Center for European Policy Analysis
@cepa.org
The Center for European Policy Analysis (CEPA) | CEPA’s mission is to ensure a strong and democratic transatlantic alliance for future generations. Media inquiries: [email protected]
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War Without End: Russia’s Shadow Warfare
To secure its grip on power, Russia adopts Soviet practices coupled with modern tactics of covert influence, violence, and manipulation.
cepa.org
The Kremlin’s primary goal is the regime’s survival, not Russian national security. To secure its grip on power, Russia has adopted Shadow Warfare, using sabotage, covert influence, and violence to achieve its political and military goals.
cepa.org/comprehensiv...
cepa.org/comprehensiv...
China — The Real Winner From Russian Victory in Ukraine | "Kremlin success would benefit the Beijing regime in a whole number of ways, including the theft of Ukrainian military technology." @apolyakova.bsky.social and Christopher Walker
China — The Real Winner From Russian Victory in Ukraine
Kremlin success would benefit the Beijing regime in a whole number of ways, including the theft of Ukrainian military technology.
cepa.org
November 25, 2025 at 3:34 PM
China — The Real Winner From Russian Victory in Ukraine | "Kremlin success would benefit the Beijing regime in a whole number of ways, including the theft of Ukrainian military technology." @apolyakova.bsky.social and Christopher Walker
Nexperia: China Puts Dutch in Check | "The Netherlands moved to place Chinese-owned Nexperia chipmaker under state supervision. China retaliated, and the Dutch backed down." @ellyrostoum.bsky.social
Nexperia: China Puts Dutch in Check
The Netherlands moved to place the Chinese-owned Nexperia chipmaker under state supervision. China retaliated, and the Dutch backed down.
cepa.org
November 24, 2025 at 9:04 PM
Nexperia: China Puts Dutch in Check | "The Netherlands moved to place Chinese-owned Nexperia chipmaker under state supervision. China retaliated, and the Dutch backed down." @ellyrostoum.bsky.social
Putin to End Hostilities? Think Again | "Ukraine may be Russia’s primary military target but the regime has a much broader range of enemies." @andreisoldatov.bsky.social and Irina Borogan
Putin to End Hostilities? Think Again
Ukraine may be Russia’s primary military target, but the regime has a much broader range of enemies, such as NATO.
cepa.org
November 24, 2025 at 6:05 PM
Putin to End Hostilities? Think Again | "Ukraine may be Russia’s primary military target but the regime has a much broader range of enemies." @andreisoldatov.bsky.social and Irina Borogan
Can Democracies Prevail? | "Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin believe their autarchic political and economic systems will gradually defeat the West’s democracies. How can they be stopped?" Walter Clemens
Can Democracies Prevail?
Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin believe their autarchic political and economic systems will gradually defeat the West’s democracies.
cepa.org
November 24, 2025 at 5:44 PM
Can Democracies Prevail? | "Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin believe their autarchic political and economic systems will gradually defeat the West’s democracies. How can they be stopped?" Walter Clemens
The 29th Point: Cognitive Control | "Russia’s bogus peace plan wins it a round of psychological warfare." @edwardlucas.bsky.social
The 29th Point: Cognitive Control
Russia’s bogus peace plan wins a round of psychological warfare. The 28-point peace plan prompted anguish in Ukraine and panic in Europe.
cepa.org
November 24, 2025 at 4:46 PM
The 29th Point: Cognitive Control | "Russia’s bogus peace plan wins it a round of psychological warfare." @edwardlucas.bsky.social
"Ending the war today will require a maximum pressure campaign on Russia to force Mr. Putin to the negotiation table, coupled with an effective defense and deterrence plan led by Europeans." @apolyakova.bsky.social
Opinion | 7 Experts on How to Actually End the War in Ukraine
www.nytimes.com
November 24, 2025 at 2:39 PM
"Ending the war today will require a maximum pressure campaign on Russia to force Mr. Putin to the negotiation table, coupled with an effective defense and deterrence plan led by Europeans." @apolyakova.bsky.social
“There are quite a lot of experts who can build warheads, or sensors or engines. But there are not that many people who can integrate all these sub-systems into a functioning, workable missile – probably a few dozen.” Fabian Hoffmann
https://bit.ly/43FM5WG
https://bit.ly/43FM5WG
Access Restricted
www.telegraph.co.uk
November 23, 2025 at 8:55 PM
“There are quite a lot of experts who can build warheads, or sensors or engines. But there are not that many people who can integrate all these sub-systems into a functioning, workable missile – probably a few dozen.” Fabian Hoffmann
https://bit.ly/43FM5WG
https://bit.ly/43FM5WG
"Central and Eastern Europe have been the most vulnerable because these were the countries that had been historically almost 100% dependent on Russian gas." @asabadus.bsky.social
https://fxn.ws/48mh5gQ
https://fxn.ws/48mh5gQ
Russia's gas gamble backfires as Trump's energy vision reshapes Europe
Trump's warning about Russian gas dependence proved prophetic as Europe now imports 57% of gas from U.S. instead of Russia after Moscow's 2022 energy cutoff backfired.
www.foxnews.com
November 23, 2025 at 6:20 PM
"Central and Eastern Europe have been the most vulnerable because these were the countries that had been historically almost 100% dependent on Russian gas." @asabadus.bsky.social
https://fxn.ws/48mh5gQ
https://fxn.ws/48mh5gQ
“The UAE faces a much lower probability of encountering FPV threats within the country itself, but both environments—Ukraine’s humidity and Abu Dhabi’s dry, sandy conditions—present challenges to the robustness of the system." @fedeborsari.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/481b2gu
https://bit.ly/481b2gu
Vendors' push to drone-proof vehicles with nets goes beyond Ukraine
Netting and cages have proven effective in Ukraine in keeping warheads from penetrating vehicle walls.
www.defensenews.com
November 23, 2025 at 4:15 PM
“The UAE faces a much lower probability of encountering FPV threats within the country itself, but both environments—Ukraine’s humidity and Abu Dhabi’s dry, sandy conditions—present challenges to the robustness of the system." @fedeborsari.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/481b2gu
https://bit.ly/481b2gu
Britain Hits Snooze as Russia’s Threat Intensifies | "There is now clear evidence that despite an acknowledged threat, the UK is extending its holiday from history." Keir Giles
Britain Hits Snooze as Russia’s Threat Intensifies
There is now clear evidence that despite an acknowledged threat from Russia, the UK is extending its holiday from history.
cepa.org
November 23, 2025 at 3:47 PM
Britain Hits Snooze as Russia’s Threat Intensifies | "There is now clear evidence that despite an acknowledged threat, the UK is extending its holiday from history." Keir Giles
A Necessary Air of Venom: Hardening NATO’s Airspace | "Russia’s recent air incursions into NATO airspace are part of a disruptive strategy." Noah Greene and Chris Hoeft
A Necessary Air of Venom: Hardening NATO’s Airspace
Russia’s recent air incursions into NATO airspace are part of a disruptive strategy. Whatever actions NATO takes, they need to be immediate
cepa.org
November 22, 2025 at 5:50 PM
A Necessary Air of Venom: Hardening NATO’s Airspace | "Russia’s recent air incursions into NATO airspace are part of a disruptive strategy." Noah Greene and Chris Hoeft
Russia’s Shadow War Won’t Stay Hidden Forever | "Poland’s Prime Minister has accused Russia of an “unprecedented act of sabotage” against its rail system, the latest in a wave of attacks attributed to the Kremlin’s shadow war." Heine Brekke
Russia’s Shadow War Won’t Stay Hidden Forever
Poland’s prime minister accused Russia of an “act of sabotage”, the latest in a wave of attacks attributed to the Kremlin’s shadow war.
cepa.org
November 21, 2025 at 5:26 PM
Russia’s Shadow War Won’t Stay Hidden Forever | "Poland’s Prime Minister has accused Russia of an “unprecedented act of sabotage” against its rail system, the latest in a wave of attacks attributed to the Kremlin’s shadow war." Heine Brekke
Self-Harm: The EU’s Sustainability Rules | "A new European Union directive is undermining the bloc’s economic security and failing to deliver on its social justice promises." Alan Riley
Self-Harm: The EU’s Sustainability Rules
A new European Union directive is undermining the bloc’s economic security and failing to deliver social justice and sustainability promises.
