Peter du Toit
banner
peterdutoit.com
Peter du Toit
@peterdutoit.com

I speak about climate futures, mitigation and adaptation in the face of the climate crisis. 🇿🇦

I am a huge fan of ephemeral social media, so my posts delete after 60 days. Content that I want around longer will be on my blog.

https://peterdutoit.com .. more

du Toit is an Afrikaans surname of French origin, originally from François du Toit, a Huguenot who moved to South Africa in 1686. It translates as "of the roof". People with the surname include:Alexander du Toit (1878–1948), South African geologist Anri du Toit aka Yolandi Visser, South African musician Braam du Toit, South African composer Christiaan du Toit (1901–1982), South African military commander Daniel du Toit (1871–1959), South African astronomer Dirk du Toit (1943–2009), South African politician Elize du Toit, South African born, British actress Flooi du Toit (1869–1909), South African cricketer Francois Jacobus du Toit (1897–1961), South African journalist and economist Gaffie du Toit, South African rugby union Jacob Daniël du Toit, South African poet and translator Jané du Toit, Namibian rugby union footballer Lydia Lindeque (1916–1997), South African actor Natalie du Toit, South African swimmer Nick du Toit, South African arms dealer Paul du Toit (1965–2014), South African artist Pieter-Steph du Toit, South African rugby union player Rachel Alida du Toit (1916–1997), South African actor Sarel Petrus du Toit (1864–1930), Second Boer War Boer general Simoné du Toit, South African shot putter Stephanus Jacobus du Toit (1847–1911), South African Afrikaans language pioneer Wikus du Toit, South African actor .. more

Environmental science 54%
Geography 13%
Pinned
Ignore the blah blah blah and remember this:

"Since atmospheric GHGs [which increased by +2.3% in 2024] drive global warming, [this is] ultimately the metric that matters for meeting the temperature goal of the Paris Agreement."

Unless these decline we are on a steady march to hell

#ClimateCrisis

The American wipeout continues unabated 🤷🏻
EPA just approved new ‘forever chemical’ pesticides for use on food - The Boston Globe
The agency approved two new pesticides that will be used on vegetables such as romaine lettuce, broccoli, and potatoes.
www.bostonglobe.com

Reposted by Du Toit

Another climate conferernce ends, another missed opportunity to avert disaster. We've failed to limit warming to 1.5°C. The worlds is going to become more dangerous. This means climate policy must reflect this new reality. 1/6
www.technosphere.earth/living-beyon...
Living beyond limits
Decades of climate policy failure means we must find ways to live in a more dangerous world
www.technosphere.earth

Prudent 101 risk management!

Sorry you lost me

Full quote from a local ward councillor here

peterdutoit.com/knysna-water...

A small town on South Africa’s south coast is 23 days from Day Zero.

Today they had to switch off the river extraction pumps due to extreme low water flow.

Knysna has been plagued by municipal mismanagement and infrastructure issues and the drought has amplified all this.

Population: 98,000

Trump, war, attention deficit: five threats to climate progress that dogged Cop30

Did the talks succeed or fail? The verdict must take account of the geopolitical minefield in which they took place

Jonathan Watts in Belém

www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Trump, war, absent media: five threats to climate progress that dogged Cop30
Did the talks succeed or fail? The verdict must take account of the geopolitical minefield they took place in
www.theguardian.com

As projected here www.nature.com/articles/s41... we are steadily moving toward a situation where are major town or city runs out of water

There are early signs of this everywhere, right now Iran seems to be a hotspot at ~1.5ºC of heating

We are *utterly* unprepared for what comes at 1.6, 1.7 & 2ºC

Now that a failed COP30 is in the rearview mirror, there are consequences just ahead, one being that staying under 2ºC is now implausible.

Forewarned is forearmed.

peterdutoit.com/cons...

#ClimateCrisis #RealityCheck
Consequences just ahead
Now that COP30 has ended as a COP-tastrophe (thanks Drilled Media) and this despite the UNEP clearly outlining that in order to remain below 2ºC will require that emissions fall by ~5% PER YEAR beginning now. What are the emissions projections for 2025? Given all this, it is little wonder that Dr James Hansen in […]
peterdutoit.com
“What once sounded unthinkable is now being said openly: Tehran is not viable; and evacuation orders are imminent.
As I wrote before, President Masoud Pezeshkian himself said that it might be necessary to relocate Tehranis in large number.” open.substack.com/pub/peterfra...
Makran or Bust: Tehran's water crisis gets worse
Ten days ago I wrote that Tehran was approaching a point where warnings, pressure cuts and appeals to save water would no longer be enough.
open.substack.com

"A climate decision that cannot even say fossil fuels is not neutrality, it is complicity. And what is happening here transcends incompetence.”— Juan Carlos Monterrey, Panama

www.reuters.com/sust...

