Author | Lightnews

Moldova’s Pro-EU Path Unchanged After Elections: What Are Russia’s Next Steps? – Riddle Russia

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Anton Barbashin @abarbashin.bsky.social · Oct 3

After the parliamentary elections in #Moldova, the key focus for pro-EU forces should be providing economic growth - otherwise Euroscepticism fueled by Russia will weaken Moldova's European future
@dioniscenusa.bsky.social
ridl.io/moldova-s-pr...

Denis Cenușă on What a More Empowered Opposition in Parliament Means for Moldova’s Pro-EU Movement

For the past few weeks, the small nation of Moldova in southeastern Europe has received more attention than it would like.

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Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org · Oct 2

Why Moldova Matters | "For the past few weeks, the small nation of Moldova in southeastern Europe has received more attention than it would like. That signals its importance." @dioniscenusa.bsky.social

Why Moldova Matters

cepa.org

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Andrej Matisak @matisaksk.bsky.social · Sep 27

If you, inexplicably :-), missed the most recent episode of my 🎙️ #podcast, #TheGlobalAgora, with @dioniscenusa.bsky.social, here it is:
▶️ Moldova's elections: What will happen if pro-Russian forces win? podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/and... #Moldova #EU #Russia #Putinswar #Ukraine

Moldova's elections: What will happen if pro-Russian forces win? by The Global Agora

Is it accurate to describe the upcoming elections in Moldova, scheduled for September 28, as a duel between the pro-EU and pro-Russian camps? Has Russia been at least partly successful in influencing ...

podcasters.spotify.com

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Dionis Cenusa @dioniscenusa.bsky.social · Sep 27

My latest piece: “Moldova’s Parliamentary Elections: A Test for the EU, a “Revenge” for Russia?” For @ispionline.bsky.social www.ispionline.it/en/publicati...

Moldova’s Parliamentary Elections: A Test for the EU, a “Revenge” for Russia? | ISPI

With parliamentary elections looming on 28 September, Moldova faces a critical juncture. The outcome could either consolidate its pro-EU trajectory under President Maia Sandu’s party or compel a delic...

www.ispionline.it

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Andrej Matisak @matisaksk.bsky.social · Sep 26

Moldova's elections: What will happen if pro-Russian forces win? My 🎙 #podcast, #TheGlobalAgora, with @dioniscenusa.bsky.social.
▶️ ko-fi.com/post/Moldova...
If you enjoy what I do, please buy me coffee ☕️. Thank you! #Moldova #Russia #EU #Ukraine #Putinswar

Moldova's elections: What will happen if pro-Russian forces win?

Andrej Matisak published a post on Ko-fi

ko-fi.com

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Andrej Matisak @matisaksk.bsky.social · Sep 25

Moldova's elections: What will happen if pro-Russian forces win? My 🎙 #podcast, #TheGlobalAgora, with @dioniscenusa.bsky.social.
▶️ #Apple podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/m...

▶️ #Spotify open.spotify.com/episode/6RVb...

▶️ #Goodpods goodpods.com/podcasts/the... #Moldova #EU #Russia #politics

podcasts.apple.com

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Andrej Matisak @matisaksk.bsky.social · Sep 24

Moldova's elections: What will happen if pro-Russian forces win? Listen to another episode of 🎙 #podcast, #TheGlobalAgora. I talked to @dioniscenusa.bsky.social. podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/and... #Moldova #EU #Russia #politics

Moldova's elections: What will happen if pro-Russian forces win? by The Global Agora

Is it accurate to describe the upcoming elections in Moldova, scheduled for September 28, as a duel between the pro-EU and pro-Russian camps? Has Russia been at least partly successful in influencing ...

podcasters.spotify.com

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Reposted by Dionis Cenusa

The New Union Post @newunionpost.bsky.social · Sep 23

What does #Cyprus teach the EU about candidate countries with occupied or separatist territories, such as #Ukraine, #Moldova, and #Georgia?
An interview with @dioniscenusa.bsky.social, associate expert at the Geopolitics and Security Studies Center (GSSC)

newunionpost.eu/2025/09/23/c...

Is Cyprus an example for Ukraine, Moldova, and Georgia?

Cyprus' lack of territorial integrity has never posed existential threats for the EU as a whole. But with the three candidates, the situation could be different

newunionpost.eu

The Black Sea Region and the Impact of the War: geopolitics, geoeconomics and security ‘transversal costs’ and ‘unintended benefits’ | Geopolitics and Security Studies Center, GSSC (previously known a...

Dionis Cenusa @dioniscenusa.bsky.social · Jun 17

My new paper: “The Black Sea Region and the Impact of the War: geopolitics, geoeconomics and security ‘transversal costs’ and ‘unintended benefits’”.

An earlier version of this paper was funded by SONAC, with UK Ministry of Defence. For @gssc-lt.bsky.social

www.gssc.lt/en/publicati...

www.gssc.lt

The Russian versus MAGA Effect on the Romanian Elections: Which Weighs More? – Riddle Russia

Reposted by Dionis Cenusa

Anton Barbashin @abarbashin.bsky.social · May 15

#romania
Simion’s victory could have positive implications for Russia broader geopolitical calculations in the EU.His success would mark the first instance since Trump’s victory where MAGA propels sovereigntists in electoral processes beyond USA
@dioniscenusa.bsky.social
ridl.io/the-russian-...