cepa.org
November 20, 2025 at 3:04 PM
Self-Harm: The EU’s Sustainability Rules | "A new European Union directive is undermining the bloc’s economic security and failing to deliver on its social justice promises." Alan Riley
The New China Challenge: Gene Editing on the Farm | "The US and Europe deem gene editing of crops a national security priority." Elly Rostoum
The New China Challenge: Gene Editing on the Farm
The US and Europe deem the gene editing of crops a national security priority — and China is racing ahead.
cepa.org
November 20, 2025 at 2:58 PM
The New China Challenge: Gene Editing on the Farm | "The US and Europe deem gene editing of crops a national security priority." Elly Rostoum
Awake But Groggy: Europe’s Shadow Warfare Guardians | "The EU is doing well in some areas but as attacks rise, much more continent-wide cooperation is needed." Marija Golubeva
Awake But Groggy: Europe’s Shadow Warfare Guardians
The European Union is doing well in some areas, but as hybrid attacks rise, much more continent-wide cooperation is needed.
cepa.org
November 20, 2025 at 2:32 PM
Awake But Groggy: Europe’s Shadow Warfare Guardians | "The EU is doing well in some areas but as attacks rise, much more continent-wide cooperation is needed." Marija Golubeva
Europe Tech Regulation: Yes to Simplification, No to Deregulation | "The European Commission is publishing a much-awaited Digital Omnibus to “simplify” EU tech regulations. But is it an omni-nothing burger?" William Echikson
Europe Tech Regulation: Yes to Simplification, No to Deregulation
The European Commission is publishing a much-awaited Digital Omnibus to “simplify” EU tech regulations. But is it an omni-nothing burger?
cepa.org
November 20, 2025 at 2:28 PM
Europe Tech Regulation: Yes to Simplification, No to Deregulation | "The European Commission is publishing a much-awaited Digital Omnibus to “simplify” EU tech regulations. But is it an omni-nothing burger?" William Echikson
Making Interoperability Work: Recommendations for Europe’s DMA | "Part 3: Open access and secure design are contradictory positions. But there are ways both can co-exist." @heatherwest.bsky.social
Making Interoperability Work: Recommendations for Europe’s DMA
Open access and secure design are often contradictory positions. But there are ways that they can co-exist in Europe's DMA.
cepa.org
November 19, 2025 at 9:44 PM
Making Interoperability Work: Recommendations for Europe’s DMA | "Part 3: Open access and secure design are contradictory positions. But there are ways both can co-exist." @heatherwest.bsky.social
Washington’s Eurasian Moment | "The US has momentum, but Russia and China still limit Central Asia’s options." Emil Avdaliani
Washington’s Eurasian Moment
After the summit of the US and five Central Asian countries, the US has momentum. Russia and China still limit Central Asia’s options.
cepa.org
November 19, 2025 at 6:32 PM
Washington’s Eurasian Moment | "The US has momentum, but Russia and China still limit Central Asia’s options." Emil Avdaliani
Urgently Wanted: More European Missile Engines | "The US is the dominant supplier of critical propulsion technology for Europe’s missile makers. To rival Russia, Europe must catch up." Fabian Hoffmann
Urgently Wanted: More European Missile Engines
The US is the dominant supplier of critical propulsion technology for Europe’s missile makers. To rival Russia, Europe must catch up.
cepa.org
November 19, 2025 at 6:27 PM
Urgently Wanted: More European Missile Engines | "The US is the dominant supplier of critical propulsion technology for Europe’s missile makers. To rival Russia, Europe must catch up." Fabian Hoffmann
Fogbound: Narrative Wars | "Ukraine’s setbacks are troubling but only part of the story." @edwardlucas.bsky.social
Fogbound: Narrative Wars
Ukraine’s setbacks in its fight against Russia are troubling but only part of the story. Europe needs to take note.
cepa.org
November 19, 2025 at 6:03 PM
Fogbound: Narrative Wars | "Ukraine’s setbacks are troubling but only part of the story." @edwardlucas.bsky.social
The Kremlin’s primary goal is the regime’s survival, not Russian national security. To secure its grip on power, Russia has adopted Shadow Warfare, using sabotage, covert influence, and violence to achieve its political and military goals.
cepa.org/comprehensiv...
cepa.org/comprehensiv...
