Peter du Toit
@peterdutoit.com
7.3K followers 290 following 390 posts

I speak about climate futures, mitigation and adaptation in the face of the climate crisis. 🇿🇦 I am a huge fan of ephemeral social media, so my posts delete after 60 days. Content that I want around longer will be on my blog. https://peterdutoit.com .. more

du Toit is an Afrikaans surname of French origin, originally from François du Toit, a Huguenot who moved to South Africa in 1686. It translates as "of the roof". People with the surname include:Alexander du Toit (1878–1948), South African geologist Anri du Toit aka Yolandi Visser, South African musician Braam du Toit, South African composer Christiaan du Toit (1901–1982), South African military commander Daniel du Toit (1871–1959), South African astronomer Dirk du Toit (1943–2009), South African politician Elize du Toit, South African born, British actress Flooi du Toit (1869–1909), South African cricketer Francois Jacobus du Toit (1897–1961), South African journalist and economist Gaffie du Toit, South African rugby union Jacob Daniël du Toit, South African poet and translator Jané du Toit, Namibian rugby union footballer Lydia Lindeque (1916–1997), South African actor Natalie du Toit, South African swimmer Nick du Toit, South African arms dealer Paul du Toit (1965–2014), South African artist Pieter-Steph du Toit, South African rugby union player Rachel Alida du Toit (1916–1997), South African actor Sarel Petrus du Toit (1864–1930), Second Boer War Boer general Simoné du Toit, South African shot putter Stephanus Jacobus du Toit (1847–1911), South African Afrikaans language pioneer Wikus du Toit, South African actor .. more

Environmental science 54%
Geography 13%
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peterdutoit.com
We *really* need to listen to the actuaries who have an intimate understanding of risk management as we face the expanding #ClimateCrisis

Do this ASAP:

1. Read Planetary Solvency actuaries.org.uk/document-lib...

2. Then listen to @racheldonald.bsky.social’s excellent interview with Sandy Trust
Planetary Solvency | Sandy Trust
YouTube video by Planet: Critical
youtu.be

Reposted by Du Toit

nickbreeze.genn.cc
#EU rejects US gov's 1970's vision of prosperity & preWW1- fantasies of imperial colonialism.
'The European Commission.. rejected the US’ demands regarding its environmental regulations which Washington considers too restrictive for its companies.'
www.euronews.com/business/202...
'Not up for discussion': