Scholar

Ferdi De Ville

H-index: 18
Political science 55%
Economics 25%
ferdideville.bsky.social
Unizo wil (terecht!) af van vrijstelling van tarieven voor pakjes onder 150€.
Die "de minimis" vrijstelling is ooit ingevoerd als vorm van "administratieve vereenvoudiging".
Toont dat simplificatie ("cutting red tape") toch niet altijd in voordeel van bedrijven is.
www.standaard.be/economie/pak...
Pakjestaks moet oneerlijke concurrentie door Chinese webshops tegengaan
De regering wil werk maken van een importheffing op goedkope pakjes uit China om de oneerlijke concurrentie te stoppen. Tegelijk is de pakjestaks nuttig om het begrotingstekort te beperken.
www.standaard.be
sampolmaandblad.bsky.social
💥De nieuwe SamPol is verschenen

𝐀𝐫𝐢𝐳𝐨-𝐧𝐨! 𝐕𝐨𝐨𝐫𝐛𝐨𝐝𝐞 𝐯𝐚𝐧 𝐞𝐞𝐧 𝐡𝐞𝐭𝐞 𝐡𝐞𝐫𝐟𝐬𝐭?

👉 sampol.be/latest
ferdideville.bsky.social
The "45% tariff" equivalent on intra-EU trade line is everywhere, even in von der Leyen’s #SOTEU last week.

That number is misleading, as Smaghi explains. Lower intra-EU trade isn’t just about barriers but also consumer preferences for domestic products like food.

iep.unibocconi.eu/europes-inte...
Europe’s Internal Tariffs: Why the IMF’s 44% Estimate Doesn’t Hold Up | IEP@BU
iep.unibocconi.eu
ferdideville.bsky.social
After a long break (Covid, kids), I finally took the train to a faraway workshop again. Left my house in Ghent at 7am, arriving in Trento 13 hours later. Made my powerpoint, read all the papers (well, some rather skimmed), and was treated to stunning views of the Austrian and Italian Alps. 🚆📚🏔️

Reposted by: Ferdi De Ville

sampolmaandblad.bsky.social
De nieuwe handelsdeal tussen de EU en de VS is een hole-in-one voor Trump en een ongeziene afgang voor Europa.

Wat betekent dit akkoord voor de toekomst en geloofwaardigheid van de Unie?

@ferdideville.bsky.social voor #Zomerreeks #MakeEuropeGreatAgain #Mega2025
EU buigt voor Trump: een historische nederlaag
De nieuwe handelsdeal tussen de EU en de VS is een hole-in-one voor Trump en een ongeziene afgang voor Europa. Wat betekent dit akkoord voor de toekomst en geloofwaardigheid van de Unie?
www.sampol.be
ferdideville.bsky.social
Bericht voor journalisten (ik zie het vaker verschijnen):
2000 miljard € is niet gelijk aan 1,26% van het Bruto Europees Product.
2000 miljard € / 7 (aantal jaren dat het MFF loopt) is gelijk aan ongeveer 1,26% van het Bruto Europees Product.
Einde bericht.
ferdideville.bsky.social
Based on Trump's Liberation Day announcement, tariffs are MUCH higher than expected, higher than 10-20% across the board mentioned during campaign, and way higher than what was to be expected under the concept of "reciprocal tariffs". The tariffs of 3rd countries seem to be made up out of thin air.
ferdideville.bsky.social
The European Commission seems to be realizing that 🇨🇳 investment in car and battery manufacturing in 🇭🇺 (with limited value added) does not add to the EU's quest for strategic autonomy @palmapolyak.bsky.social
on.ft.com/4iqnU3J
EU probes BYD plant in Hungary over unfair Chinese subsidies
Investigation comes as Viktor Orbán has attracted large Chinese investments to his country
on.ft.com
ferdideville.bsky.social
Our workshop on "political economy of the green transition" was intellectually stimulating, but also just great fun, thanks to our awesome group of smart, kind and generous participants.
And lunch was even (kind of) free!
jasperpsimons.bsky.social
Last week political economy made its debut at the annual conference of @nigovernance.bsky.social. Many thanks to all participants and their great work and my awesome co-organisers @ferdideville.bsky.social, @nataschavanderzwan.bsky.social and @fbulfone.bsky.social!