War Without End: Russia’s Shadow Warfare
To secure its grip on power, Russia adopts Soviet practices coupled with modern tactics of covert influence, violence, and manipulation.
cepa.org
November 19, 2025 at 4:50 PM
The Kremlin’s primary goal is the regime’s survival, not Russian national security. To secure its grip on power, Russia has adopted Shadow Warfare, using sabotage, covert influence, and violence to achieve its political and military goals.
cepa.org/comprehensiv...
cepa.org/comprehensiv...
Part 2: Opening Up — Europe’s DMA and the Risks of Interoperability | "The Digital Markets Act introduces several potential risks for tech providers and users. Expect disagreement." @heatherwest.bsky.social
Part 2: Opening Up — Europe’s DMA and the Risks of Interoperability
The Digital Markets Act introduces several potential risks for tech providers and users. Expect disagreement.
cepa.org
November 19, 2025 at 3:04 PM
Part 2: Opening Up — Europe’s DMA and the Risks of Interoperability | "The Digital Markets Act introduces several potential risks for tech providers and users. Expect disagreement." @heatherwest.bsky.social
The Next Critical Mineral Battle: Potash and Phosphate | "Concerns over critical minerals have focused on industrial inputs. That’s a mistake: the risks to our food supply are also significant." @ellyrostoum.bsky.social
The Next Critical Mineral Battle: Potash and Phosphate
Concerns over critical minerals have focused on industrial inputs. That’s a mistake: the risks to our food supply are also significant.
cepa.org
November 19, 2025 at 2:33 PM
The Next Critical Mineral Battle: Potash and Phosphate | "Concerns over critical minerals have focused on industrial inputs. That’s a mistake: the risks to our food supply are also significant." @ellyrostoum.bsky.social
"[Smuggler balloons are] part of Russia's — and involving Belarus's — hybrid warfare campaign against both countries, Central Europe, and the rest of Europe." @ebajarunas.bsky.social
https://theworld.org/segments/2025/10/30/lithuania-taking-action-to-prevent-smuggler-balloons-from-belarus
https://theworld.org/segments/2025/10/30/lithuania-taking-action-to-prevent-smuggler-balloons-from-belarus
Lithuania taking action to prevent smuggler balloons from Belarus - The World from PRX
Weather balloons carrying boxes of smuggled cigarettes have been disrupting flights in Lithuania. The situation has escalated dramatically over the past week, and the government in Vilnius has announced plans to close Lithuania's border with Belarus. Th...
theworld.org
November 16, 2025 at 7:44 PM
"[Smuggler balloons are] part of Russia's — and involving Belarus's — hybrid warfare campaign against both countries, Central Europe, and the rest of Europe." @ebajarunas.bsky.social
https://theworld.org/segments/2025/10/30/lithuania-taking-action-to-prevent-smuggler-balloons-from-belarus
https://theworld.org/segments/2025/10/30/lithuania-taking-action-to-prevent-smuggler-balloons-from-belarus
“As economic growth slows and revenues shrink, Moscow can no longer ramp up fiscal stimulus and is instead imposing austerity measures that threaten to further choke the civilian economy.” Alexander Kolyandr
https://bit.ly/3LqHotm
https://bit.ly/3LqHotm
Russia reports third straight quarter of slowing growth – Citizen Watch Report - CNBS News
🔥IMF forecasts 2025 GDP growth at 1.3%, down from 3.6% in 2024 Economist Lipsits: Post-war Russia = “decades of poverty, huge expenses, falling revenues.” Each month of war worsens the disaster. Putin...
cnbsnews.live
November 16, 2025 at 5:50 PM
“As economic growth slows and revenues shrink, Moscow can no longer ramp up fiscal stimulus and is instead imposing austerity measures that threaten to further choke the civilian economy.” Alexander Kolyandr
https://bit.ly/3LqHotm
https://bit.ly/3LqHotm