Garry Peterson
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resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson
@resiliencesci.bsky.social

Director FinBio.org
Professor of Environmental Science
with focus on Resilience in Social-Ecological Systems
Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University stockholmresilience.org

projects:
regimeshifts.org
biospherefutures.net
goodanthropocenes.net .. more

Environmental science 64%
Geography 16%
Pinned
Resilience Science Must-Knows

Nine essential insights from global resilience science to help decision-makers navigate a turbulent world.

Developed in dialogue with decision makers, and synthesised by an international team of resilience researchers

www.stockholmresilience.org/research/res...
Resilience Science Must-Knows
Nine things every decision maker should know about resilience
www.stockholmresilience.org

Reposted by Garry Peterson

The State of Wildfires website provides interactive maps for evaluating 2024-25 global fire season for detailed context (e.g., burned area anomaly by ecoregion shown below) stateofwildfires.com/latest-report/. For tropical Africa, the Congo Basin had one of the most extreme seasons in 2024.

“I think what the problem is right now is the methodology of consensus,
because this consensus has turned into veto...
So the most ambitious agenda has been eliminated.
Veto is what is happening here.”
-Torres, Colombia’s Environment and Sustainable Development Minister
drilled.media/news/COP30-w...
COP-tastrophe: How the COP of Implementation, Truth, Forests, and Indigenous Peoples Failed on All Counts
COP30 began full of promise but ended as yet another reminder that the mechanism for global climate governance is broken.
drilled.media

"only chance of keeping 1.5C within reach
is ... concrete roadmaps to
accelerate the phase-out of fossil fuels and
protection of nature.
We got neither.” - Johan Rockström on COP30
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Cop30’s watered-down agreements will do little for an ecosystem at tipping point
Delegates made minimal headway on timetable for replacing oil and gas or on firm commitments to reducing carbon emissions
www.theguardian.com

Reposted by Garry Peterson

"Warming is going to exceed 1.5°C. We are heading into overshoot within the next few years": a stark message by PIK Director Rockström & James Dyke in @theconversation.com. Yet, science shows a way back: fossil-fuel phase-out, nature protection, carbon removal.
theconversation.com/the-world-lo...
The world lost the climate gamble. Now it faces a dangerous new reality
The world bet on collective but voluntary action to keep global warming at a safe level.
theconversation.com

Reposted by Garry Peterson

“This is a clear sign that the EU’s regulatory efforts on sustainable finance are too soft on anti-greenwashing measures,” says Centre researcher Beatrice Crona. “As a result, green investing is doing very little to shift actual investment allocations.”

Learn more: buff.ly/LEZhfZ8
Green funds only slightly differ from others, new study finds
A new study from researchers at the Centre and at KTH The Royal Institute of Technology has analysed nearly 7,000 European funds. They found that most “green” portfolios mirror conventional ones –…
buff.ly

Reposted by Garry Peterson

Unique agreement!

Researchers and key civil society actors together present 24 reforms for a people-centered climate policy in Sweden. The proposals span ten areas, including:

- major investments in railways,
- electric vehicles,
-wind power,
- and green skills provision.

buff.ly/hmxON1h

"...archaeologists have identified up to 11 canoes—ranging from 800 to 4,500 years old—within the same site. The 4,500-year-old canoe is now the oldest recorded in the Great Lakes."
www.wisconsinhistory.org/canoe
The Mendota Canoes | Wisconsin Historical Society
In partnership with Wisconsin’s Native Nations, we are preserving a pair of historic dugout canoes recovered from Madison’s Lake Mendota in 2021 and 2022.
www.wisconsinhistory.org

Wisconsin Historical Society
www.wisconsinhistory.org/canoe

Archaeologists mapped the location of 16 canoes submerged in the lake bed of Lake Mendota in Madison
www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...
Archaeologists find ancient canoes used by Indigenous people in Wisconsin
Sixteen submerged canoes were discovered along Lake Mendota’s shore at a kind of prehistoric parking lot
www.theguardian.com

