emphasis on Ford’s poor record on jobs is an early test of how that can done

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Stiles' Ontario NDP at a defining moment
Convention delegates made it clear the goal is to defeat and replace Doug Ford. That first requires kicking-out the legs PC support rests on.
open.substack.com
September 25, 2025 at 12:56 PM
Ontario’s residential construction construction sector is small and getting smaller, thanks to PC housing failure

Jobs are down 10%, but there hasn’t been much public complaint, likely because PC political meddling in the Skills Development Fund has raised fears

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Ford's housing failure is a jobs-killer, but politics has muted criticism
Ontario's residential construction sector is small and getting smaller, but sector unions appear reluctant to publicly raise concerns as the Ford government weaponizes a key grant program.
open.substack.com
September 24, 2025 at 12:20 PM
The new “jobs and economy voter”: not older and wealthy, they're young or low income, the people first hurt in a jobs downturn.

Parties seeking their support need to sharpen focus on creating and protecting jobs

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Job worries highest in Ontario, with low income and younger voters
“Jobs and the economy” voters aren't older and wealthy, they're young and low income, the people first hurt in a jobs downturn.
open.substack.com
September 18, 2025 at 11:22 AM
Doug Ford’s “look harder” comment is probably resonating with a lot of people, but not the way he would like

There are now 800,000 unemployed in Ontario, and StatsCan yesterday reported in Q2 2025 there were only 179,000 job openings

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Ontario now has four times more job-seekers than job openings
Doug Ford’s “look harder” comment explains why Ontario has no jobs plan: because he denies there’s an unemployment problem.
open.substack.com
September 17, 2025 at 1:35 PM
The again leaderless Ontario Liberals give Marit Stiles a second chance to put her NDP forward as Doug Ford’s true nemesis

Ford is a tough opponent, and bringing him down will require unity around a story of what’s wrong with Ontario and why it doesn’t get fixed

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Bonnie' meltdown is Marit's opening. But bringing down Doug will demand real discipline.
Beating Doug Ford's communications strategy will require some tough message discipline from the Ontario NDP, starting with setting the story.
open.substack.com
September 16, 2025 at 11:52 AM
Politicians and business lobby groups speak out of both sides of their mouths when they demand low-wage workers but say they want a high-productivity economy

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The biggest productivity hypocrites: low-wage advocates
Politicians and business lobby groups speak out of both sides of their mouths when they demand low-wage workers but say they want a high-productivity economy.
open.substack.com
September 10, 2025 at 11:10 AM
The Socialist Action party nominated Yves Engler to run for the NDP leadership

The NDP giving a platform and its membership list to members of a fringe self-defined Trotskyist communist group hostile to the NDP is probably a bad idea

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Yves Engler’s NDP leadership bid raises a big red flag
Engler was nominated by group that says "the NDP cannot be transformed." So why is he running to be its leader?
open.substack.com
September 9, 2025 at 1:13 PM
41,000 Ontario workers abandoned their job search in August and 66,300 Ontario jobs have disappeared this year

Doug Ford’s TV stunts and media complacency is how we lose a country. Fortunately some pro-jobs groups and politicians are stirring up action

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Not a stunt: 800,000 Ontario workers now without a paycheque
Unemployment is rising and many workers are giving up hope. Doug Ford responds with TV stunts and elite media shrugs. This is how we lose a country.
open.substack.com
September 5, 2025 at 7:09 PM
The theory that immigration caused the housing crisis doesn’t fit the facts

Opposite to the theory, house prices surged when in-migration to Canada was at historic lows; when in-migration was at highs, house prices were falling

Here’s what the data shows

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Blaming immigrants for the housing price surge is so false, it's stupid
Housing costs skyrocketed on low mortgage rates. But some blame immigrants, and it’s mostly partisan hackery.
open.substack.com
September 5, 2025 at 1:25 PM
Trans Mountain pipeline is 200 million barrels a day under capacity and could be expanded by another 300 Mb/d if there was a need

Why is Canada considering a second “nation-building” Pacific pipeline when the first one — which cost is $34B — isn’t fully used?

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Trans Mountain pipeline 22% empty in June; forecast use revised down
Forecasts have been downgraded but still look too rosy. Should Canadians pay for a second Pacific pipeline with so much capacity to Asia still unused?
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August 28, 2025 at 12:03 PM
With several Ontario auto assembly plants facing uncertainty, the decision to accept a U.S. auto tariff is being called a “betrayal” by Unifor

When Carney started echoing Trump’s “CUSMA-complaint” line, we should’ve known the decision had been made

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Accepting US auto tariffs may be death blow to some Ontario assembly plants
The value of vehicle shipments was already down, with several plants idle now or soon. Accepting U.S. auto tariffs may mean some never reopen.
open.substack.com
August 26, 2025 at 12:28 PM
Doug Ford seems to have given up on building housing

ButToronto mayor Olivia Chow’s housing policy win last week shows there’re still many moves he can make to spur construction, if someone with some strategic savvy prods him

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Olivia Chow's win shows Doug Ford has room to act on housing, if he's prodded
Ford shrugs and says he's tried everything, but Chow's policy win shows there's lots of moves available to spur housing, for those not governed by NIMBY fears.
open.substack.com
August 20, 2025 at 11:55 AM
When Air Canada execs knew they had Mark Carney and sec 107 in their back pocket they refused to negotiate

When flight attendants refused to obey Mark Carney’s illegal use of section 107 Air Canada had to actually bargain and a deal was quickly reached

Funny that
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Flight attendants to defy Carney’s illegal order
The right to bargain and strike is Charter-protected in Canada. But when Air Canada wanted Mark Carney to break the law for them, he did.
open.substack.com
August 19, 2025 at 1:46 PM
Canadians’ boycott of travel to US strengthens, July air travel down 27%, the deepest monthly drop yet

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Canadian boycott of U.S. travel gains steam in July
To July 31, Canadians have logged over 830,000 fewer return trips from the United States through Canada's major airports than last year -- and July's drop is the biggest yet.
open.substack.com
August 14, 2025 at 10:56 AM
Ontario’s historic population decline in Q1 2025 comes as more people leave for other provinces than move to Ontario from the rest of Canada

It’s a trend that began while housing costs were skyrocketing and unemployment started climbing

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Ontario’s population declines as exodus to elsewhere continues
Out-migration gained pace as housing costs soared and unemployment climbed to 700,000.
open.substack.com
August 12, 2025 at 9:33 PM