Uri Simonsohn
@urisohn.bsky.social
3.2K followers 570 following 810 posts
Pragmatic methodologist and behavioral scientist at Esade business school. Barcelona website: https://urisohn.com Blog: https://DataColada.org
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urisohn.bsky.social
With statistics prediction is easier than causal inference.
With punditry it's the opposite.
urisohn.bsky.social
Which restrictions do you have in mind?
urisohn.bsky.social
why may chatgpt give better answers than Cursor, even when i set gpt as the engine for the latter and it has the whole project as background instead of just one script?
Reposted by Uri Simonsohn
nicgaston.bsky.social
First time I’ve seen the rabbit/bird illusion with an actual photo. Took me just a half second to process the word in all caps…
mfyfyr.bsky.social
whomst among us etc
urisohn.bsky.social
I don't think it is fair to characterize this as a "both sides' situation. I tried *for months* to engage in open dialogue

They lacked the common-decency to reply to the emails asking for the paper, after I answered emails from them for years

If they write a reply, happy to have a follow-up post
urisohn.bsky.social
2) Clintin & Richard say we claim to test if p-curve is skewed but we don't do that

I see this as semantics.

Indeed. We don't test whether *observed* p-values are skewed.
Rather. We test whether data generator produces skewed ps

e.g. p=.0001, p=.0002 are not skewed but suggest skewed generator
urisohn.bsky.social
They say, I think 2 things that fall in this category.

1 ) Clintin & Richard say "evidential value" is not a stats concept.

I agree, but this is because we invented it. We needed a term for "significant after accounting for p-hacking", It didn't exist, so we came up with evidential value.
urisohn.bsky.social
A feature i really like is custom intro and "outro" skipping so you skip the yada yada and get to the actual episode
urisohn.bsky.social
Victorian Internet by Sandage

History of the Telegraph
urisohn.bsky.social
yeah, i never got in portrait mode. but i can see the upside of 2 screens if you like that
urisohn.bsky.social
Been using two monitors for many, many years.
Just tried a single wide (curved 34") monitor instead.

It's slightly less wide total a bit taller.
It's way better.

Looing at center of screen instead of to the side, no dead zone in the middle.
Reposted by Uri Simonsohn
duhe.bsky.social
While in many respects the situation is dire I think it’s worth pointing out that there are multiple scientific ecosystems. Being scandalized shows that we normally live in a better functioning, privileged part of the scientific community.
gautamkamath.com
System is so broken:
- researchers write papers no one reads
- reviewers don't have time to review, shamed to coauthors, use LLMs instead of reading
- authors try to fool said LLMs with prompt injection
- evaling researchers based on # of papers (no time to read)

Dystopic.
urisohn.bsky.social
With their approach this seems easy actually. What we call 'treated stimulus design'. Draw one man, black or white, algorithmically generate the twin of the other race. And There is still room for stratified sampling
Reposted by Uri Simonsohn
datacolada.bsky.social
Colada[128] The Best Audit Study and its interesting shortcoming
datacolada.org/128
urisohn.bsky.social
Interesting that 10% of people don't answer leading poll questions.
urisohn.bsky.social
It's what we choose to focus on actually.
urisohn.bsky.social
I dont think thats a realistic concern if you just browse the home page. It's a funny headline, but not super diagnostic
Reposted by Uri Simonsohn
urisohn.bsky.social
Fellow European researchers, if at all in your power, try to get your school to consider late applicants who were admitted to US programs.

Hearing from many cases of admitted to top US schools who last minute realize they won't be allowed in the country.
urisohn.bsky.social
Still seems like no footage, no witness accounts, denials by idf and agency, and only source is the terrorist group who has an incentive to make stuff up...
urisohn.bsky.social
Hm, Israel and the aid agency deny the shooting.
We can't adjudicate the truth here, but if the journalists don't tell you that it's disputed, I think you should not trust the journalists.
Reposted by Uri Simonsohn
urisohn.bsky.social
I think the best comparison would be something like
X1: how interesting is the (non)finding?
X2: how credible is the finding?

Compare x1*x2 across formats

Know of any attempts to do that?

(though even that is just a correlation)