Connor
@waldoch.bsky.social
2.8K followers 1K following 1.3K posts
Energy and other stuff. Some coding, some reading. Graphs and maps, birds and sports
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waldoch.bsky.social
the weather is nice, so we are back in the bird zone 🧵

all taken in a kayak with a canon r6 mk2 and the RF 800mm f11

I use a waterproof flyfishing bag from fishpond for the camera, but it's still a fraught endeavor

first up, some osprey action

#birds
osprey in the air with wings open osprey landing on a tree piece osprey with wings open on a tree piece annoyed osprey in a nest
waldoch.bsky.social
There will be overlap between this and the energy side of my feed

Expect an eclectic mix of market events, news, and stakeholder materials from our own specific perspectives, not faceless analysts or aggregate LLM output

Looking forward to figuring out what folks want to see in this context
gridstatus.io
A little teaser of our next product release: Grid Status Insights.

Insights is a real-time feed of expert commentary on energy markets and the electric grid — straight from our team of talented analysts.

If you’ve enjoyed our blogs or social posts, you’re going to love this. Stay tuned 🔌💡
waldoch.bsky.social
thanks google, I'll be sure to check out the Electric Digital Authority Market that doesn't exist after I'm done reading about the Extended Day-Ahead Market (EDAM) that I was searching for something on

this is such a weirdly specific fuckup
waldoch.bsky.social
the people at the top of these will make their money while absolutely demolishing credulity and momentum for other new nuclear along the way

or, they would, but the market seems willing to throw an awful lot of money at anything that can be related to data centers atm
waldoch.bsky.social
$700M for Crypto.com to have the naming rights to the Lakers arena, feel like that's sufficiently tech and wildly more
waldoch.bsky.social
I’m not surprised by the presence of people in American politics that fundamentally don’t believe in the American project, but I am perpetually shocked that their will is being carried out by so many variants of “that one weird dude in the forum that everyone dunks on for being insane”
Reposted by Connor
gridstatus.io
We’re early in the process of rolling out a new app— Nodal Analysis. DM if you’d like to test it and share feedback 🔌💡

We built it with two key upgrades:

1. A new database that runs on-demand analysis of years of data in seconds
2. An enhanced process for organizing the metadata for 75k+ locations
waldoch.bsky.social
it's a reference to the duck curve
waldoch.bsky.social
it's a little extra confusing because the total clear was ~$16B this year, but the $16B they attribute to datacenters is ~$9B last year and ~$7B this year.

Next year no longer has the current price cap agreement, so 🤷‍♂️
kevinjkircher.com
$16 billion. That's how much the PJM market monitor estimates that electricity ratepayers will pay via increased utility bills to subsidize interconnection of data centers owned by Big Tech. A massive give-away to some of the most profitable companies in the world.

www.eenews.net/articles/dat...
Data center boom sparks sticker shock for PJM ratepayers
New analyses show that costs passed on to utility customers to guarantee future electricity demand are rising rapidly.
www.eenews.net
waldoch.bsky.social
"trespassers"

sheesh
waldoch.bsky.social
There’s a range here from ~100% crypto to ~100% data center

ND is on the crypto end, VA is on the data center end

This does matter quite a bit in terms of their actual relationship with the grid

Not here is that electrification of o&g has driven more demand than compute where it occurs 🔌💡
josephpolitano.bsky.social
Yet data centers do not just need computers to train AI—they also require industrial-scale levels of electricity. US commercial power consumption has risen 7% since 2020, with faster increases in more data-center-heavy states like Virginia, Texas, Oregon, and North Dakota.
A graph depicting electricity sales to commercial users in major states and across the US
waldoch.bsky.social
After some time in Boston this week and taking the T, being back in DC on the metro feels like jumping into the space age
waldoch.bsky.social
Arlington (Ballston) as well
Building in Arlington, art deco-ish
waldoch.bsky.social
unbelievable levels of stupidity and lazy work on display in these DOE clawbacks

they 100% ctrl+f searched for blue states to cancel things, but this MISO-SPP seams transmission project affects 7 states (including 6 red ones) and they clearly didn't read anything 🔌💡

yardsale.energy/doe-terminat...
DOE Terminates $464 Million for Midwest Transmission Expansion – Yardsale Energy
yardsale.energy
Reposted by Connor
gridstatus.io
It’s duck hunting season as California’s summer fades away and demand from batteries takes firm grasp of CAISO’s daily demand curves 🔌💡
chart showing load with and without battery charging in CAISO
waldoch.bsky.social
the financial markets reporting is all like "they cashed in", "these people are ultra rich now", "the stock popped", lots of "wow, how amazing" vibes, and then buried at the very end, "but questions remain"

idk, maybe it was better 12 years ago, I was in sleepy hydro and no one cared about energy
waldoch.bsky.social
instantly made a handful of people paper billionaires

I was joking about this just a few weeks ago, how ridiculous the whole thing is, 4 AP100s, etc., and yet I still completely underestimated the greed in the market and how valuable people think a certain political affiliation is
waldoch.bsky.social
takes me back to being freshly out of undergrad, what great times those were on the job market 😍
carlquintanilla.bsky.social
“.. weakest September for job creation since 2011 ..”

> @weisenthal.bsky.social
waldoch.bsky.social
"rewrite this code using matplotlib instead of plotly because matplotlib handles bargap=0 much better"

still have to know that matplotlib is better at that, but nice time saver

also has led me to writing out what I want to get to more thoroughly than just sort of experimenting as I code
waldoch.bsky.social
You and the guy she told you not to worry about
waldoch.bsky.social
you would need sustained astronomically high capacity prices to lower total bills by 20% with ~24 GW (after ELCC adjustment) of DR between the two largest markets given everything that goes into a bill

upstream, all-in prices in past years are useful to get a handle on wholesale costs 🔌💡
Reposted by Connor
patsobkowski.com
Not only is this foreign aid stay an assault on the separation of powers and rule of law, it’s also an assault on Congress as an institution. If Congress can’t tell the executive to spend money, what can it *actually* do?
waldoch.bsky.social
isn't the three shots thing linked directly back to the first UK doctor who became the face of vaccine skepticism because he wanted to sell his own individual shots instead of the combo?

this remains the stupidest timeline
atrupar.com
Highly normal. Nothing to see here, folks.
Pregnant Women, DON’T USE TYLENOL UNLESS ABSOLUTELY NECESSARY, DON’T GIVE TYLENOL TO YOUR YOUNG CHILD FOR VIRTUALLY ANY REASON, BREAK UP THE MMR SHOT INTO THREE TOTALLY SEPARATE SHOTS (NOT MIXED!), TAKE CHICKEN P SHOT SEPARATELY, TAKE HEPATITAS B SHOT AT 12 YEARS OLD, OR OLDER, AND, IMPORTANTLY, TAKE VACCINE IN 5 SEPARATE MEDICAL VISITS! President DJT
waldoch.bsky.social
one of these is not like the others

3/4 saw in theater, which was nice
one battle after another, happy gilmore 2, jaws, RAN, last 4 movies logged on letterboxd