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Bruce Edmonds

@bruceedmonds.bsky.social

120 followers 190 following 70 posts

Interested in too many things for his own good, but including: policy<->analyst interface, thinking skills, social simulation, philosophy of modelling, understanding political change, policy modelling. More at:http://cfpm.org. ORCID:0000-0002-3903-2507 .. more

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Computer science 39%

Physics 14%

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Bruce Edmonds @bruceedmonds.bsky.social · 10d

OK, but the categorisation by YouGov might be who they last voted for and their opinion based on the current policies/rhetoric. That is reasonable

Reposted by Bruce Edmonds

Review of Artifical Societies and Social Simulation @rofasss.bsky.social · Aug 8

Post by Thorid Wagenblast, Nick Roxburgh and Alessandro Taberna on "Modelling Deep Structural Change in ABSS" #abm #socialsimulation #rofasss

Modelling Deep Structural Change in Agent-Based Social Simulation

By Thorid Wagenblast1, Nicholas Roxburgh2 and Alessandro Taberna3 1 Delft University of Technology, 0009-0003-5324-37782 The James Hutton Institute, 0000-0002-7821-18313 CMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change, RFF-CMCC European Institute on Economics and the Environment, 0000-0002-0207-4148 Introduction Most agent-based models (ABMs) are designed around the assumption of a broadly stable system architecture. Whether exploring emergent dynamics or testing the effects of external interventions or stressors, such models typically operate with a fixed ontology – predefined agent types, attribute classes, behavioural repertoires, processes, and social and institutional structures.

rofasss.org

Bruce Edmonds @bruceedmonds.bsky.social · Jul 22

Sorry, what has considering competence have to do with registering failed predictions? Are you thinking about a particular incident here?

Bruce Edmonds @bruceedmonds.bsky.social · Jul 10

Countries trusting each other and cooperating.... nah!

Bruce Edmonds @bruceedmonds.bsky.social · Jul 1

Slides from my talk at the WUR Resilience summer school in the NL: the file "ABM_and_assessing_SES_resilience.pdf" at cfpm.org/slides/

Bruce Edmonds @bruceedmonds.bsky.social · Jul 1

...I have a few questions about your Chicago model... ;-)

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Bruce Edmonds @bruceedmonds.bsky.social · Jun 18

Only seems to be the cover and front matter to me, unless I am doing something wrong.

Reposted by Bruce Edmonds

Posting about papers that should say "...in a model" @in-a-model.bsky.social · Jun 9

www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
PNAS continues to have low standards as to title hype

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Reposted by Bruce Edmonds

Review of Artifical Societies and Social Simulation @rofasss.bsky.social · May 31

"Make some noise! Why agent-based modelers should embrace the power of randomness" by Peter Steiglechner and Marijn Keijzer on why testing your model with randomness is vital. #RofASSS #ABM #noise #randomness #robustness #socialsimulation #taxonomy #simulation #science #method #agent-based

Make some noise! Why agent-based modelers should embrace the power of randomness

By Peter Steiglechner1, Marijn Keijzer2 1 Complexity Science Hub, Austria; [email protected] Institute for Advanced Study in Toulouse, France Abstract ‘Noisy’ behavior, belief updating, or decision-making is universally observed, yet typically treated superficially or not even accounted for at all by social simulation modelers. Here, we show how noise can affect model dynamics and outcomes, argue why injecting noise should become a central part of model analyses, and how it can help our understanding of (our mathematical models for) social behavior.

rofasss.org

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Bruce Edmonds @bruceedmonds.bsky.social · May 24

A litmus test? Is your humour acid or alkali? ;-)

Bruce Edmonds @bruceedmonds.bsky.social · May 24

The slides from my talk at NORCE, Kristiansand are at cfpm.org/slides (The cartoon, by Justin Bilicki, was the winner of the UCS Science Idol political cartoon contest in 2008).

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Bruce Edmonds @bruceedmonds.bsky.social · May 14

True, I was thinking of European countries with more of a safety net.

Bruce Edmonds @bruceedmonds.bsky.social · May 12

Surely, we are already post-scarcity in developed countries. This is what it is like... we find other things to worry about and compete for (e.g. status)

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Reposted by Bruce Edmonds, Gary Polhill

Computational Social Science Society of the Americas @computationalsocialscience.org · May 10

Social Simulation Fest 2025: Free Registration
Our friends at ESSA have invited CSSSA for a joint session! For more details, see: www.socsimfest.eu (www.socsimfest.eu)

Social Simulation FesT | The online social simulation event of the year!

The most festive social simulation event of the year! For free!

www.socsimfest.eu

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Reposted by Bruce Edmonds

Wonkhe @wonkhe.bsky.social · May 10

This week on Wonkhe: Dale Munday makes the case for participatory, adaptive, and evidence-based approaches to ensure new policies work when implemented

If it's top down it won't work

Dale Munday makes the case for participatory, adaptive, and evidence-based approaches to ensure new policies work when implemented

buff.ly

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Reposted by Richard S.J. Tol, Martín Haspelmath, Bruce Edmonds , and 2 more Richard S.J. Tol, Martín Haspelmath, Bruce Edmonds, David Chester, Jörg Oechssler

Paul Smaldino @psmaldino.bsky.social · May 9

As grant money starts drying up, it's more important than ever not to waste it on paying publishers' open access "article processing fees" when we can host PDFs for free. Tom Morgan and I wrote a paper on this, forthcoming at Science and Public Policy. Accepted draft here: osf.io/preprints/os...

