Scholar

Philipp Maier

H-index: 14
Economics 82%
Engineering 7%
pmaier1971.bsky.social
The Chicago Fed Financial Conditions Index in Oct 2025 came in at -0.55, down from -0.54 the prior month.Negative values indicate financial conditions that are looser than average. #econsky
US.Banking.ChicagoFinancialConditionsIndex.png
pmaier1971.bsky.social
On 03 Oct the Nominal Emerging Market USD Index stood at 131.8096. Relative to a month ago, this is approx. a decrease of -0.3%. Relative to a year ago, USD is about -0.25% lower. The index is weighted against a broad subset of emerging market currencies #exchangerates #econsky
US.XR.NominalEmergingMarketIndex.png
pmaier1971.bsky.social
7-day weighted av. for Diesel currently at $3.71, down -4.3 cents from last week. Diesel engines in trucks, trains, boats, and barges transport nearly all products people consume. Relative to 12 months ago, this is a $0.13 increase. #econsky
US.DieselPrices.png
pmaier1971.bsky.social
7-day weighted av. price for gas currently at $3.25, up 0.5 cents from last week. Relative to 12 months ago, this is a -1 cent decrease. #inflation #econsky
US.GasPrices.png
pmaier1971.bsky.social
Banking and Finance Job Postings on Indeed in the United States at 95.8of the pre-pandemic baseline of 100% #econsky #indeed
US.Indeed.BankingJobs.png
pmaier1971.bsky.social
How will dramatically lower energy consumption affect relative pricing of crypto currencies? Since the 'merge' on Sept. 15, 20222 Ethereum has gained approx. 218.69% in value, while Bitcoin has gained approx. 534% #crypto #econsky
Crypot.png
pmaier1971.bsky.social
On 03 October the Nominal Broad U.S. Dollar Index stood at 120.5163. Relative to a month ago, this is approx. a decrease of -0.07%. Relative to a year ago, USD is about -1.58% lower. The index is weighted against a broad group of trading partners #exchangerate #usd #econsky
US.XR.NominalBroadIndex.png
pmaier1971.bsky.social
Total Assets for all Commercial Banks have increased from 24405.5961 last week to 24483.9399 on 24 September. Relative to a year ago, this represents an increase of about 4.38%. Evolution of the main asset categories shown in the chart below #commercialbanks #assets #econsky
BankBalanceSheets.png
pmaier1971.bsky.social
High-frequency labor market update: On 25 November postings on job site Indeed were 49.3% above their pre-pandemic level. New job postings, defined as on Indeed for seven days or less, are 56.6% above their pre-pandemic level #jobs @indeed #econsky
Indeed.png
pmaier1971.bsky.social
Corporate Bond Market Update: Using data as of 03 October, Moody's Seasoned Aaa Corporate Bond Yield for bonds with 20+ years maturity is at 5.18% for the AAA (down -0.07p.p. from the prior week). The BAA is at 5.79%. #econsky
Moodys.png
pmaier1971.bsky.social
Bitcoin at $123496.62; Ethereum at $4513.89. Bitcoin is about 11.1% up from a month ago, and about 95% up from a year ago. Ethereum is about 4.8% up from a month ago and about 82% up from a year ago. #crypto #econsky
Coinbase.Bitcoin.png
pmaier1971.bsky.social
Comparing the evolution of job posting on Indeed for Germany and the UK since the pandemic. All posting indexed to 100% on Feb. 1, 2020 #econsky #indeed
UK.Indeed.NewJobs.png
pmaier1971.bsky.social
At the end of this week, the GDPNow forecast from the Altanta Fed for Q3 2025 stands at at 3.84%. GDPNow is a nowcasting model for GDP growth projecting 13 GDP subcomponents with monthly source data, a factor model and a BVAR. #econsky
US.Activity.GDPNow.png
pmaier1971.bsky.social
