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Peter du Toit

@peterdutoit.com

7.3K followers 290 following 380 posts

I speak about climate futures, mitigation and adaptation in the face of the climate crisis. 🇿🇦 I am a huge fan of ephemeral social media, so my posts delete after 60 days. Content that I want around longer will be on my blog. https://peterdutoit.com

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Peter du Toit @peterdutoit.com · Jan 17

We *really* need to listen to the actuaries who have an intimate understanding of risk management as we face the expanding #ClimateCrisis

Do this ASAP:

1. Read Planetary Solvency actuaries.org.uk/document-lib...

2. Then listen to @racheldonald.bsky.social’s excellent interview with Sandy Trust

Planetary Solvency | Sandy Trust

YouTube video by Planet: Critical

youtu.be

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Reposted by Peter du Toit

Zack Labe @zacklabe.com · 7h

The Relative Oceanic Niño Index (RONI) continues to show our gradual shift to more La Niña-like conditions in the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Seasonal forecast models still highlight a La Niña emerging through this coming boreal winter

Graphic updated in near-real time at zacklabe.com/climate-chan...

Time series of the relative oceanic nino index (RONI) from 1950 to 2025. Labels are shown for El Nino or La Nina conditions. There is significant variability over time.

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Peter du Toit @peterdutoit.com · 21h

US drags down global renewable energy growth for forecast period 2025-2030

Not only have they added more GHG pollution to the atmosphere than any other nation on earth, they are now sabotaging renewable energy.

Hope the world leaves them behind!

Source: iea.blob.core.window...

Global renewable growth forecast revised down slightly

Renewable capacity additions forecast revisions for 2025-2030

United States showing a ~45% decline

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Reposted by Peter du Toit

Dave Jones @cleanpowerdave.bsky.social · 1d

NEW: GLOBAL RENEWABLES OVERTAKES COAL

How the heck did that happen so quickly?!...🧵

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Peter du Toit @peterdutoit.com · 1d

Headline whiplash is real: one moment fossil fuels seem doomed, next moment we’re told they’re here to stay. This thread by @thierryaaron.bsky.social dissects how conflicting narratives shape what we believe about climate futures.

Page by Dr. Aaron Thierry | @thierryaaron.bsky.social - skywriter.blue

Has anyone else been dealing with some serious headline whiplash recently? Even for those of us who follow #climate and #energy matters closely, it can be hard to know what the hell is going on! So here's a thread to help climate communicators get a grip on how to deal with this 🧵

skywriter.blue

Reposted by Peter du Toit

Zeke Hausfather @hausfath.bsky.social · 1d

And here is the percentage of the world's land area setting a new all-time monthly maximum temperature record in each decade:

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Peter du Toit @peterdutoit.com · 1d

Deleted and reposted with corrections:

Peter du Toit @peterdutoit.com · 1d

In the 2025 EDGAR Report the US no longer holds poll position for emissions per capita (t CO2e/Cap) in 2024.

1st: Saudi Arabia - 22.8
2nd: Australia - 22.3
3rd: Canada - 19.6
4th: Russia - 18
5th: United States - 17.3

Data: edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu/report_2025

2024 GHG emissions (Mt CO2eq), shares in global emissions13, changes relative to 202314, emissions per capita (t CO2eq/cap), and CAGR15 (1990-2024) (%) for countries and regions accounting for over 1% of global GHG emissions, including international aviation and international shipping.

Peter du Toit @peterdutoit.com · 1d

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Peter du Toit @peterdutoit.com · 1d

100% am reposting

Peter du Toit @peterdutoit.com · 1d

You are absolutely right am deleting and reposting

Peter du Toit @peterdutoit.com · 1d

Created by me based on this: vimeo.com/211553976?fl...

Which is found here: toolkit.climate.gov/overview-steps

Steps to Resilience Overview

This is "Steps to Resilience Overview" by NOAA Research on Vimeo, the home for high quality videos and the people who love them.

vimeo.com

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Peter du Toit @peterdutoit.com · 1d

Building resilience before an extreme event prevents you from being taken below a tipping point from which full recovery is not possible.

Since we are sailing through 1.5ºC of heating it is smart to create a resilience plan for your family, business or community if you have not already done so!

