to simplify - it says "go inland, go north for best returns on wind farm investment."
all about inland nocturnal wind intensification associated with the development of heat toughs (aka drylines).
No reason to suspect we have anywhere near the best sites to pick up low level nocturnal jets!
all about inland nocturnal wind intensification associated with the development of heat toughs (aka drylines).
No reason to suspect we have anywhere near the best sites to pick up low level nocturnal jets!
One of the most intriguing diagrams I have produced in a while ... at least for NEM/RE aficionados.
N* (y-axis) is ratio of midnight ± 3 hours to midday ±3 hours generation for QLD, NSW and VIC wind farms over the 12 months to end June 2025.
x-axis is wind farm dance from coastline.
N* (y-axis) is ratio of midnight ± 3 hours to midday ±3 hours generation for QLD, NSW and VIC wind farms over the 12 months to end June 2025.
x-axis is wind farm dance from coastline.
as documented - Howell, Jackson, England, Higham, Synolakis, Late Holocene uplift of Rhodes, Greece: evidence for a large tsunamigenic earthquake and the implications for the tectonics of the eastern Hellenic Trench System, GJI, 203, Issue 1, 2015, 459–474, doi.org/10.1093/gji/...
Late Holocene uplift of Rhodes, Greece: evidence for a large tsunamigenic earthquake and the implications for the tectonics of the eastern Hellenic Trench System
Abstract. Several large earthquakes in the Hellenic subduction zone have been documented in historical records from around the eastern Mediterranean, but t
doi.org
so would appear Rhodos is tilting north down, south up - which is not at all surprising given it sits above the eastern end of the Aegean slab. (Nice earthquake record on the south coast)
which contrasts inland wind which has a prominent nocturnal peak*, and therefore will suffer less economic curtailment (but currently lacks transmission ...) *best exemplified by QLD but is true also of inland NSW and VIC
partly because southern coast wind production shows little diurnal variability ...
presumably - also reflecting the increases in economic curtailment of wind, which is an emerging issue especially for southern coast wind farms ...
cf. north coast Rhodos, where solution notches are at, and below, sea level- eg. Kopria Beach
The Accursed Mountains (Peaks of the Balkans Trail) - Valbonё – Çerem, Albania, (photo taken on side track to Vusanje, Montenegro)
Laugavegur Trail - view over Lake Álftavatn (on trail section from Hrafntinnusker to Álftavatn)
VIC1 spot and prices and demand, by hour of day (y-axis) and day of year (x-axis), for 12 months to end June '25.
The amazing Channel country rivers in flood (courtesy Copernicus browser Sentinel-2).
whereas the former is dominated by southern ocean storms, the latter is dominated by low level nocturnal jets associated with the development of the northern Australian dryline.
Cf southern VIC wind farm forecast generation v inland QLD across 2024/ location matters
Stay tuned as the www.superpowerinstitute.com.au delves into the wonders of LLNJs (low level nocturnal jets).
The complimentarity between inland nocturnal winds and daytime solar, especially so in central Queensland (and I suspect inland NW WA), there should be much to excite new investment … and provide new guidelines for appropriate transmission investment to capture the opportunity.
So what gives? Why does nocturnal wind generation correlate with diatnce from coast? Has to do with the development of low level nocturnal jets associated with inland drylines, as invetsigated by Arnup and Reeder "The structure and evolution of the northern Australian dryline”, amongst others.
Similar relations hold for the Victorian farms. Turns out the further inland you go, the more the wind farms produce at night.
So what gives with wind farm production? Here is the yearly average by time of day for NSW and QLD wind farms (expressed in capacity factor terms) and ordered by distance from the coast.
Anyone who follows the NEM surprised by this? (shouldn’t be)
N* - Ratio of wind farm forecast dispatch overnight to daytime.
% VWP - volume weighted price of (forecast) wind farm dispatch.
N* - Ratio of wind farm forecast dispatch overnight to daytime.
% VWP - volume weighted price of (forecast) wind farm dispatch.