#COP30
World secures compromise deal at COP30 that sidesteps fossil fuels
Participants tried to demonstrate global unity in addressing climate-change impact even after the world's biggest historic emitter, the United States, declined to send an official delegation.
www.reuters.com
Fossil fuels are fine unless you use them for anything.

Stop burning #fossilfuels. Stop turning them into plastics.
Leave them in the ground.

Part 2:

Full press briefing via @fossiltreaty.bsky.social

youtu.be/587YAiouEwM

Special Envoy Juan Carlos from Panama speaks for millions of us as COP30 ends

“A climate text that cannot mention fossil fuels is a climate text that refuses to speak the truth…”

Part 1:

Let's hope this grows into a massive movement as COP's have failed catastrophically.
▶️ WATCH: Ministers from Colombia and the Netherlands announce their joint Conference for the Phaseout of Fossil Fuels 🔥
"Warming is going to exceed 1.5°C. We are heading into “overshoot” within the next few years. The world is going to become more turbulent and more dangerous. So, what comes after failure?" Some thoughts from Johan Rockstrom & me 10 years after Paris Agreement.

theconversation.com/the-world-lo...
The world lost the climate gamble. Now it faces a dangerous new reality
The world bet on collective but voluntary action to keep global warming at a safe level.
theconversation.com

Reposted by Mark Lubell

Can you imagine being the people of Vanuatu?

They are ALREADY experiencing saltwater intrusion into wells, coastal erosion, and have begun the early relocation of at-risk communities.

Yet many nations just don't care about their plight. They just want to keep burning fossil fuels.

Disgraceful.
On the last official day of #COP30 climate talks, countries are divided on whether to commit to phasing out fossil fuels. Vanuatu's minister for climate change says big polluters like Saudi Arabia are obstructing action despite "scientific clarity" on the need to transition to clean energy.

I just can’t get over this.

Fossil fuels and atmospheric pollution are inseparable.

There is no “clean” coal
There is no “clean” oil
There is no “clean” methane gas

Want to stop the pollution? Then stop burning fossil fuels! Period.

Don’t be sidetracked by spin that pretends otherwise!
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said today that the fight against climate change was not against the fuels that cause it — only the pollution they emit.
Von der Leyen says EU is not fighting fossil fuels, only emissions
The comment could undermine European countries’ push at COP30 to move away from coal, oil and gas.
www.politico.eu

Reposted by Du Toit

HEY FRIENDS

For @thepointau.bsky.social, I decided to do the unthinkable and just actually check whether Australia's gas exports are being a magical climate solution and displacing shittonnes of Asian coal

You know what I found, but you will enjoy me saying it:

thepoint.com.au/opinions/251...

Reposted by Du Toit

▶️ WATCH: Ministers from Colombia and the Netherlands announce their joint Conference for the Phaseout of Fossil Fuels 🔥

“If August 2003 meteorological conditions recur at the recent annual global temperature anomaly of 1.5°C, we project 17,800 excess deaths across Europe in one week.”

#ClimateCrisis #Heatwaves
A study in Nature Climate Change quantifies the potential for extreme heat events in Europe to generate mass mortality and projects tens of thousands of excess deaths. go.nature.com/483zJc3 🧪

Reposted by Du Toit

A study in Nature Climate Change quantifies the potential for extreme heat events in Europe to generate mass mortality and projects tens of thousands of excess deaths. go.nature.com/483zJc3 🧪

Reposted by Du Toit

The extent to which intelligent people can twist their brains in knots to avoid the obvious never ceases to amaze

For those willing to confront reality:

The IPCC is perfectly clear on the need to strand the majority of fossil fuel assets in order to meet the goals of the Paris Agreement

100%

“One implication of the increased growth rate of GHG forcing in the last 15 years is that the goal to keep global warming under 2°C is now implausible.”— @drjamesehansen.bsky.social

2°C climate chaos will be unlike anything we have experienced until now.

Adaptation conversations now beyond urgent
Warning! This colorful chart is censored by IPCC - mailchi.mp/caa/warning-...
Also available on Substack: jimehansen.substack.com/p/warning-th...

Reposted by Du Toit

60% of the world’s best solar resources are in Africa. Sadly, 600 million Africans still live without electricity.💡

Today in Johannesburg, President von der Leyen announced mobilising €15.5 billion for clean energy in Africa.

Together, we’ll unlock a sustainable future.

🔗 link.europa.eu/4drdcc

Reposted by Du Toit

Warning! This colorful chart is censored by IPCC - mailchi.mp/caa/warning-...
Also available on Substack: jimehansen.substack.com/p/warning-th...
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said today that the fight against climate change was not against the fuels that cause it — only the pollution they emit.
Von der Leyen says EU is not fighting fossil fuels, only emissions
The comment could undermine European countries’ push at COP30 to move away from coal, oil and gas.
www.politico.eu