Graphic showing the trajectory of building resilience vs not doing so and the impact of an extreme event

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Peter du Toit @peterdutoit.com · 2d

How influential is X generally in the Canadian context with only ~17% usage?

environics.ca/insights/art...

Social Media Usage Year-Over-Year
2025

Graph Insights Credit: Environics Research

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Reposted by Peter du Toit

Nick Cunningham @nickcunningham.bsky.social · 2d

If you want to follow events in Portland, don’t read NYT.

Follow local reporters who know their community

@alexzee.bsky.social
@alexbaumhardt.bsky.social
@taylorgriggs.bsky.social
@gosiawoz.bsky.social

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Peter du Toit @peterdutoit.com · 2d

10 things we can do to slash oil demand.

We have the know-how.
We just need to act!

#ClimateCrisis #Mitigation

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Peter du Toit @peterdutoit.com · 2d

I agree.

There is no wiggle room here.

If this is the emergency we claim it is, we sure better act that way!

(2022) IPCC WGIII Chap. 5: www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/w...

The indicative potential of demand-side strategies to reduce
emissions of direct and indirect CO2 and non-CO2 GHG emissions
in three end-use sectors (buildings, land transport, and food) is
40–70% globally by 2050 (high confidence). Technical mitigation
potentials compared to the 2050 emissions projection of two scenarios
consistent with policies announced by national governments until 2020
amount to 6.8 GtCO2 for building use and construction, 4.6 GtCO2 for
land transport and 8.0 GtCO2-eq for food demand, and amount to
4.4 GtCO2 for industry. Mitigation strategies can be classified as Avoid-Shift-Improve (ASI) options, that reflect opportunities for socio-cultural, infrastructural, and technological change. The greatest ‘Avoid’ potential comes from reducing long-haul aviation and providing short-distance low-carbon urban infrastructures. The greatest ‘Shift’ potential would come from switching to plant-based diets. The greatest ‘Improve’ potential comes from within the building sector, and in particular increased use of energy-efficient end-use technologies and passive housing. {5.3.1, 5.3.2, Figure 5.7, Figure 5.8, Table 5.1, Chapter 5
Supplementary Material II, Table 5.SM.2}

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Peter du Toit @peterdutoit.com · 3d

“This marks the second time Thunberg has been arrested alongside other flotilla members, after a similar attempt earlier this year ended with the activists’ arrest and deportation”

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Peter du Toit @peterdutoit.com · 3d

At ~1.5°C of heating we have left the safe zone and we are not prepared for the impacts.

Bulgaria flood details here:

www.straitstimes.com/world/europe...

#ClimateCrisis #Flashoods

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Peter du Toit @peterdutoit.com · 4d

Reminder from Aug:

ember-energy.org/latest-insig...

The first evidence of a take-off in solar in Africa | Ember

There has been a major pick-up in solar panel imports into Africa over the last 12 months - a shift that is likely to impact almost every country on the continent.

ember-energy.org

Peter du Toit @peterdutoit.com · 4d

Abandoning diesel generators for solar is not only a smart financial move, it also dramatically reduces air AND noise pollution!

Many African countries are finding out how the sun - which is in abundance - can create energy security.

e360.yale.edu/digest...

#EnergyTransition

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Peter du Toit @peterdutoit.com · 4d

Check if the folk you follow here have blogs where they regularly publish.

Subscribe to those in your RSS reader.

Connect with the people you care about on *their* platforms and not just one owned by some business.

(As an aside you should *really* have full control of your content on your domain)

Peter du Toit @peterdutoit.com · 4d

New from @readfearn.bsky.social

"We’re witnessing a fundamental shift in how wildfires impact society. Climate change sets the stage for these disasters.”—Dr Calum Cunningham

www.theguardian.com/world/2025/o...

Wildfires are getting deadlier and costing more. Experts warn they’re becoming unstoppable

Of 200 fires in the past 44 years, half of the fires that cost US$1bn or more were in the last decade

www.theguardian.com

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Peter du Toit @peterdutoit.com · 4d

Perfect. Thanks!

Peter du Toit @peterdutoit.com · 5d

👋🏻Jens

Question: since the September data is now in, have I got it right that SST have not returned to pre-jump levels?

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Peter du Toit @peterdutoit.com · 5d

As you said a few days ago this is as scary as hell.

Peter du Toit @peterdutoit.com · 5d

Question. What is going on in central Africa? There seem to be an enormous amount of fires in the region.