Three authors lead Nobel betting

22h

The Swedish Academy will announce the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature on Thursday, with bookmakers and publishers naming favorites including László Krasznahorkai, Amitav Ghosh and Cristina Rivera Garza.

by Jonathan Wolff

Scholar power: 0.0%

Story's scientific field profile

Art 67%, Communication & Media Studies 22%, Sociology 11%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Jonathan Wolff	0%	33	0.0%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

49.0%

23.0 h

0.0%

Ranking score

0.004

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Jo Wolff

@jowolff.bsky.social

Last year the Nobel Prizes seemed dominated by AI. This year they are not, I think (open to correction if I’m wrong). Hmmm.

4 14

Reposted by: Kamiar Mohaddes

Scholar power: 3%

Story's scientific field profile

Art 67%, Communication & Media Studies 22%, Sociology 11%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Kamiar Mohaddes	-	32	-

Reposted by: Bruno Amable

Scholar power: 0.0%

Story's scientific field profile

Art 67%, Communication & Media Studies 22%, Sociology 11%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Bruno Amable	0%	37	0.0%

Formula for scholar power: sum of each reposter's field match × √reposter's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

45.0%

23.3 h

0.0%

Ranking score

0.001

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3