In an optimal scenario, #eurozone monetary policy would become more flexible, too, as @ECB hike faster on the way up to keep #inflation expectations anchored, followed by faster rate cuts as #inflation recedes, notes @oxfordeconomics
November 22, 2024 at 6:28 AM
In an optimal scenario, #eurozone monetary policy would become more flexible, too, as @ECB hike faster on the way up to keep #inflation expectations anchored, followed by faster rate cuts as #inflation recedes, notes @oxfordeconomics
March 14, 2025 at 8:36 AM
On a related note, @OxfordEconomics has an interesting note out today, it says the UK is one of the countries most at risk from "monetary overkill", based on various metrics.
December 4, 2024 at 11:25 AM
On a related note, @OxfordEconomics has an interesting note out today, it says the UK is one of the countries most at risk from "monetary overkill", based on various metrics.
Nominees on the list of countries with 2026’s most promising trade and economic growth upside are rolling in, and Canada has yet to appear as a contender in any category.… tinyurl.com/mr28mjtn
#ExportDevelopmentCanada #CUSMA #CETA #OxfordEconomics #VespucciMaritime
#ExportDevelopmentCanada #CUSMA #CETA #OxfordEconomics #VespucciMaritime
December 16, 2025 at 3:55 PM
Nominees on the list of countries with 2026’s most promising trade and economic growth upside are rolling in, and Canada has yet to appear as a contender in any category.… tinyurl.com/mr28mjtn
#ExportDevelopmentCanada #CUSMA #CETA #OxfordEconomics #VespucciMaritime
#ExportDevelopmentCanada #CUSMA #CETA #OxfordEconomics #VespucciMaritime
Economists at @OxfordEconomics putting their money where their mouth is:
• 60% chance of WA being implemented
• 35% of no deal
• 5% of 2nd ref
@ajgoodwin1
• 60% chance of WA being implemented
• 35% of no deal
• 5% of 2nd ref
@ajgoodwin1
December 6, 2024 at 4:23 PM
Economists at @OxfordEconomics putting their money where their mouth is:
• 60% chance of WA being implemented
• 35% of no deal
• 5% of 2nd ref
@ajgoodwin1
• 60% chance of WA being implemented
• 35% of no deal
• 5% of 2nd ref
@ajgoodwin1
March 21, 2025 at 7:59 AM
Verdict on Rishi Sunak's economic pledges from @ajgoodwin1 of @OxfordEconomics:
"An odd collection ranged from the relatively easy to achieve to being so vague that success will be difficult to judge objectively. It's hard to argue the pledges are economically meaningful."
"An odd collection ranged from the relatively easy to achieve to being so vague that success will be difficult to judge objectively. It's hard to argue the pledges are economically meaningful."
December 4, 2024 at 11:41 AM
Verdict on Rishi Sunak's economic pledges from @ajgoodwin1 of @OxfordEconomics:
"An odd collection ranged from the relatively easy to achieve to being so vague that success will be difficult to judge objectively. It's hard to argue the pledges are economically meaningful."
"An odd collection ranged from the relatively easy to achieve to being so vague that success will be difficult to judge objectively. It's hard to argue the pledges are economically meaningful."
Plenty of footnotes to Brexit analyses done in 2016 -- @OxfordEconomics, @OECD, @CER_EU, @CEP_LSE
But no references to HMT's own 2016 analyses. 🤔🤔
But no references to HMT's own 2016 analyses. 🤔🤔
December 6, 2024 at 5:59 PM
Plenty of footnotes to Brexit analyses done in 2016 -- @OxfordEconomics, @OECD, @CER_EU, @CEP_LSE
But no references to HMT's own 2016 analyses. 🤔🤔
But no references to HMT's own 2016 analyses. 🤔🤔
To put the #tariffs on Chinese goods in context, these are only going to raise prices on a subset of imports. Louise Loo of @OxfordEconomics predicts the tariffs are an effective rate of 2ppt.
