The astounding thing about prominent IR voices is how often they are consistently wrong, and never pay the price for their very public failures, instead doubling down each time.
Jacob T. Levy
@jacobtlevy.bsky.social
· Mar 19
by Jacob T. Levy — Reposted by: Brandon Valeriano
35 or so years ago John Mearsheimer confidently predicted a nuclear-armed Germany. He’s spent the last decade doing his damndest to bring about the world in which he’s proven right.
Neat new Generative AI paper by Jensen and his team, looks great
"All models exhibit some degree of country-specific biases, often recommending less escalatory and interventionist actions for China and Russia compared to the United States and the United Kingdom."
arxiv.org/pdf/2503.06263
"All models exhibit some degree of country-specific biases, often recommending less escalatory and interventionist actions for China and Russia compared to the United States and the United Kingdom."
arxiv.org/pdf/2503.06263
arxiv.org
DoD Minerva grant on space/cyberspace nexus canceled. What is worse is how they did it, for a minute there we thought it might survive but instead they were just going down the list slowly...
Incredible headline but the hubris to say this when EW jamming has forced a shift to fiber which now leads to new shifts (cutting drones, new optical sights, universal fiber platforms)
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
Drones Now Rule the Battlefield in the Ukraine-Russia War
Drones have changed the war in Ukraine, with soldiers adapting off-the-shelf models and swarming the front lines.
www.nytimes.com
We officially have a know-nothing team working cyber. There is no offense/defense in cyber and you don't let your guard down while trying to poke the enemy - even Jake Paul knows that...
Reposted by: Brandon Valeriano
I can confirm Politico's reporting on the Trump NSC's cyber team: Bulazel, Goldman, Work, and Brose, with a clear theme of embracing a more confrontational approach to cyber operations against adversaries. www.politico.com/newsletters/...
Guess I should react but this is obviously grossly horrific. The thing that gets me is the idea we cut off offensive operations, offense/defense language is inadequate in cyber and most troubling is stopping basic monitoring of malware and ransomware.
www.nytimes.com/2025/03/02/u...
www.nytimes.com/2025/03/02/u...
Hegseth Orders Pentagon to Stop Offensive Cyberoperations Against Russia
The defense secretary’s instructions, which were given before President Trump’s blowup with the Ukrainian president, are apparently part of an effort to draw Russia into talks on the war.
www.nytimes.com
As academics have been saying for nearly a decade, cyber is a poor tool for coercion (Borghard and Lonergan 2017, Valeriano et al 2018) and useless to hold territory. Bigger question is why policymakers were convinced by hype beats and snake oil salesmen.
Reposted by: Brandon Valeriano
"You can’t conquer a country with cyber otherwise the Russians would have done it."
@ciaranm.bsky.social speaks to Sofia Villegas www.holyrood.com/news/view,ci... @holyroodconnect.bsky.social
@ciaranm.bsky.social speaks to Sofia Villegas www.holyrood.com/news/view,ci... @holyroodconnect.bsky.social
Ciaran Martin: Nobody plays politics with cyber
Having been at the helm of the UK’s cyber defences, Ciaran Martin talks about navigating a world increasingly shaped by ...
www.holyrood.com
Impressive to lose Canada, France (probably gone before this), and Germany in one month.
Henry Farrell
@himself.bsky.social
· Feb 23
Underground Empire: How America Weaponized the World Economy
Underground Empire: How America Weaponized the World Economy [Farrell, Henry, Newman, Abraham] on Amazon.com. *FREE* shipping on qualifying offers. Underground Empire: How America Weaponized the World Economy
www.amazon.com
by Henry Farrell — Reposted by: Brandon Valeriano, Anke Hassel
1. Background to the epochal change in German and European politics after the election. Merz, the presumed next Chancellor has said that Europe is setting out to "achieve its independence from the US, step by step." @abenewman.bsky.social and I explain the background in our book, Underground Empire
Underground Empire: How America Weaponized the World Economy
Underground Empire: How America Weaponized the World Economy [Farrell, Henry, Newman, Abraham] on Amazon.com. *FREE* shipping on qualifying offers. Underground Empire: How America Weaponized the World Economy
www.amazon.com
Sure looks like my battle buddy and coauthor Ben Jensen
Reposted by: Brandon Valeriano
View post
I think we need to go back to calling people imposters because the entire Executive branch thinks they can solve the country's problems by treating it like a startup.
What game/situation provoked this? Missed Metternich in Civ 7
1) Sure, they have better bread and bikes
2) Sec Pete just did, the whole purpose was to counter Russia
3) Kursk? UA protections? Reparations?
