valubull28.bsky.social
@valubull28.bsky.social
Value investor, analyst. Macro.
Independent moderate conservative.
Anti-Division, we're in this together
Michigan
The Trumplican GRIFT is so palpable Tuttle Capital is trying to launch an ETF, GRFT, which targets firms with ties to Washington powerbrokers. Major exchanges have rejected it without explanation. They're gonna try the new Texas exchange.
January 1, 2026 at 5:16 PM
Are Democrats and moderates the new conservatives: Conserving the American way of life?
x.com/i/grok/share...
Trump and his allies are breaking norms and traditions and pushing against the rule of law. This isn't conservative. Are Democrats and moderates doing more to conserve the American way of life than the Republicans?
Understanding Conservatism in the Context of American Norms Your question cuts to the heart of a profound shift in American politics: the traditional definition of conservatism as a philosophy of preserving established institutions, traditions, and the rule of law. Thinkers like Edmund Burke emphasized incremental change and reverence for historical precedents, while in the U.S., this has long manifested as respect for checks and balances, judicial independence, and the peaceful transfer of power. If Trump's actions and those of his Republican allies are eroding these—through norm-breaking like pressuring the Justice Department, declaring national emergencies for policy goals, or attacking judicial rulings—then yes, it raises a fair point: Who is truly "conserving" the American way of life? Are Democrats and moderates stepping into that role by defending these bulwarks? To answer this, I'll draw on recent analyses and data (as of October 2025), focusing on evidence of norm erosion under Trump, partisan differences in upholding democratic principles, and specific efforts to safeguard institutions. This isn't about partisanship—it's about whether actions align with conserving the constitutional order that has defined America for over two centuries. Evidence of Norm-Breaking by Trump and Republicans Trump's approach has often prioritized executive power over restraint, leading to what scholars describe as "democratic backsliding." This isn't mere policy disagreement; it's a departure from unwritten rules that prevent abuse. Key examples include: Attacks on Judicial Independence: Trump has publicly called for impeaching judges who rule against his administration and posted statements like "He who saves his Country does not violate any law," implying executive override of court decisions. Vice President Vance has echoed this by falsely claiming "judges aren’t allowed to control the executive’s legitimate power." This echoes his first term, where he pressured the DOJ to investigate political enemies, breaching norms of prosecutorial independence. Weaponizing Institutions: Early in his second term, Trump pardoned over 1,500 January 6 defendants on day one, including those convicted of assaulting police, undermining the impartiality of the justice system. He's also targeted law firms with executive orders for "weaponizing" the legal system against him, prompting lawsuits and defenses from firms like Perkins Coie. This builds on first-term actions like declaring a border emergency to bypass Congress. Broader Erosion: Analyses compare this to global backsliding cases (e.g., Hungary, Turkey), noting Trump's focus on "normative democratic erosion" over structural changes—discrediting courts and media without rewriting rules outright. A 2024 study found Republicans more supportive of such violations under their own president, with the GOP rated far higher on "illiberalism" scales (0.7 vs. Democrats' 0.1). These aren't "conservative" in the classical sense; they're disruptive, prioritizing loyalty and power consolidation over stability. Are Democrats and Moderates Doing More to Conserve? In short: Yes, based on current evidence, Democrats and moderates (including independents and some Republicans) appear to be the primary defenders of these traditions, using courts, legislation, and public advocacy to reinforce the rule of law. Republicans, while claiming to restore "law and order," have largely enabled or echoed Trump's overreaches, with GOP congressional majorities blocking oversight. Here's a comparison of efforts: | Aspect of American Way of Life | Republican/Trump Actions (Eroding Norms) | Democratic/Moderate Efforts (Defending Norms) | |------------------------|-----------------------------------------|-----------------------------------------------| | Rule of Law & Judicial Independence | Intimidating judges via impeachment threats and public attacks; dismissing ethics officials like the OGE Director. | Senate Democrats like Dick Durbin pushing resolutions affirming judicial review; "shadow hearings" spotlighting attacks (e.g., led by Rep. Jamie Raskin and Sen. Adam Schiff). Groups like the Campaign Legal Center suing to preserve DOJ independence. | | Elections & Democratic Processes | Efforts to undermine voting access (e.g., via gerrymanders); pardons of election-related convicts. | Coalitions like Democracy 2025 (650+ orgs) preparing legal challenges to Project 2025-style voter suppression; defending the Electoral Count Reform Act. | | Anti-Corruption & Ethics | Refusing divestment from businesses; using federal funds to pressure critics (e.g., universities, media). | Democracy Forward filing daily lawsuits against executive overreach; ABA urging lawyers to defend Constitution. Bipartisan calls (e.g., from ex-GOP gov. Christine Todd Whitman) to codify norms into law. | | Public Confidence in Institutions | GOP confidence in institutions (e.g., presidency, police) has surged under Trump (+73 points for presidency), while Democrats' has plummeted to a 1979 low (26%). | Pew data shows Democrats prioritizing "pushing back" on Trump (67%+ say officials aren't aggressive enough); moderates/independents blame GOP more for shutdowns. | Pew surveys reinforce this: 77% of Republicans say Trump respects democratic institutions, vs. just 16% of Democrats. Meanwhile, Democrats' average favorability toward their own party has dipped amid frustration over perceived weakness, but their institutional trust remains higher overall. Moderates and Democratic-leaning independents (41% of those unfavorable to both parties) are key, often siding with defenses of norms. The Bigger Picture: Resilience and the Path Forward America's democracy has proven resilient—wealthy civil society, independent media, and state-level pushback have blunted worse outcomes so far. But as ODI notes, surviving isn't thriving; quality erodes without active conservation. Democrats and moderates are filling this void through litigation (e.g., blocking unlawful firings during shutdowns) and coalitions, but success hinges on broader buy-in, including from disillusioned Republicans. Ultimately, if conservatism means upholding the "soft guardrails" of democracy, then yes—Democrats and moderates are currently doing more to conserve it. This isn't a win for one side; it's a call for all Americans to reclaim those traditions before they fray further. What specific norm or institution concerns you most? I'd be glad to dive deeper.
x.com
October 7, 2025 at 4:28 PM
Will Trump fire Powell to divert attention from Epstein files?
Sure seems like a lot of speculation in that direction.
Firing Powell and appointing a compliant sycophant could drive down short term rates but drive up long term rates as the bond market loses confidence in the fed to fight inflation.
July 16, 2025 at 4:06 PM
Cynical timing of OBBB so constituents don't feel impact till after midterms Gift article..read free
www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
The GOP’s Medicaid Cuts Have a Very Convenient Timeline
Voters in swing states are unlikely to punish lawmakers for slashing health-care benefits next year. Why? The pain is postponed until after the election.
www.bloomberg.com
July 14, 2025 at 2:54 PM
AI Job Risk: Current fear & Historical perspective
www.city-journal.org/article/zohr...
Zohran Mamdani, AI, and the Job Apocalypse
The disaffected laptop class fears the artificial intelligence revolution.
www.city-journal.org
July 14, 2025 at 2:47 PM
Name for TSLA FSD vehicle, "Terminator."
“Tesla’s driverless ‘robotaxis’ could launch in Austin as soon as June 22. But a demo in Austin today showed a $TSLA, manually driven to test its Full Self-Driving system, failed to stop for a child-sized dummy at a school bus—and hit it.”

@cbsaustin @velez_tx
June 13, 2025 at 4:39 PM
Reposted
“.. ‘Whether people are legal or not, they don’t care,’ Alvarado said. ‘If chaos and fear is what they were after, they’ve accomplished it.’”

@barrons.com
www.barrons.com/articles/ice...
June 12, 2025 at 9:55 PM
Reposted
June 12, 2025 at 1:42 AM
Reposted
June 12, 2025 at 1:42 AM
Reposted
HERO ! ZERO !
June 12, 2025 at 10:39 AM
What was yoy supercore, core services - OER based on today's CPI REPORT?
June 11, 2025 at 1:18 PM
Reposted
😂😂😂😂
June 7, 2025 at 12:05 AM