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Trevor Tombe @trevortombe.bsky.social · 7h

I have no insight there. Very happy to defer to those who do.

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Trevor Tombe @trevortombe.bsky.social · 1d

Interesting point about summers!

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Trevor Tombe @trevortombe.bsky.social · 1d

I wasn't arguing against raising taxes in the piece. That's certainly one way to ensure debt/GDP doesn't rise without bound, and it's certainly fair to view that policy option was superior to cutting program spending. The piece took no position either way.

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Trevor Tombe @trevortombe.bsky.social · 1d

You're probably sarcastic there, but I'll reply anyway: Lindsay is a public finance expert. I have all the time in the world for critiques from her. Only through discussion, points and counterpoints, etc., can our understanding of important issues move forward.

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Reposted by Trevor Tombe

Dr Lindsay Tedds @lindsaytedds.bsky.social · 6d

Not sure who might want/need an alternative perspective but a 44% debt-to-GDP ratio is not concerning and any ones perspective (well not a Hub’s reader) on that should seriously change on that if they look at that if they consider the graph with the x -axis set at 0 #kirstingraphs

Trevor Tombe @trevortombe.bsky.social · 7d

The real danger lies not in the growing size of today’s deficit, but in failing to plan prudently for what comes next.

My latest for @TheHubCanada on federal finances: thehub.ca/2025/10/01/... #cdnecon #cdnpoli

Trevor Tombe: The budget warning that Canada cannot ignore

thehub.ca

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Trevor Tombe @trevortombe.bsky.social · 1d

It was great to be a part of this important conversation! Thanks to @thewalrus.ca for hosting it!

thewalrus.ca/the-walrus-t...

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Trevor Tombe @trevortombe.bsky.social · 2d

Canada to move all future budgets to the Fall: www.cbc.ca/news/politi...

For context, here's the timing of every federal budget since 1867. Nearly 80% of of all budgets were released by May; 68% by April. #cdnecon #cdnpoli

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Trevor Tombe @trevortombe.bsky.social · 7d

The real danger lies not in the growing size of today’s deficit, but in failing to plan prudently for what comes next.

My latest for @TheHubCanada on federal finances: thehub.ca/2025/10/01/... #cdnecon #cdnpoli

Trevor Tombe: The budget warning that Canada cannot ignore

thehub.ca

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Trevor Tombe @trevortombe.bsky.social · 21d

Is Canada already in a recession?

My latest for @TheHubCanada explores the latest data thehub.ca/2025/09/17/... #cdnecon #cdnpoli

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Trevor Tombe @trevortombe.bsky.social · Sep 5

From today's jobs report, Canada's unemployment rate rises to 7.1% (up 0.5 points this year). Alberta has seen a notable increase to 8.4% (the highest since 2017, excl. covid).

More from StatCan here: www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-qu... #cdnecon #cdnpoli

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Trevor Tombe @trevortombe.bsky.social · Jul 24

A separate Alberta would be a poorer Alberta.

My latest for @TheHubCanada on the fiscal and economic fantasies of those promoting independence:
thehub.ca/2025/07/24/... #cdnecon #cdnpoli

Trevor Tombe: A separate Alberta would be a poorer Alberta

thehub.ca

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Trevor Tombe @trevortombe.bsky.social · Jul 10

Canada’s 5 percent of GDP defence spending commitment comes with a fiscal reckoning. And it's more than an 'operating budget' problem.

My latest for @TheHubCanada explores the future of the federal budget: thehub.ca/2025/07/10/... #cdnecon #cdnpoli

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Trevor Tombe @trevortombe.bsky.social · Jun 25

Did retaliatory tariffs affect Canadian imports from the U.S.? And what about consumer boycotts? Some new data provides some early answers.

My latest for @TheHubCanada: thehub.ca/2025/06/25/... #cdnecon #cdnpoli

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Trevor Tombe @trevortombe.bsky.social · Jun 12

What a higher NATO military spending target means for Canada's finances. My latest for @TheHubCanada on the potential for a 3.5%+1.5% target for NATO members: thehub.ca/2025/06/12/... #cdnecon #cdnpoli

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Trevor Tombe @trevortombe.bsky.social · Jun 5

Liberalizing trade within Canada has long been a challenge. But recent moves by governments right across Canada are making big improvements, led by Atlantic Canada. My new report with PPF explores some the potential gains:

ppforum.ca/policy-spea... #cdnecon #cdnpoli

Free Atlantic: Unlocking Regional Growth - Public Policy Forum

Introduction Liberalizing trade within Canada has long been a challenge. Geographic constraints, infrastructure gaps, differences in language and culture, and easy access to a large market to the south have all dampened the volume of internal trade. Concerns over limited interprovincial trade have surfaced repeatedly throughout Canadian history, from early...

ppforum.ca

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Trevor Tombe @trevortombe.bsky.social · May 22

How much did the carbon tax actually impact inflation?

My latest for @TheHubCanada: thehub.ca/2025/05/22/... #cdnecon #cdnpoli

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Trevor Tombe @trevortombe.bsky.social · May 20

We unfortunately received some pointed critiques and even some attacks from some unhinged individuals (some politicians, and even a particular colleague at another university) for our work. Today's data is consistent with our work.

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Trevor Tombe @trevortombe.bsky.social · May 20

To clarify, it's not that inflation is 0.6% higher due to carbon taxes. But instead it's that "price levels" were 0.6% higher. So their removal resulted in a one-time 0.6% drop in the change in CPI.

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Trevor Tombe @trevortombe.bsky.social · May 20

Today's inflation data: avg prices rose 1.7% in April vs last year.

Absent carbon taxes, inflation would have been 2.3% in April (see: www150.statcan.gc.ca/t1/tbl1/en/...). This 0.6% effect validates research (incl. by myself and @dr_jen_winter) on the effect of CTaxes. #cdnecon #cdnpoli

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Trevor Tombe @trevortombe.bsky.social · May 15

Even when Canada's regional diversity causes tension (and, dare I say, alienation), it can be a good thing.

My latest for @TheHubCanada: thehub.ca/2025/05/15/... #cdnecon #cdnpoli

Trevor Tombe: Why an Alberta Accord makes sense

thehub.ca

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Trevor Tombe @trevortombe.bsky.social · May 6

Not sure why you're replying with this. Didn't claim otherwise and the paper unpacks the details.

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Trevor Tombe @trevortombe.bsky.social · May 5

Curious about the history and functioning of federal-provincial transfers in Canada? Here's a paper unpacking it all: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers...

Seems like it might become topical again in #cdnpoli and #ableg

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Trevor Tombe @trevortombe.bsky.social · May 5

It's been a month since Canada's federal consumer carbon price was eliminated. With the latest data from this morning, the effect on gasoline prices remains clear: nearly the full value of tax cut was passed to consumers. #cdnecon

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Trevor Tombe @trevortombe.bsky.social · Apr 24

I also appreciate that I put more weight on long term fiscal issues than most others, so concerns expressed today about medium term trajectories that aren't in and of themself a concern can seem misplaced. I could articulate things better, so value this feedback from you too. Genuinely.

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Trevor Tombe @trevortombe.bsky.social · Apr 24

Fair critique. When debt/GDP points up then that's a "potentially unsustainable direction" (since that cannot continue). Totally fair for one to have confidence that it would be turned downward later, but moving away from anchor and past commitments to do so is notable. My view, anyway.

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