2) Sec Pete just did, the whole purpose was to counter Russia
3) Kursk? UA protections? Reparations?
Been stuck in #Civ7 and its nice to be reminded that I once wrote a very personal piece about wargaming and Civilization 6.
thestrategybridge.org/the-bridge/2....
thestrategybridge.org/the-bridge/2....
#Reviewing Sid Meier’s! Lessons in Game Design: Civilization and Wargames
Constructing open worlds and the freedom to develop innovative strategies that incubate strategic minds or threaten authoritarian societies are the unexplored frontiers. The lessons in game design tha...
thestrategybridge.org
The real problem is that many restrainers will go along with Trump's military cuts because they have always wanted to cut the DoD. But you have to do it in the right way, not through some magic of technology that isn't even winning the current war. Get in the real game
This is a horrific, for one it provides no solutions offering instead do things faster. It adds, we can go lighter w drones buying into the hype of revolutionary technologies when on the battlefield they have gone wired within a period of about 3 months.
www.nytimes.com/2025/02/07/o...
www.nytimes.com/2025/02/07/o...
Opinion | Reimagining the American War Machine
The biggest challenge for any peacetime military is preparing for the next war.
www.nytimes.com
The world is burning and I need to post more Kpop memes. Two meetings, a class to prep, and a Champions League game to watch
www.youtube.com/watch?v=9nGX...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=9nGX...
Coca Cola 🔋 MOMO
YouTube video by bbakkebb
www.youtube.com
I reject the acronym DEI because it removes context and agency from the platform, eliminating the meaning of the program in favor of some anspectic term.
Academics need to stop applying fancy words to what is outright chaos and destruction. This is not normal, its an outlier, and its malicious.
www.lawfaremedia.org/article/pres...
www.lawfaremedia.org/article/pres...
President Trump’s Campaign of ‘Structural Deregulation’
The administration’s aggressive approach aims to compromise the capacity of the federal government to fulfill its core functions.
www.lawfaremedia.org
You mean like when Russia loaded bombs on planes bound for the US and no one said anything because it was during the election and transition and now Russia gets to keep Ukrainian territory too?
www.nbcnews.com/news/world/r...
www.nbcnews.com/news/world/r...
Russia behind plot to plant bombs on cargo planes, Western official says
The case is the latest example of a wider Russian sabotage campaign to disrupt Western support for Ukraine, officials say.
www.nbcnews.com
And I am not a fan of the NFL but I sure watched a bunch of games this year because of *all this*
Good news, the NCD lives! I thought it might be slowly eliminated along with other cuts. Bad news, our new national cyber director appears to have zero cyber security background so its open season for the sham/scams in cyber security policy - per usual.
www.politico.com/news/2025/02...
www.politico.com/news/2025/02...
Trump to nominate Sean Cairncross as national cyber director
Cairncross is a former top official at the RNC and previously led a federal foreign aid agency during the first Trump administration.
www.politico.com
Reposted by: Brandon Valeriano
"[For the Right], D.E.I...is the mere presence of a woman or nonwhite person or disabled or transgender person in any high-skilled, high-status position. And their alternative isn’t some heretofore unknown standard of merit; it is the reintroduction of something like segregation."
(gift link)
(gift link)
Opinion | Trump’s War on D.E.I. Is Really a War on Civil Rights
The genius of the right-wing crusade against D.E.I. is that the term is amorphous enough that it can mean many different things to many different people.
www.nytimes.com
This is damning, but common. Orgs often downplay cyber security because it has little impact on their bottom line, but the reality is the cascading consequences for failure end up far downstream which is why the strategy of regulations, secure by design, and strong investment in the D is critical.
Luta Security
@lutasecurity.bsky.social
· Feb 10
Musk DOGE Pick Led Cybersecurity Cuts at Citrix. Hacks Followed
Tech CEO Tom Krause dismissed engineers and slashed expenses after the remote-work company’s leveraged buyout. His company says defenses improved. Now he’s consulting at the US Treasury.
www.bloomberg.com
Reposted by: Brandon Valeriano
Musk DOGE Pick Led Cybersecurity Cuts at Citrix. Hacks Followed via @bloomberg.com - includes insights from @lutasecurity.bsky.social CEO & Founder @k8em0.bsky.social
www.bloomberg.com/news/feature...
www.bloomberg.com/news/feature...
Musk DOGE Pick Led Cybersecurity Cuts at Citrix. Hacks Followed
Tech CEO Tom Krause dismissed engineers and slashed expenses after the remote-work company’s leveraged buyout. His company says defenses improved. Now he’s consulting at the US Treasury.
www.bloomberg.com