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Reposted by Vincent Pons

Ryan Enos @ryanenos.bsky.social · 21h

Our future depends on who can coordinate best and how Americans answer the two most urgent questions in our politics: Will the administration succeed in picking off enough of the opposition such that resistance seems useless?

www.nytimes.com/2025/10/08/o...

Opinion | You Beat Trumpism by Banding Together. It’s as Hard and as Simple as That.

www.nytimes.com

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Vincent Pons @vinpons.bsky.social · 9d

Et si l'on réformait enfin l'impôt sur les successions? Ma dernière chronique pour @lesechosfr.bsky.social 👇👇

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Vincent Pons @vinpons.bsky.social · 19d

Thanks to @aeajournals.bsky.social for highlighting our August 2025 AER paper in their featured charts series! 👇👇
"Keep Your Enemies Closer: Strategic Platform Adjustments during US and French Elections" w/ R. Di Tella, R. Kotti and @clpennec.bsky.social

AEA Journals @aeajournals.bsky.social · Sep 4

Political candidates systematically move toward the political center between the first and second rounds of an election, say researchers at Harvard and @hec.ca. Their findings help confirm the forces behind the median voter theorem. #econsky www.aeaweb.org/research/cha...

Moving toward the center

How do politicians adjust their messages based on who they're running against?

www.aeaweb.org

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Vincent Pons @vinpons.bsky.social · Sep 4

Merci à Guillaume Erner pour son invitation à dialoguer sur la fatigue démocratique en France et aux Etats-Unis, sur la matinale de @franceculture.fr !

www.radiofrance.fr/francecultur...

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Vincent Pons @vinpons.bsky.social · Aug 26

Trump encense Milei, mais imite les Kirchner.
Ma dernière chronique pour @lesechosfr.bsky.social 👇👇👇

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Reposted by Vincent Pons

Social Science Research Council @ssrc.org · Aug 12

In @aeajournals.bsky.social AER, Rafael Di Tella, Randy Kotti, @clpennec.bsky.social, and @vinpons.bsky.social examine a new dataset of US and French candidate websites, finding that candidate ideologies move towards the center between primary and general elections.

www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...

We study changes in political discourse during campaigns, using a novel dataset of candidate websites for US House elections, 2002–2016, and manifestos for French parliamentary and local elections, 1958–2022. We find that candidates move to the center in ideology and rhetorical complexity between the first round (or primary) and the second round (or general election). This convergence reflects candidates' strategic adjustment to their opponents, as predicted by Downsian competition: Using an RDD we show that candidates converge to the platform of opponents who narrowly qualified for the last round as opposed to those who narrowly failed to qualify.

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Vincent Pons @vinpons.bsky.social · Aug 4

Full paper here: www.vincentpons.org/median-voter.... (n/n)

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Vincent Pons @vinpons.bsky.social · Aug 4

Second, this convergence reflects candidates’ strategic adjustment to their opponents, as predicted by Downsian competition: Using an RDD we show that candidates converge to the platform of opponents who narrowly qualified for the last round as opposed to those who narrowly failed to qualify. (3/n)

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Vincent Pons @vinpons.bsky.social · Aug 4

We use candidate websites for US House elections, 2002–2016, and manifestos for French parl. and local elections, 1958–2022.
We show, first, that candidates move to the center in ideology and rhetorical complexity between the 1st round (or primary) and the 2nd round (or general election). (2/n)

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Vincent Pons @vinpons.bsky.social · Aug 4

Thrilled to see our paper published in the American Economic Review!! 👇👇👇
We show that candidates in US and French elections move to the center during the campaign, reflecting strategic adjustment to their opponents.
@aeajournals.bsky.social with R. Di Tella, R. Kotti and @clpennec.bsky.social (1/n)

AEA Journals @aeajournals.bsky.social · Jun 5

Forthcoming in the AER: "Keep your Enemies Closer: Strategic Platform Adjustments during U.S. and French Elections" by Rafael Di Tella, Randy Kotti, Caroline Le Pennec, and Vincent Pons. www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...

Keep your Enemies Closer: Strategic Platform Adjustments during U.S. and French Elections

(Forthcoming Article) - We study changes in political discourse during campaigns, using a novel dataset of candidate websites for U.S. House elections, 2002-2016, and manifestos for French parliamenta...

www.aeaweb.org

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Reposted by Vincent Pons

Philippe Moreau Chevrolet @moreauchevrolet.bsky.social · Jul 21

« Oui, la démocratie américaine est menacée »
Abonnez-vous à « Réarmer la démocratie - le podcast de Philippe Moreau Chevrolet » et suivez mon échange avec @vinpons.bsky.social
Disponible sur Spotify et sur Substack.