Reposted by Garry Peterson

🌿 TODAY at #COP30:
Launching the NATURA Global Roadmap for Urban NbS—the FIRST global assessment of urban nature-based solutions
✨ 1000+ publications
✨ 150+ case studies worldwide
✨ 80+ expert contributors
✨ 7 regional teams
🎥 New video live now
📄 Get the reports at nbsroadmap.org
#NBSRoadmap

Reposted by Garry Peterson

Now that I can post freely about books, there's quite a backlog. First, get your library to get a copy of the Oxford Handbook of Land Politics. (30% discount below) Ian Scoones lists the reason to read it and, as always, he's right: www.tni.org/en/article/t...
fdslive.oup.com/www.oup.com/...

Reposted by Garry Peterson

#TNOCEssay
What happens when you ask people around the world to photograph the outdoor places that keep them healthy?
Read the essay and join the conversation: buff.ly/SEdE9TS
#UrbanNature #HealthyCities #Photovoice #NatureForHealth #TNOC

Reposted by Garry Peterson

Which innovations around #ForestEcosystemServices are being developed in Europe? And where do we find them? A continent-wide mapping exercise led by Marko Lovric, an output of the SINCERE (sincereforests.eu) & InnoforEst (innoforest.eu) projects. #OpenAccess. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Reposted by Garry Peterson

📣 Upcoming webinar on how local “seeds” and participatory foresight can help guide pathways toward more sustainable and just futures 🌱

🎤 @amandajimenezac.bsky.social from @sthlmresilience.bsky.social

🗓️ 25 November 2025
🕑 7 am Mountain / 15:00 CET / 16:00 CAT
🔗 Register here: tinyurl.com/4pb3ybfz

"13.4% of homeowners — about 1 in 8 — are unprotected by homeowners insurance"
New Census Bureau data shows homeowners in the South and the Gulf Coast are particularly vulnerable.
www.nbcnews.com/data-graphic...

data from
Property Insurance and Disaster Risk: New Evidence from Mortgage Escrow Data
Key+
doi.org/10.3386/w32579

"a new dataset to study homeowners insurance using over 74 million premiums from 2014–2024 inferred from mortgage escrow payments"

Premium increases -> lower home value

Reposted by Mark Lubell

A Climate ‘Shock’ Is Eroding Some Home Values. New Data Shows How Much
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

“They won’t insure you, No one will buy from you. You’re kind of stuck where you are.” - Sandra Rojas, A fifth-generation resident of Lafitte, La., a small coastal community

"Through the adoption of scenario analysis, climate disclosure standards and transition planning, financial institutions can factor climate and nature-related risks into the strategies and operations, and enable a ... transition towards a sustainable economy"

www.ngfs.net/en/publicati...
NGFS Declaration on the Economic Cost of Climate Inaction | Network for Greening the Financial System
www.ngfs.net

Network of Central Banks and
Supervisors for Greening the Financial System

Declaration on the
Economic Cost of Climate Inaction
www.ngfs.net/en/publicati...
NGFS Declaration on the Economic Cost of Climate Inaction | Network for Greening the Financial System
www.ngfs.net

Reposted by Juan Cole

NGFS Declaration on the Economic Cost of Climate Inaction
www.ngfs.net/en/press-rel...

"Warns that delayed action could halve the effectiveness of transition efforts, with transition costs rising from 0.5% to 1.3% of global GDP by 2030 in the case of a three-year delay."
NGFS Issues Declaration on the Economic Cost of Climate Inaction at COP30 | Network for Greening the Financial System
Today, the Network of central banks and supervisors for Greening the Financial System (NGFS) releases its Declaration on the Economic Cost of Climate Inaction on the occasion of the 30th United Nation...
www.ngfs.net

The Character of Chinese Computing
Maura Elizabeth Cunningham
lareviewofbooks.org/article/the-...

review of
Thomas S. Mullaney’s “The Chinese Computer: A Global History of the Information Age.”
direct.mit.edu/books/book/5...

