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Avishay BSG (Ben-Sasson-Gordis)

@avishaybsg.bsky.social

9.7K followers 2.2K following 10K posts

Normative Theory of Civ-Mil especially under democratic backsliding | Liberalism Rekindled Postdoctoral Fellow @Hebrew U | Ruderman Scholar in Residence and Senior Researcher at the INSS | Napper extraordinaire | Kartofellophile

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Avishay BSG (Ben-Sasson-Gordis) @avishaybsg.bsky.social · May 9

Things about politics I’ve come to believe strongly:

1. Less bad is better than more bad
2. Nostalgia is generally incorrect. Things weren’t better
3. Still, things can get much worse
4. Democracy is an outlier in human political history
5. Optimism is rooted in agency, not positive predictions

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Avishay BSG (Ben-Sasson-Gordis) @avishaybsg.bsky.social · 1h

None of this is popular, which makes the whole thing even more dangerous

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Avishay BSG (Ben-Sasson-Gordis) @avishaybsg.bsky.social · 5h

They really hate Netanyahu

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Avishay BSG (Ben-Sasson-Gordis) @avishaybsg.bsky.social · 5h

Witkoff trying to complement Netanyahu for facilitating the deal. The crowd in Tel Aviv won’t have any of it. Jared finds the whole thing very amusing.

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Avishay BSG (Ben-Sasson-Gordis) @avishaybsg.bsky.social · 5h

Hundreds of thousands in Tel Aviv “hostage square”. Witkoff, Jared and Ivanka speaking in favor of peace and ending the war. Every time Trump is mentioned the audience reacts overwhelmingly positively to at any mention of Netanyahu loud booing. This whole thing is surreal.

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Reposted by Avishay BSG (Ben-Sasson-Gordis)

Yair Wallach @yairwallach.bsky.social · 1d

There's every reason in the world to be wary of what's coming next, but we can still be happy for the children of Gaza and the hostages' families.

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Avishay BSG (Ben-Sasson-Gordis) @avishaybsg.bsky.social · 1d

Thanks

Avishay BSG (Ben-Sasson-Gordis) @avishaybsg.bsky.social · 1d

Source?

Avishay BSG (Ben-Sasson-Gordis) @avishaybsg.bsky.social · 1d

I didn’t post that there’s a ceasefire last night

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Avishay BSG (Ben-Sasson-Gordis) @avishaybsg.bsky.social · 1d

The neighbors who’ve been protesting outside Ron Dermer’s home for months, hanging the current number of hostages on the fence of this basketball court near his home (and mine), changed the sign last night. It now reads: “and your children shall return to their border” (Jeremiah 31:16)

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Avishay BSG (Ben-Sasson-Gordis) @avishaybsg.bsky.social · 1d

Other than in defense of forces, should have. IDF definitely withdrawing to yellow area in this @aljazeera.com map

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Avishay BSG (Ben-Sasson-Gordis) @avishaybsg.bsky.social · 1d

Ceasefire in effect. Not impossible that this is the end of the Gaza war.

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Avishay BSG (Ben-Sasson-Gordis) @avishaybsg.bsky.social · 2d

If ever there was a moment for Schmuck though...

Avishay BSG (Ben-Sasson-Gordis) @avishaybsg.bsky.social · 2d

מה שקראת זה מה שכתוב

Avishay BSG (Ben-Sasson-Gordis) @avishaybsg.bsky.social · 2d

(((hmmmm)))

Acyn @acyn.bsky.social · 2d

RFK JR: There are many other confirmations -- there are two studies that show children who are circumcised early have double the rate of autism. It’s highly likely because they are given Tylenol

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Avishay BSG (Ben-Sasson-Gordis) @avishaybsg.bsky.social · 2d

We miss you

Avishay BSG (Ben-Sasson-Gordis) @avishaybsg.bsky.social · 2d

Who among us doesn't have a brain worm waiting to turn us into a crank

Reposted by Avishay BSG (Ben-Sasson-Gordis)

The Times of Israel @timesofisrael.com · 2d

Smotrich says he will oppose hostage deal, as his party weighs quitting the government https://www.timesofisrael.com/smotrich-says-he-will-oppose-hostage-deal-as-his-party-weighs-quitting-the-government/

Smotrich says he will oppose hostage deal, as his party weighs quitting the government

Religious Zionism source says decision hasn't been made yet; Ben Gvir mum on deal after earlier threat to bolt if Hamas 'remains in existence'; opposition has promised 'safety net'

www.timesofisrael.com

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Avishay BSG (Ben-Sasson-Gordis) @avishaybsg.bsky.social · 2d

Because Palestinians , including murderers will be released and because the war will end without full Israeli control of Gaza, annexation and forced emigration

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Avishay BSG (Ben-Sasson-Gordis) @avishaybsg.bsky.social · 2d

Palpable relief and happiness in Israel (outside far right circles) over the prospect of hostage release

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Avishay BSG (Ben-Sasson-Gordis) @avishaybsg.bsky.social · 2d

Israeli sources have insisted Barghouthi, Saadat, and elSeid will not be released

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Avishay BSG (Ben-Sasson-Gordis) @avishaybsg.bsky.social · 2d

They started this on the grill for their support of Hamas. They’re ending it with a US defense pact, having cemented their role as mediator and closer of both Gaza and Iran wars

Avishay BSG (Ben-Sasson-Gordis) @avishaybsg.bsky.social · 2d

And the real winner is Qatar

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Avishay BSG (Ben-Sasson-Gordis) @avishaybsg.bsky.social · 2d

Waking up to a morning of hope.

Israeli cabinet to approve deal today which will mark the beginning of a ceasefire. 24hrs later IDF will partially withdraw and 48-72hrs live hostages released, maybe most of the dead too. Then talks over next stages and Trump visit here.

A time to build.

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Reposted by Avishay BSG (Ben-Sasson-Gordis)

David Burbach 🌹 @dburbach.bsky.social · 2d

Anyway, I would say I'm not sure how the comms and notifications usually happen, except there's really no "usually" to look at for these deployments since they are more or less without precedent. Hardly the biggest issue but since I try to understand this sort of thing, I'm curious. 5/5

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Avishay BSG (Ben-Sasson-Gordis) @avishaybsg.bsky.social · 3d

Or, it seems maybe even sooner than the weekend

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