Denis Cenusa on why Simion’s victory could have positive implications for Russia’s broader geopolitical calculations in the EU

Think Tank Review - April 2025

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Geopolitics and Security Studies Center @gssc-lt.bsky.social · May 6

We are pleased to share that the @consilium.europa.eu has included a publication “Rethinking the EU’s Eastern Partnership: Three Ways to Upgrade Amid Geopolitical Competition” written by the GSSC analyst @dioniscenusa.bsky.social in its list of recommended research for April.

Read more:

EU enlargement and the balance of power in the Council; invest in Europe first; defence expenditure in the context of the EU’s fiscal rules; how the European gas market can wean itself off Russian imp...

www.consilium.europa.eu

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The Loop @ecprtheloop.bsky.social · Apr 10

🧭 #EUEnlargementDilemmas No.12
🪆 Russia is emboldening sovereigntist #populism, spreading #disinformation, and weaponising economic hardship, all of which poses a threat to #EUEnlargement.
🤝 @dioniscenusa.bsky.social suggests countermeasures to protect the EU's resilience.
👇
bit.ly/42Cq4rn

🧭 Russia’s hybrid warfare on EU enlargement

Russia’s hybrid tactics — emboldening sovereigntist populism, spreading disinformation, and weaponising economic hardship — threaten EU enlargement.

bit.ly

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Anton Barbashin @abarbashin.bsky.social · Mar 30

@dioniscenusa.bsky.social on Romania’s far-right rise, Russian fingerprints, and strategic implications for Moldova

f16col.bsky.social @f16col.bsky.social · Mar 29

ridl.io/romania-s-ra...

Romania’s Radical Turn and Russia’s Influence – Riddle Russia

Denis Cenusa on Romania’s far-right rise, Russian fingerprints, and strategic implications for Moldova

Romania’s Radical Turn and Russia’s Influence – Riddle Russia

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Anton Barbashin @abarbashin.bsky.social · Mar 27

In a nutshell: if a far-right guy wins Romania, pro-Russian forces have a much better chance next year in Moldova.
These dynamic is observed with great interest from Moscow
@dioniscenusa.bsky.social
ridl.io/romania-s-ra...

Denis Cenusa on Romania’s far-right rise, Russian fingerprints, and strategic implications for Moldova

Romania’s Radical Turn and Russia’s Influence – Riddle Russia

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Geopolitics and Security Studies Center @gssc-lt.bsky.social · Mar 27

🌍Regional wake-up call: the EU’s Eastern Partnership is at a crossroads. Our associate expert @dioniscenusa.bsky.social explores how EU, Ukraine, Moldova & others navigate growing geopolitical competition, urging the EU to rethink its Eastern strategy.

Read more ⬇️
#Geopolitics #EU

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Dionis Cenusa @dioniscenusa.bsky.social · Mar 27

My latest article: “Romania’s Radical Turn and Russia’s Influence” for @RiddleRussia ridl.io/romania-s-ra...

Denis Cenusa on Romania’s far-right rise, Russian fingerprints, and strategic implications for Moldova

Dionis Cenusa @dioniscenusa.bsky.social · Mar 25

Both situations could have a psychological impact on the Ukrainian civilian population and military forces. The cumulative effect Russia seeks is to delegitimize Zelensky and create unsustainable peace negotiations at the expense of Ukraine's sovereignty.

Dionis Cenusa @dioniscenusa.bsky.social · Mar 25

2) Hungary is blocking EU accession negotiations by refusing to compromise on Ukraine's stance on minority issues. Without the EU integration process, Ukraine is less likely to receive EU accession grants, meaning loans predominate, increasing pressure on the budget and limiting defense resources.⤵️

The Yerevan-Baku “Peace” Deal and the Fate of the EU’s Mission in Armenia | Geopolitics and Security Studies Center, GSSC (previously known as Eastern Europe Studies Centre, EESC)

Dionis Cenusa @dioniscenusa.bsky.social · Mar 25

#Ukraine:

Russia and its main ally in Europe, Hungary, are using two levers to undermine Ukraine's willingness to fight on the battlefield:

1) Moscow is slowing down peace talks, negotiating with the US to reduce aid to Ukraine, and making it more susceptible to concessions;⤵️

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Dionis Cenusa @dioniscenusa.bsky.social · Mar 18

My latest article: "The Yerevan-Baku “peace” deal and the fate of the EU’s Mission in Armenia" for @gssc-lt.bsky.social www.gssc.lt/en/publicati...

www.gssc.lt

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Geopolitics and Security Studies Center @gssc-lt.bsky.social · Mar 17

Peace Between Armenia and Azerbaijan - What’s Next for the EU Mission?

What are the prospects for a peace agreement? What is the future of the EU’s EUMA mission? @gssc-lt.bsky.social Associate Analyst @dioniscenusa.bsky.social explores these questions and more in the latest bulletin.

The Yerevan-Baku “Peace” Deal and the Fate of the EU’s Mission in Armenia | Geopolitics and Security Studies Center, GSSC (previously known as Eastern Europe Studies Centre, EESC)

www.gssc.lt

www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...

Dionis Cenusa @dioniscenusa.bsky.social · Feb 7

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/feb/06/trump-russia-oligarchs-task-force

t.co

Dionis Cenusa @dioniscenusa.bsky.social · Feb 7

3) Trump's decision to ease sanctions on Russian oligarchs clearly favors the stability of Putin's government.

Dionis Cenusa @dioniscenusa.bsky.social · Feb 7

2) If the oligarchs dropped the measure (which they did not), the West thought that Putin's domestic legitimacy and the trajectory of the war would change in Ukraine's favor;⤵️