Eric Tymoigne
@tymoignee.bsky.social
470 followers 59 following 99 posts
Mostly my research output on the macroeconomic intersection of finance and the economy: public finance, private finance, past and present inner workings of monetary systems.
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tymoignee.bsky.social
Broad point is that inflation is driven by wars, deflation is driven by recessions (1772 financial crisis, etc.).
tymoignee.bsky.social
1680-1681 is a puzzle as is 1741. No idea after reading economic history, war history, pandemic history.
Recession years comes from McCusker's The Economy of British America, Price dataset comes from Historical Statistics of the US.
tymoignee.bsky.social
Commodity Price Index in British Colonies with Wars (red), Major Epidemics (Yellow) and Contractions (Grey)
Reposted by Eric Tymoigne
tymoignee.bsky.social
Nice. Dugger and Peach “Economic Abundance: An Introduction” is a good starting point on the topic.
tymoignee.bsky.social
James Harvey in his 1865 "The Exchequer Note versus the Sovereign" reached the same conclusion:
tymoignee.bsky.social
The policy was however short sighted because it lead to a major monetary contraction, credit crunch, debt deflation, widespread loss of properties and rise in inequality. Moore is very good at showing that Currency Acts were a major contributor to the rise of the revolutionary spirit. 6/
tymoignee.bsky.social
Given this failed, British creditors lobbied the UK parliament to forbid issuance of bills and to remove their legal tender status. They succeeded at that in the 1751 Currency Act for New England and the 1764 act for the whole colonies. 5/
tymoignee.bsky.social
This is actually a major source of frustration for British creditors that led them to first seek a valorist clause in contract (more bills to provide for fx depreciation), which they did get but the court did not enforce well (because too onerous for debtors) 4/
tymoignee.bsky.social
Moore explains very well that this is incorrect. Bills of credit were made legal tender for sterling debts and debtors did not have to compensate for loss of metal content or exchange rate depreciation. 3/
tymoignee.bsky.social
McCurker states: "In repayment of a debt of, let us say, £100 sterling, the onus was on the debtor to produce enough coin of sufficient weight of metal to equal the sum owed." That is he argues that the colonies operated under a metallist legal framework. 2/
tymoignee.bsky.social
Reading McCusker's"Money and Exchange in Europe and America, 1600-1775"as a companion to Moore's "Promise to Pay" (reviewing it). McCusker provide a wealth of data (sorry, the economist in me needs those to anchor any discussion). Now, here is something incorrect in McCusker 1/n
tymoignee.bsky.social
This“wampum, wheat, land, guns, etc. were money” bc they were used as medium of exchange,legal tender or accepted in tax payment really needs to die.Messes up otherwise good monetary history.None of these things were ever money.Payment in kind, generalized barter, and bilateral trade are happening.
tymoignee.bsky.social
Keynote delivered yesterday on environmental issues and how to approach policymaking deal with them: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/7revy...
www.dropbox.com
tymoignee.bsky.social
Yesterday I gave a talk about the macroeconomics of the public debt. Link: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/0w4i9...
www.dropbox.com
tymoignee.bsky.social
New ASCE infrastructure report card is out. Average is C. Aviation, school and a bunch of others are in poor conditions.
Reposted by Eric Tymoigne
clintballinger.bsky.social
Nathan Tankus points out that unlimited FDIC would help resolve this problem crisesnotes.com/the-night-th...

and that allowing the Fed to issue securities is a related issue crisesnotes.com/we-should-au...
clintballinger.bsky.social
The unexpected Triffin Dilemma: Shadow Banking

The elegant fix? More treasuries

The more elegant fix?

Get rid of the Key Currency int’l system altogether

www.imf.org/en/Publicati... #triffin #shadowbanking
Reposted by Eric Tymoigne
rohangrey.bsky.social
🚨New Paper🚨 (hi law reviews!)

‘Digitizing the Fisc’ is the first article to address the current separation of fiscal powers crisis, exemplified by Trump's takeover of the Treasury's payments IT systems, through a tri-dimensional legal, political economic, & technological lens.
tymoignee.bsky.social
Weakening tax redemption channels is a sure way to weaken a gov-issued currency. We need efficiency in tax collection: low cost of collection, easy tracking of dues owed and paid, eliminate loopholes, strong investigation team, no favoritism, etc.
www.nytimes.com/2025/03/10/u...
Inside Trump’s War on the I.R.S.: Dropped Audits and a Skeleton Staff
President Trump is planning to gut the work force while trying to turn the I.R.S. into a more political agency.
www.nytimes.com
tymoignee.bsky.social
With regulation catching up and a growing expansion of this payment aystem that could threaten financial stability ultimately the Fed will have to intervene to guarantee conversion ability into the dollar and across stablecoin issuers.

Basically a repetition of what happened with private banknotes
tymoignee.bsky.social
1- determination of which issuer is creditworthy (i.e. is willing and able to sustain conversion on demand at par): failure in the payment system
2- ability to convert on stablecoin into another as integration of payment system based on stablecoin develops
tymoignee.bsky.social
Stablecoin=promise to redeem (via conversion) at par on demand into dollar-denominated monetary instrument
Multiple issuers are emerging and two central issues will come up.