The average rate on a U.S. 30-Year Fixed Rate Conforming #mortgage on 02 October was at 6.253%. Relative to the prior week, the rate has fallen by about -0.03 p.p. #mortgagerates #econsky
US.Housing.30YMortgageRate.Daily.png
pmaier1971.bsky.social
Banks' Balance Sheets Post-Pandemic Fueled by Higher Cash and Treasuries/Agencies Holdings #BankLending #econsky
/tmp/RtmpeNTrye/file68864b5d43bc.png
pmaier1971.bsky.social
Breakdown of #LightVehicle sales in Aug 2025 #econsky
/tmp/RtmpeNTrye/file68867e6f8465.png
pmaier1971.bsky.social
#Auto Inventory-to-sales ratio at 1.426 in Aug 2025, down -0.08 from prior month. Historically, dealers typically hold over 2 months of #inventory. #econsky
US.Auto.InventorySalesRatio.png
pmaier1971.bsky.social
Domestic Auto Inventory at 217.092K units in Aug 2025, down -5.08K units from prior month #econsky
US.Auto.Inventories.png
pmaier1971.bsky.social
#Vehicle sales for Aug 2025 at 16.402M units, down -0.07M units from prior month #econsky
US.Auto.Autosales.png
pmaier1971.bsky.social
5Y Breakeven Inflation Rate at 2.37%, down from 2.42% last week; 10Y Breakeven Inflation at 2.34%. Breakeven inflation uses the difference between Constant Maturity and Inflation-Indexed Constant Maturity Treasuries to calculate market expectations #inflation #econsky.
US.CPI.5YBreakevenInflation.png
pmaier1971.bsky.social
10Y #Treasury is at 4.1%, down from 4.12% last week. How are shorter-term interest rates contributing to the change in the yield curve? #interest #econsky https://tinyurl.com/m7pdyyyf
US.Rates.Daily.png
pmaier1971.bsky.social
The U.S. Dollars to U.K. Pound Sterling Spot Exchange Rate stood at 1.3404 USD/GBP last week (26 September). Relative to a month ago, this is -0.8% lower. Relative to a year ago, the exchange rate has risen by 0.1% #exchangerate #gbp #usd #econsky
XR.USDGBP.png
pmaier1971.bsky.social
Last week (26 September) the U.S. Dollars to Euro Exchange Rate was 1.1692 USD/EUR. Relative to a month ago, this is a decrease of approx. 0%. Relative to a year ago, the exchange rate is about 4.8% higher. #exchangerate #eur #usd #econsky
XR.USDEUR.png
pmaier1971.bsky.social
Average US 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage last week at 6.34%, up 0.04 p.p. from prior week. 5/1 ARM at 6.1% #mortgage #househunters #econsky
US.Housing.30YMortgageRate.png
pmaier1971.bsky.social
Manufacturers' New Orders for Durable Goods rose by 2.93% in Aug 2025; for Nondurable Goods new orders rose by 0.25% #econsky
US.Activity.ManufacturingOrdersDurable.png
pmaier1971.bsky.social
Emerging Market Update: Longer-term view of currency movements since the start of the post-pandemic monetary tightening cycle. All currencies indexed to 100 on March 16 (date of the first Fed rate hike); latest data point is 26 Sep #fx #emergingmarkets #econsky
XREmergingEconomies.png
pmaier1971.bsky.social
Bitcoin at $119028.01; Ethereum at $4366.3. Bitcoin is about 6.5% up from a month ago, and about 92% up from a year ago. Ethereum is about -1.9% down from a month ago and about 79% up from a year ago. #crypto #econsky
Coinbase.Bitcoin.png
pmaier1971.bsky.social
Visualizing currency movements of key US trading partners since the start of the post-pandemic monetary tightening cycle. All currencies indexed to 100 on March 16 (date of the first Fed rate hike); latest data point is 26 Sep #fx #econsky
XRAnalysis.png
pmaier1971.bsky.social
Uncertainty Update: VIX at 16.28; 7-day average of the Economic Policy Uncertainty Index at 378, up 39.9 from the prior week #vix #MarketVolatility #econsky https://tinyurl.com/3bvx9f5m
US.VIX.png

References

Fields & subjects

Updated 1m