Andrew Sissons
@acjsissons.bsky.social
7.4K followers 850 following 5.6K posts
Day job: climate change, heat pumps, energy at Nesta Other stuff: low-fi economics on growth, cities & economic geography, general UK policy, occasional basic charts Bristol, he/him, lots of parenting / caring. Personal account.
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acjsissons.bsky.social
New personal post: is net zero good or bad for growth?

This is a long post on a tricky topic, so this is a thread too.
I wrote it because people are making strong claims about net zero without really paying attention to the facts. And the facts keep changing

acjsissons.medium.com/is-net-zero-...
Is net zero good or bad for growth?
The underlying facts about net zero and growth keep changing. The proponents for each side, however, do not tend to change their minds…
acjsissons.medium.com
acjsissons.bsky.social
In summary: don’t move to Dubai, move to the Isle of Man
acjsissons.bsky.social
I think “closest descendant of Bonnie Prince Charlie as the rightful monarch” probably fits this worldview pretty well
acjsissons.bsky.social
- Oh and did I mention how much they loved closing the borders and keeping the pubs open during the pandemic?
acjsissons.bsky.social
Think that’s a bonus if you hold this particular worldview
acjsissons.bsky.social
- A very longstanding Parliament (Tynwald) that is a bit mythologised
- Strong fishing and smuggling heritage
- The capital (Douglas) is a slightly faded seaside town
- Not part of its main trade partner but retains benefits
- Landscape is a chunk of the Lake District with some flat bits tacked on
acjsissons.bsky.social
It’s wild now much the Isle of Man actually resembles a certain rose-tinted vision of what Britain should be:
- Low and flat taxes
- Lax regulations on finance and gambling, attracting offshore industries
- Not much health and safety - no fluoride in the water, some roads without speed limits
benansell.bsky.social
I love how the Isle of Man - and actual Crown dependency a few miles off the coast - is completely ignored, while these guys fixate on petrostates thousands of miles away.
acjsissons.bsky.social
Tired: United Kingdom
Wired: Singapore-on-Thames
Inspired: Kingdom of Sodor and Man
acjsissons.bsky.social
Not exactly authoritarian, but reckon the Isle of Man is a candidate. “Oldest Parliament” has a bit of the Magna Carta about it, a big libertarian streak and low and flat taxes
Reposted by Andrew Sissons
atranscendedman.bsky.social
Yale researchers analyzed data from 158 million US workers and found that even after the pandemic, COVID-19 continues to raise work absences by 13% and labor force exits by 13%.

The virus has created a new year-round baseline similar to flu season.

jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
Enduring Outcomes of COVID-19 Work Absences on the US Labor Market
This cohort study examines the extent to which COVID-19 continues to generate work absences and decrease labor force participation beyond the pandemic period in the US.
jamanetwork.com
acjsissons.bsky.social
I’ve heard a lot of people say we should stop using the language of “net zero” when talking about emissions reductions.

I think I can live with that, as long as what we mean is still “gradually ending carbon emissions”, and that people don’t hear “reducing emissions but less quickly”
acjsissons.bsky.social
Cheery Friday afternoon question off the back of Michael’s lovely little piece:

What are the best arguments to use with the public about why net zero is necessary and desirable?
acjsissons.bsky.social
I don’t think the link works!
acjsissons.bsky.social
Or doing something crazy like “one thing at a time”
acjsissons.bsky.social
New hypothesis about the productivity puzzle just dropped.
(The 2-5 tabbers ofc, not you)
acjsissons.bsky.social
Sure, but any decisions we make now are based on future wind farms (generally at fairly competitive prices).

We can’t do anything about the contracts agreed back in the 2010s (short of ripping up contracts), and nor would we build renewables at those prices again
acjsissons.bsky.social
Ian makes a fair point here that the actual BTP position may be more nuanced than the story implies
ianpatterson.com
There was a chap from BTP interviewed on R4 Today earlier. It's nothing to do with how long a bike is left for, it's a rough budget for how much time someone can review CCTV for. The BBC seem to think someone can only watch CCTV linearly at 1x speed, not (say) do binary search and use xX speed
acjsissons.bsky.social
Thanks - that makes sense.

My worry is that if you say this kind of thing publicly, you reduce the deterrent effect (in so far as it still exists). So better to retain ambiguity than admit you don’t investigate. But I can see the story doing a lot of that
acjsissons.bsky.social
Thanks - so BTP were saying they wouldn't spend more than 2 hours reviewing footage? Or was it just a general comment that they can't spend too much time reviewing footage?
acjsissons.bsky.social
Well yes, most of the currently active CfDs are from AR1 and before, before prices fell.
The most recent auction, AR6 (the one everyone is saying was expensive) came in at around £75 in 2024 prices.
acjsissons.bsky.social
The headline is obviously what campaigners say, but the statement from BTP seems to corroborate the “won’t investigate if left over 2 hours” substance, unless I’m missing something?