Reposted by: Ferdi De Ville

jasperpsimons.bsky.social
Last week political economy made its debut at the annual conference of @nigovernance.bsky.social. Many thanks to all participants and their great work and my awesome co-organisers @ferdideville.bsky.social, @nataschavanderzwan.bsky.social and @fbulfone.bsky.social!

Reposted by: Ferdi De Ville

ferdideville.bsky.social
Trump is lashing out with his favorite weapon: tariffs.

He aims to hit 3 goals: onshoring production, raising revenue and extracting concessions.

But he faces a trilemma: these goals cannot be achieved simultaneously.

@koenverhelst.bsky.social @andybounds.bsky.social @alanbeattie.bsky.social
ferdideville.bsky.social
The next two days, a workshop on the highly relevant topic of the political economy of the green transition will take place in Ghent, featuring a stellar line-up! 🌿💡 I’m looking forward to discussing many fascinating papers! #GreenTransition #PoliticalEconomy #Ghent
ferdideville.bsky.social
Diversification is a strategy that takes time to implement. While it might reinforce the EU's standing with other countries when aligning its response to Trump's trade policy with them (after EU's relations with other countries have soured), it could infuriate Trump further (6/6)
ferdideville.bsky.social
Diplomacy, where EU could promise to buy more LNG & defence equipment from US, could reinforce Trump's belief that an aggressive trade policy pays off, and may lead him to repeat the trick.
Aligning with US on China comes with negative effects on the economy and climate cooperation with China (5/6)
ferdideville.bsky.social
Deterrence risks escalating tensions with the US, on trade and beyond. This could lead to a trade war, or unintended consequences in other domains, like less US support for Ukraine and for NATO in general (4/6)
ferdideville.bsky.social
Other countries, like the EU, can respond in three ways to tariff threats:
- deterrence: retaliating with tariffs on US exports
- diplomacy: making deals with Trump
- diversification: reducing trade exposure to US
But each strategy comes with risks (3/6)
ferdideville.bsky.social
But this results in contradictions:
- if tariffs decrease imports, they will not generate that much revenue, and will reduce US leverage over exporting countries
- if tariffs are used to extract concessions through deals, they will also not generate revenues, nor reduce the deficits (2/6)
ferdideville.bsky.social
Trump II and trade: short 🧵 number 2:
For Trump, tariffs are like a Swiss Army Knife. They should:
- reduce trade deficits
- generate revenue to pay tax cuts
- provide diplomatic leverage (1/6)
ferdideville.bsky.social
The rest of the world would do well to assume that yesterday’s restraint was merely a delay rather than a cancellation of Trump’s planned tariff increases. (5/5)
ferdideville.bsky.social
In his statements yesterday, Trump did reiterate all the tariff threats from his campaign: 10% or 20% on all imports, 25% on Canada and Mexico if they don’t address migration and drug trafficking, 60% on China, and 100% on countries undermining the role of the dollar. (4/5)
ferdideville.bsky.social
Moreover, Trump’s primary goal yesterday appeared to be signaling a clear break from the Biden-Harris administration. On trade, however, there is less of a contrast with that administration compared to issues like immigration, energy, climate, or diversity. (3/5)
ferdideville.bsky.social
It seems that the Wall Street faction within his new administration (including figures like Scott Bessent and Howard Lutnick) has managed to convince Trump to proceed cautiously on trade, ensuring that his first day doesn’t immediately trigger panic in the markets. (2/5)
ferdideville.bsky.social
Trump II and trade: a short 🧵

The “America First Trade Policy” signed by Trump on the first day of his second term is less radical than expected. No new tariffs are introduced immediately; instead, only investigations are being launched that could potentially lead to future tariff increases. (1/5)
ferdideville.bsky.social
Goed dat @de-standaard.bsky.social week na interview met Bauer kritische kanttekeningen plaatst bij oproepen voor veel hogere defensiebudgetten.
Ook in dat interview stonden vreemde kronkels, zoals deze 👇. Hoe zou Xi Putin kopiëren, door de zon dicht te draaien?
www.standaard.be/cnt/dmf20250...

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