his sequel to
"The Chinese Typewriter: A History"
The Character of Chinese Computing | Los Angeles Review of Books
Maura Elizabeth Cunningham reviews Thomas S. Mullaney’s “The Chinese Computer: A Global History of the Information Age.”
lareviewofbooks.org

Large herbivores are linked to higher herbaceous plant diversity and functional redundancy across spatial scales
Trepel+
doi.org/10.1111/1365...

higher herbivore intensity ->
higher total plant species richness
higher functional redundancy

strongest effects at largest scale

from New Yorker
The Shutdown of U.S.A.I.D. Has Already Killed Hundreds of Thousands-Atul Gawande

short documentary “Rovina’s Choice” tells the story of what goes when aid goes- by Thomas Jennings & Annie Wong
www.newyorker.com/culture/the-...
The Shutdown of U.S.A.I.D. Has Already Killed Hundreds of Thousands
The short documentary “Rovina’s Choice” tells the story of what goes when aid goes.
www.newyorker.com

Reposted by Juan Rocha

Come work with us at @sthlmresilience.bsky.social !

Great team and workplace in wonderful Stockholm

"Geopolitical tensions and shifting trade policies,
climate and nature-related crises,
demographic change and
technological disruptions
are exacerbating structural vulnerabilities,
making the likelihood of extreme,
low-probability events unprecedentedly high" - ECB
www.reuters.com/sustainabili...
www.reuters.com
My latest for @science.org: A remarkable set of high-resolution climate model runs, computed over 900 (!) days of supercomputing time, are revealing how warming-induced changes to Earth's wind patterns due can prime huge spikes in extreme rainfall.

But the MESACLIP runs also do much more than that.
High-resolution climate model forecasts a wet, turbulent future
With details as fine as short-term weather forecasts, model achieves newfound accuracy
www.science.org

Reposted by Garry Peterson

Three ongoing processes at COP 30 to keep an eye on:

🛣️ Roadmap for moving away from fossil fuels
🌳 Amazon Declaration
🧭 Global Goal of Adaptation

Presented by Cibele Queiroz from Belém.

Learn more about what we do at COP: buff.ly/R2NwOjX

Book recommendation:

Helm by Sarah Hall

a book about the only named wind in the UK

Cumbria's Helm
meets people from the deep past
to a climate scientist studying micro-plastics in clouds

"Serious – but playful and ironic"
www.theguardian.com/books/2025/a...
Helm by Sarah Hall review – a mighty epic of climate change in slow motion
A Cumbrian wind is the central character in this hugely ambitious, millennia-spanning novel, which was 20 years in the making
www.theguardian.com
Safeguarding long-term research in ecology and evolution www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Q&A with Stéphane Blanc, research director at CNRS, about the Long-term Studies in Ecology and Evolution programme and its priorities for supporting long-term monitoring and research

Free to read: rdcu.be/eQltU
Safeguarding long-term research in ecology and evolution - Nature Ecology & Evolution
Long-term research projects are essential for predicting the ecological and evolutionary responses of species to global change, yet their continuity is often threatened by uncertainties over funding. ...
www.nature.com

Reposted by Garry Peterson

Reflections from COP 30:

⏩ Implementation must speed up!
⚖️ Imbalances: 1600 fossil fuel lobbyists but only 600 scientists?!
✅ Resilience as central part of COP 30 agenda!

Those are three key take-aways from the first week of COP 30.

Read more about what we do at COP: buff.ly/R2NwOjX
A shutdown of the AMOC, a crucial system of ocean currents, “cannot be considered a low likelihood risk anymore in view of the evolving science over the past years,” explains PIK scientist @rahmstorf.bsky.social via CNN.
edition.cnn.com/2025/11/15/c...
A crucial system of ocean currents may be on course to collapse. This country just declared it a national security threat | CNN
Without warm currents from the South Atlantic, Iceland would be much icier and stormier. Now, those currents are at risk of collapse and the country is preparing for this “existential threat.”
edition.cnn.com