Author-Paid PublicationFees Corrupt Science and Should Be Abandoned
Thomas J. H Morgan & Paul E. Smaldino

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Bruce Edmonds @bruceedmonds.bsky.social · May 7

I had a (deliberately funny) acknowledgement from a colleague on the lines of "we wish to thank... for their helpful comments and guidance. Needless to say none of these are responsible for any mistakes in the paper. I would also like to thank Bruce Edmonds" :-D

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Bruce Edmonds @bruceedmonds.bsky.social · Mar 22

www.amazon.co.uk/Didnt-See-Co... ?

Didn't See it Coming: Overcomimg the Seven Greatest Challenges that No One Expects and Everyone Experiences: Overcoming the Seven Greatest Challenges ... That No One Expects and Everyone Experiences

Buy Didn't See it Coming: Overcomimg the Seven Greatest Challenges that No One Expects and Everyone Experiences: Overcoming the Seven Greatest Challenges ... That No One Expects and Everyone Experiences by Nieuwhof, Carey (ISBN: 9780735291331) from Amazon's Book Store. Everyday low prices and free delivery on eligible orders.

www.amazon.co.uk

Bruce Edmonds @bruceedmonds.bsky.social · Mar 16

Not the novel then? 😛

Reposted by Bruce Edmonds

British Future @britishfuture.bsky.social · Mar 13

ICYMI we're calling for evidence for the new Independent Commission on Community & Cohesion.
If you have insights, experiences, or ideas about how we can build more connected, cohesive and resilient communities, we want to hear from you.
www.livingwelltogether.org.uk/call-for-evi...

Call for evidence - The Independent Commission on Community and Cohesion

We’re inviting contributions to a call for evidence to help shape the early phase of the commission. If you have insights, experiences, or ideas about how we can build more connected, cohesive and res...

www.livingwelltogether.org.uk

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Reposted by Bruce Edmonds, Gary Polhill

Review of Artifical Societies and Social Simulation @rofasss.bsky.social · Mar 4

About the first winner of ESSA's Rosaria Conte Outstanding Contribution Award for Social Simulation: Nigel Gilbert. #sociology #socialsimulation #abm #jasss #simsoc #essa

Nigel Gilbert

By Corinna Elsenbroich & Petra Ahrweiler The first piece on winners of the European Social Simulation Association's Rosaria Conte Outstanding Contribution Award for Social Simulation. “Gilbert, a former sociologist of science, has been one of the chief links in Britain between computer scientists and sociologists of science” Nigel has always been and still is a sociologist - not only of science, but also of technology, innovation, methods and many other subfields of sociology with important contributions in theory, empirical research and sociological methods.

rofasss.org

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Bruce Edmonds @bruceedmonds.bsky.social · Feb 26

None as woke as teaching Arabic numerals to US kids 😉

Bruce Edmonds @bruceedmonds.bsky.social · Feb 26

I think it is time to open another tab

Bruce Edmonds @bruceedmonds.bsky.social · Feb 23

The best social simulation conference anywhere, Delft 25-29th Aug 2025. Paper deadline 11th Apr. See great list of special tracks and workshops in the program. ssc2025.tbm.tudelft.nl #simulation #socialscience #abm #ssc2025

Bruce Edmonds @bruceedmonds.bsky.social · Feb 23

Call for papers - Special track @ Social Simulation Conference 2025 - Qual2Rule: Using qualitative data in agent-based models. Deadline 11/4/25 Details in: ssc2025.tbm.tudelft.nl/conference-p... #abm #simulation #socialscience #qualitative

Conference Program - Social Simulation Conference 2025

SSC 2025 will have presentations of full papers (long and short) as well as extended abstracts in special or general tracks, workshops, poster presentations, and an ESSA@Work session. ESSA@Work Stuck ...

ssc2025.tbm.tudelft.nl

Bruce Edmonds @bruceedmonds.bsky.social · Feb 22

Just as the X account "in mice" added these words to the ends of titles that would otherwise sound more impressive and generally applicable than they are, I have launched an account @in-a-model.bsky.social to point out the same about papers whose conclusions sound as if about reality but are not.

Reposted by Bruce Edmonds

Posting about papers that should say "...in a model" @in-a-model.bsky.social · Feb 22

"Weak individual preferences stabilize culture IN A MODEL" www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

www.pnas.org

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Reposted by Bruce Edmonds

Ben Goldacre @bengoldacre.bsky.social · Feb 20

I was just on @BBCr4today talking about our OpenSAFELY platform, and how we protect the privacy of NHS GP records while supporting hundreds of researchers to do lifesaving work. You can see a 4 minute video explaining how the platform works here:

Docs.OpenSAFELY.Org

OpenSAFELY documentation

docs.opensafely.org

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Bruce Edmonds @bruceedmonds.bsky.social · Feb 19

How bad does it have to get before other countries realise they have to resist the bullying of Mad King Trump (MKT) and his entourage? The actions and self-serving beliefs of the current US administration seem strangely similar to those of Colonial Britain (and other empires) in the past.