#statistical analysis
By my own statistical analysis this post is now funnier than anything Gervais has done in the last 20 years and it also didn't even directly come from him.
January 12, 2026 at 1:39 PM
one of the things about statistical analysis of any modern big model is that there's SO MUCH potential statistical power and SO MUCH noise. The fact that they work at all without catastrophic overfitting is sorta of a mystery, as is the fact that they keep improving even with bad benchmark targets
January 9, 2026 at 1:27 PM
Two bars in the graph. Statistical analysis president... Surprised they didn't give him crayons to colour it in.
January 9, 2026 at 5:23 PM
Has anyone did any statistical analysis on how anti probable cause dhs actions in Minn are or we just letting them use the veneer of immigration enforcement to do other things that wouldn’t be allowed in the first place since that’s scary
January 12, 2026 at 4:39 PM
Someone on Reddit has done a quick-and-dirty statistical analysis.

www.reddit.com/r/TheTraitor...
From the TheTraitors community on Reddit
Explore this post and more from the TheTraitors community
www.reddit.com
January 9, 2026 at 12:18 PM
#statstab #460 Invalid Conclusions Built on Statistical Errors

Thoughts: It's easy to make analysis mistakes, providing code should be the norm.

#analysis #pseudoreplication #error #design #code #guide #educational

steveharoz.com/blog/2024/wr...
Invalid Conclusions Built on Statistical Errors
When you see p = 0.003 or a 95% confidence interval of , you might assume a certain clarity and definitiveness. A null effect is very unlikely to yield those results, right? But be careful! Such overl...
steveharoz.com
January 9, 2026 at 7:56 PM
This is what research data analysis is like, and it's about time we started supporting it
January 5, 2026 at 6:14 PM
Kendra D. Sims, PhD, postdoctoral associate in epidemiology, Boston University, discusses Tipping Point Analysis: Assessing the Potential Impact of Missing Data with JAMA Statistical Editor Roger J. Lewis, MD, PhD. ja.ma/3MUGztN
January 8, 2026 at 5:15 PM
For statistical analysis a good basic test is: simulate data with known relationships, then make sure the code retrieves those. Rerun the validation after code updates. If you use github, you can have it run the test every time you build the package or when you commit, print the test results.
In answer to “how do you make sure LLMs don’t do stupid stuff”: write tests
January 7, 2026 at 10:39 PM
Are you interested in tornadoes in Germany (temporal+spatial distribution) you should read our recently published paper. It is the first detailed statistical analysis since the paper of Dotzek (2003). Would be happy to learn about statistics in other European countries!
doi.org/10.1127/metz...
January 6, 2026 at 9:53 AM
i ran a statistical analysis and it looks like you've consumed too much haterade
January 5, 2026 at 3:50 AM
klinische Studien durchgeführt werden sollten, in denen allgemein verfügbare und kostengünstige Medikamente, die die Mitochondrienfunktion fördern, zur Bekämpfung der Immunsuppression nach COVID durch Modulation des Immunstoffwechsels eingesetzt werden. Schließlich sind wir der
January 7, 2026 at 1:45 PM
A hitchhiker’s guide to information theoretical measures in psychology

by @nielsvs.bsky.social with me and Yves Rosseel

authors.elsevier.com/c/1mOwr53na-...

osf.io/preprints/ps...
January 7, 2026 at 9:02 AM
FINALLY DONE OH MY GOD

somehow, doing statistical data analysis on bad data is worse than building verified rust for the linux kernel. crazy but true.
funnily enough, the "free credits" class i took for fun and curiosity turned out to be
- not fun
- uncurious
- not free credits

what a way to end a degree
January 6, 2026 at 10:03 PM
If a statistical test always gets produces the same result and if its results are often (usually?) described fallaciously, should the test be abandoned?

If so, we may need to abandon p-curve analysis:

replicationindex.com...

#stats #psychology #philSci #metascience #sciComm
What a Decade of P-Curve Tells Us About False-Positive Psychology - Replicability-Index
The File-Drawer Problem A single study is rarely enough to provide sufficient evidence for a theoretically derived hypothesis. To make sense of inconsistent results across multiple studies, psychologists began to conduct meta-analysis. The key contribution of meta-analyses is that pooling evidence from multiple studies reduces sampling error and allows for more precise estimation of effect
replicationindex.com
January 7, 2026 at 12:33 PM
I'm looking forward to re-teaching:
Rethinking Data Analysis — A researcher’s guide to avoiding missteps and misuse

This is an advanced short course on developing a mental toolkit for rigorous practice & critical consumption of statistical data analyses. 🧵 1/4
January 8, 2026 at 5:29 PM
Shelled #amoeba crawls like an octopus, shifting tactics on the go phys.org/news/2026-01...

Statistical and mechanical analysis of multi-pseudopodial locomotion in a testate amoeba, #Arcella sp. www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/pjab...

#Protists #Microbes #Amoebae
January 7, 2026 at 7:26 AM
For sure. I want better language to describe the difference between passionate work, like performing statistical analysis on these volunteered datasets for informative purposes, and extractive work, like charging people 50k if you find them a long-term partner with your digital phrenology.
January 7, 2026 at 1:56 AM
“I went back to my statistical analysis of building violation data, and saw distinct patterns: areas with greater numbers of owner-occupied properties receive fewer violations per 311 request than those with more rental properties.“
January 7, 2026 at 4:47 PM
then there's this - a statistical analysis of election results - about 25 - 30 minutes, well worth watching. Bottom line: swing state voting patterns do not look like human activity - they look like graphs of machine activity.
youtu.be/AWSWqn7UHYM?...
Election Discrepancies: Unveiling the Truth, Nathan Taylor from Election Truth Alliance
YouTube video by The Mark Thompson Show
youtu.be
January 5, 2026 at 2:18 AM
New tutorial: Bayesian Dynamic Path Analysis in @pymc.io

Why do New Year's resolutions fail so reliably? The statistical answer involves time-varying causal effects and masked mediation.

Full tutorial (code + math + Odyssey metaphor): nathanielf.github.io/posts/post-w...

🧵 Thread Below
January 4, 2026 at 11:00 PM
I am currently in lesson 22 out of 27, and it is perfect.
The app teaches you programming from the very zero with very basic stuff.
I am not a complete 0, since I learned some statistical analysis with Python and R back in my college days, but I was very bad at it, and it was a long time ago.
January 6, 2026 at 7:50 PM
That helpful chatbot, drawing on the statistical analysis of a quarter century of online jokes about buying serial killer paraphernalia at Home Depot, will regurgitate output statistically similar to those jokes about buying serial killer paraphernalia at Home Depot.
January 2, 2026 at 5:45 PM
My latest post: Why old school regression diagnostics are probably worth running... we really should check our variables for outliers, skew, multicollinearity, etc. open.substack.com/pub/nathanfa...
January 5, 2026 at 12:53 PM
Kinda curious if the same principles as LLMs could be used for classification of music, or for other kinds of statistical media analysis/classification? I'm not at all well versed in how they work, but it seems to me there could be a parallel there.
January 5, 2026 at 1:56 PM