#lpc
The vast majority of Canadians agree that the COVID-19 vaccine should be free — except Conservatives:

🔴 LPC: 90%
🟠 NDP: 91%
⚜️ BQ: 79%
🔵 CPC: 44%
Large majority of Canadians agree that the COVID-19 vaccine should be free
A large majority of Canadians agree that the COVID-19 vaccine should be free. Alberta and Quebec have begun charging for the vaccine.
cultmtl.com
November 9, 2025 at 6:39 PM
Bonus #1:

You probably don't appreciate how precarious the Liberal win was.

Popular vote:

LPC: 43.76%
CPC: 41.31%

Without *appropriate* strategic voting (i.e., in ridings that were clearly only between LPC and CPC), we get PM PP. And Carney is driving away progressives now.
November 9, 2025 at 3:20 PM
#BirdOfTheDay being #StandingOnThings (by @robcrank68.bsky.social)
A Little Pied Cormorant and a Little Grey Cormorant
(Need to open the photo to see the LPC)
November 9, 2025 at 8:58 AM
The LPC is the most Regime-pilled party in the democratic West.
November 8, 2025 at 2:17 PM
Bonus #2:

Carney does not in any sense have a strong mandate.

i) It's a minority government.

ii) LPC had support from 30% of the electorate. (43.76% x 69.5% turnout).
November 9, 2025 at 3:20 PM
Polling Canada Federal Model Update:

🔴 LPC: 171 (+2)
🔵 CPC: 135 (-9)
⚜️ BQ: 23 (+1)
🟠 NDP: 12 (+5)
🟢 GPC: 2 (+1)

(Seat Changes With 2025 Federal Election)

- November 8, 2025 -

Full model article here: open.substack.com/pub/canadian...
Is a Liberal Majority on the Table?
While they slip in the latest polls, floor crossing drama has inched them even closer to a majority in parliament
open.substack.com
November 8, 2025 at 1:53 PM
It would be really, really funny if the LPC budget passed with an LPC majority vote due to floor crossers.

Pierre definitely does not survive the leadership review if his leadership style costs the PCs an election with a huge lead and also gives the LPC a majority.
November 6, 2025 at 2:10 PM
Polling Canada Federal Model Update:

🔴 LPC: 171 (+2)
🔵 CPC: 135 (-9)
⚜️ BQ: 23 (+1)
🟠 NDP: 12 (+5)
🟢 GPC: 2 (+1)

(Seat Changes With 2025 Federal Election)

- November 8, 2025 -

Full model article here: canadianpolling.substack.com/p/is-a-liber...
Is a Liberal Majority on the Table?
While they slip in the latest polls, floor crossing drama has inched them even closer to a majority in parliament
canadianpolling.substack.com
November 10, 2025 at 5:21 PM
Considering PM Carney‘s office made time for 177 meetings w/ oil/gas industry, it’s clear Cdns are mere fodder for LPC Govt’s plan for oil/gas revenues.
Indigenous communities & Cdns’ well being be damned:
“Tuccaro said his community has sent letter and

www.nationalobserver.com/2025/11/06/n...
Alberta chiefs say oilsands causing cancer surge, call for halt to tailings plan
Indigenous leaders in Alberta say unchecked oilsands development is devastating their land and could be linked to rising cancer rates in their communities.
www.nationalobserver.com
November 9, 2025 at 8:39 PM
The BQ, 2025Q3, had 956 donors who gave an average of $108.29. CPC was 53,725 donors/average of $78.80. LPC had most donor — 77,064 — but they gave just $38.39 on average. NDP 30,677 / average of $28.64.

The per capita donations for the CPC, LPC, NDP were the lowest in a decade. #cdnpoli
November 9, 2025 at 2:16 PM
📊Federal 🇨🇦 voting intentions from Léger:

🔴LPC 43%
🔵CPC 38%
⚜️BQ 7% (32% in QC)
🟠NDP 7%
🟢GPC 4%

338canada.com/20251101-leg...