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Vincent Pons @vinpons.bsky.social · Jul 8

Très honoré d'avoir été le premier invité du podcast "Réarmer la démocratie"!! 👇👇

Merci à @moreauchevrolet.bsky.social pour cette discussion passionnante sur la guerre menée par Trump contre les universités, les effets de sa politique économique, et les défis économiques de la France.

Philippe Moreau Chevrolet @moreauchevrolet.bsky.social · Jul 6

« La démocratie est menacée »
dirtypolitics.substack.com/p/la-democra...

"La démocratie américaine est menacée"

1er numéro du Podcast "Réarmer la démocratie", animé par Philippe Moreau Chevrolet. Dialogue avec Vincent Pons, Professeur à Harvard, éditorialiste aux Echos, membre du Conseil d'analyse économique.

dirtypolitics.substack.com

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Vincent Pons @vinpons.bsky.social · Jun 26

Très heureux de devenir membre du Conseil d'Analyse économique!!
Hâte de commencer le travail avec @abergeaud.bsky.social, Florence Jusot, Pauline Rossi, Emmanuelle Taugourdeau, Benoit Mojon, ainsi que les membres existants, Xavier Jaravel, et toute l'équipe du @caeeco.bsky.social!

Conseil d'analyse économique @caeeco.bsky.social · Jun 26

🔔 Antonin Bergeaud (HEC Paris), Florence Jusot (Paris Dauphine), Vincent Pons (Harvard ), Pauline Rossi et Emmanuelle Taugourdeau (Polytechnique), et Benoit Mojon (BSI) viennent d'être nommés membres du CAE par arrêté du Premier ministre.
Bienvenue à eux
▶️ cae-eco.fr/nouvelles-no...

Nouvelles nominations au Conseil d'analyse économique

cae-eco.fr

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Vincent Pons @vinpons.bsky.social · Jun 20

Donald Trump déroule son programme populiste et anti-redistributif.
Ma dernière chronique pour @lesechosfr.bsky.social 👇👇👇

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Reposted by Vincent Pons

Indivisible ❌👑 @handle.invalid · Jun 9

We will not cower, even in the face of Trump’s militarized escalation.

On Saturday, we are going to rise up all across the country in defiance of this administration’s authoritarian agenda.

Join the nationwide peaceful protests for No Kings Day: www.nokings.org?SQF_SOURCE=i...

(around an image of a map of No Kings events) NO KINGS JUNE 14 - NATIONWIDE DAY OF DEFIANCE nokings.org

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Vincent Pons @vinpons.bsky.social · Jun 5

Tagging my coauthor @vincent-rollet.bsky.social who recently joined Bluesky!

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Vincent Pons @vinpons.bsky.social · Jun 5

Version 2.0 of the National Elections Database is online! nationalelectionsdatabase.com
We cover presidential and parliamentary elections 1789–2023, extending the post-1945 data of Electoral Turnovers @reveconstudies.bsky.social (academic.oup.com/restud/advan...)
w/ Benjamin Marx and Vincent Rollet

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Vincent Pons @vinpons.bsky.social · May 13

Harvard résiste, les universités françaises pourraient-elles en faire autant ?
Ma dernière chronique pour @lesechosfr.bsky.social 👇👇👇

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Reposted by Vincent Pons

Gemma Dipoppa @gemmadipoppa.bsky.social · Apr 28

📌 Excited to announce the 2nd Northeast Political Economy Conference 📌 We (briangknight.bsky.social) are seeking submissions from economists & political scientists working on political economy topics.

Please submit by June 16 and join us at Brown on Friday, Oct 3 forms.gle/i4wi88Q6P3tJ...

briangknight.bsky.social

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Vincent Pons @vinpons.bsky.social · Apr 4

L'heure de la riposte: Ma dernière chronique pour @lesechosfr.bsky.social 👇👇👇

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Reposted by Vincent Pons

The Review of Economic Studies (REStud) @reveconstudies.bsky.social · Mar 20

"National Elections Database," including the results of 1,023 presidential and 2,962 parliamentary elections conducted worldwide since 1946!
From @vinpons.bsky.social, Marx and Rollet.

The companion paper: www.restud.com/electoral-tu...

#EconSky #Elections

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