Still not good for the American consumer though. Chart from @piie.com (with my red line). #EconSky
Still not good for the American consumer though. Chart from @piie.com (with my red line). #EconSky
February 4, 2025 at 12:45 PM
The #growth consequences are mostly negative under former president Trump and mostly positive (albeit very marginal) under VP #KamalaHarris - notes @oxfordeconomics
October 4, 2024 at 7:50 AM
The #growth consequences are mostly negative under former president Trump and mostly positive (albeit very marginal) under VP #KamalaHarris - notes @oxfordeconomics
25% #tariffs on #Canada threatened by US President-elect #DonaldTrump earlier this week would push Canada into a #recession in 2025, cause a sharp spike in inflation, and force #BoC to hold rates higher next year, chart @oxfordeconomics
December 6, 2024 at 7:07 AM
25% #tariffs on #Canada threatened by US President-elect #DonaldTrump earlier this week would push Canada into a #recession in 2025, cause a sharp spike in inflation, and force #BoC to hold rates higher next year, chart @oxfordeconomics
Note: #France and #Italy are suffering from #Germany’s obsession with #austerity
An optimistic forecast for GDP growth in the #euro area 2026: 0.8%, chart @OxfordEconomics
An optimistic forecast for GDP growth in the #euro area 2026: 0.8%, chart @OxfordEconomics
September 20, 2025 at 6:28 AM
Note: #France and #Italy are suffering from #Germany’s obsession with #austerity
An optimistic forecast for GDP growth in the #euro area 2026: 0.8%, chart @OxfordEconomics
An optimistic forecast for GDP growth in the #euro area 2026: 0.8%, chart @OxfordEconomics
A question on #MinistryOfHousingCommunitiesAndLocalGovernment #OxfordEconomics tabled by Kevin Hollinrake on 19-06-2025 has been answered by Alex Norris. https://questions-statements.parliament.uk/written-questions/detail/2025-06-19/61179
June 24, 2025 at 4:51 PM
A question on #MinistryOfHousingCommunitiesAndLocalGovernment #OxfordEconomics tabled by Kevin Hollinrake on 19-06-2025 has been answered by Alex Norris. https://questions-statements.parliament.uk/written-questions/detail/2025-06-19/61179
#inflation is the foremost issue voters are concerned about, and how it is perceived will determine #USelection2024 – chart @oxfordeconomics
November 1, 2024 at 6:39 AM
#inflation is the foremost issue voters are concerned about, and how it is perceived will determine #USelection2024 – chart @oxfordeconomics
The peak impact of #tariffs on global industrial output is still to come – The industrial growth will slow from the 2H2025, chart @oxfordeconomics
September 6, 2025 at 6:16 AM
The peak impact of #tariffs on global industrial output is still to come – The industrial growth will slow from the 2H2025, chart @oxfordeconomics
(Yes!) #ECB ’s worries about sticky #inflation driven by strong #wage growth are misplaced. The #sentiment data-based nowcast suggests that pay growth continued to cool at the start of 2024 and is running below @ECB ’s projections, reports @OxfordEconomics
March 7, 2024 at 10:55 AM
(Yes!) #ECB ’s worries about sticky #inflation driven by strong #wage growth are misplaced. The #sentiment data-based nowcast suggests that pay growth continued to cool at the start of 2024 and is running below @ECB ’s projections, reports @OxfordEconomics
This is a standard finding. DLUHC previously said the sensitivity between households and prices (different but v similar) is 1 to 2 vs New Zealand's 1 to 1.5
And @OxfordEconomics study for Redfern Review (which I led) found 1 to 1.7 on hholds to rent assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5ad0a7...
And @OxfordEconomics study for Redfern Review (which I led) found 1 to 1.7 on hholds to rent assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5ad0a7...
November 23, 2023 at 10:47 PM
This is a standard finding. DLUHC previously said the sensitivity between households and prices (different but v similar) is 1 to 2 vs New Zealand's 1 to 1.5
And @OxfordEconomics study for Redfern Review (which I led) found 1 to 1.7 on hholds to rent assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5ad0a7...
And @OxfordEconomics study for Redfern Review (which I led) found 1 to 1.7 on hholds to rent assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5ad0a7...
We’re proud to share that Professor Stefan Dercon has been elected to the British Academy Fellowship, recognising his work on development, poverty, and risk - research shaping policy worldwide.
Congratulations, Stefan!
🔗 bit.ly/4o24EwF
#OxfordEconomics #BritishAcademy
Congratulations, Stefan!
🔗 bit.ly/4o24EwF
#OxfordEconomics #BritishAcademy
July 22, 2025 at 10:31 AM
We’re proud to share that Professor Stefan Dercon has been elected to the British Academy Fellowship, recognising his work on development, poverty, and risk - research shaping policy worldwide.
Congratulations, Stefan!
🔗 bit.ly/4o24EwF
#OxfordEconomics #BritishAcademy
Congratulations, Stefan!
🔗 bit.ly/4o24EwF
#OxfordEconomics #BritishAcademy
On UK #productivity - @becksv8 of @OxfordEconomics sees some reasons for optimism
December 7, 2024 at 5:27 AM
On UK #productivity - @becksv8 of @OxfordEconomics sees some reasons for optimism
US #consumers have been depleting remaining excess #savings at an accelerated pace, but solid household balance sheets make the low savings rate less of a concern, notes @oxfordeconomics
May 15, 2024 at 5:56 AM
US #consumers have been depleting remaining excess #savings at an accelerated pace, but solid household balance sheets make the low savings rate less of a concern, notes @oxfordeconomics
#MAGA ideologic economic policy
#SNAP provides monthly funds to low-income households for their grocery expenditures - looming cuts to the federal #food assistance program, known as SNAP, will weigh on the level of consumer spending by up to 0.5% nationally, chart #OxfordEconomics
#SNAP provides monthly funds to low-income households for their grocery expenditures - looming cuts to the federal #food assistance program, known as SNAP, will weigh on the level of consumer spending by up to 0.5% nationally, chart #OxfordEconomics
September 20, 2025 at 8:44 AM
#MAGA ideologic economic policy
#SNAP provides monthly funds to low-income households for their grocery expenditures - looming cuts to the federal #food assistance program, known as SNAP, will weigh on the level of consumer spending by up to 0.5% nationally, chart #OxfordEconomics
#SNAP provides monthly funds to low-income households for their grocery expenditures - looming cuts to the federal #food assistance program, known as SNAP, will weigh on the level of consumer spending by up to 0.5% nationally, chart #OxfordEconomics