[Léger, Oct.31-Nov.2, 2025, n=1,585]

#canpoli
338Canada | Leger federal poll, November 2025
338canada.com
November 7, 2025 at 12:33 PM
(Support Me By Subscribing/Donating)

Federal Polling:

LPC: 44% (-)
CPC: 36% (-5)
NDP: 10% (+4)
BQ: 6% (-)
GPC: 2% (+1)
PPC: 1% (-)

Liaison / Nov 8, 2025 / n=899 / MOE 3.1% / IVR

(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)

Visit @338canada.bsky.social for polling details: 338canada.com
November 10, 2025 at 5:20 PM
(Support Me By Subscribing/Donating)

Federal Polling:

LPC: 43% (-1)
CPC: 38% (-3)
NDP: 7% (+1)
BQ: 7% (+1)
GPC: 4% (+3)
Others: 2%

Leger / Nov 2, 2025 / n=1356 / Online

(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)

Visit @338canada.bsky.social for polling details: 338canada.com
November 7, 2025 at 4:47 PM
(Support Me By Subscribing/Donating)

Federal Polling:

CPC: 41% (-)
LPC: 40% (-4)
NDP: 8% (+2)
BQ: 7% (+1)
GPC: 2% (+1)
PPC: 1% (-)

Abacus / Nov 6, 2025 / n=1679 / Online

(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)

Visit @338canada.bsky.social for polling details: 338canada.com
November 10, 2025 at 5:26 PM
If anything, I think he needs to understand that his temporary voter coalition will collapse if he continues to steer us to the right.

I'm already hearing a lot of regret from NDP voters who went LPC this time around, and even from some LPC voters who expected Carney to continue Trudeau's policies.
November 9, 2025 at 3:26 PM
Poilievre losses in 2025
- Glasses
- Political nemesis
- 25 point lead in polls
- General election
- His seat (riding)
- A caucus member to LPC
- MP from caucus

Conservatives for the WIN!

#cdnpoli
November 7, 2025 at 5:20 PM
Get him!
November 11, 2025 at 3:00 AM
Since #Budget2025 was tabled @mark-carney.bsky.social’s lead on the Conservatives has grown from 4 to 8 points.

The LPC lead is now statistically significant

- by 14 points in Ontario
- by 10 points in BC

#cdnpoli
November 10, 2025 at 11:33 AM
(Support Me By Subscribing/Donating)

Federal Polling:

LPC: 40% (-4)
CPC: 37% (-4)
NDP: 11% (+5)
BQ: 8% (+2)
GPC: 2% (+1)
PPC: 1% (-)

Nanos / November 7, 2025 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online

(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)

Visit @338canada.bsky.social for polling details: 338canada.com
November 10, 2025 at 10:49 PM
Do you remember the Jason Kenny shit-show in Alberta ?

I admit he was better than Danielle but if JK is the best the CPC can do the LPC must be smiling 🙂.

#cdnpoli
November 7, 2025 at 4:00 AM
Federal Polling With (X) As Conservative Leader:

Poilievre:
🔵 CPC: 38%
🔴 LPC: 36%

Ford:
🔴 LPC: 34%
🔵 CPC: 31%

Harper:
🔴 LPC: 39%
🔵 CPC: 34%

C. Mulroney:
🔴 LPC: 36%
🔵 CPC: 29%

Kenney:
🔴 LPC: 38%
🔵 CPC: 30%

Abacus Data / Oct 29, 2025 / n=2922 / Online
November 7, 2025 at 10:28 PM
CPC: Deficit dooooooom!
LPC: Hooray the budget! *clap clap*
Over and over and over again, because each side is harvesting clips.
This is not how #QP used to work. It’s absolutely dysfunctional.
a drag queen in a blue dress is sitting in front of a pink sign that says week
Alt: Bianca Del Rio is judging you
media.tenor.com
November 7, 2025 at 4:35 PM
📊Federal 🇨🇦 voting intentions from Liaison Strategies:

🔴LPC 44%
🔵CPC 36%
🟠NDP 10%
⚜️BQ 6% (24% in QC)
🟢GPC 2%
🟣PPC 1%

338canada.com/20251108-lia...

[Liaison Strategies, November 7-8, 2025, n=1,000]

#canpoli
338Canada | Liaison Strategies federal poll, November 2025
338canada.com
November 10, 2025 at 12:34 PM
Trudeau being named leader of the LPC a decade ago fried his brain. He’s been weird for a while.
November 10, 2025 at 7:53 PM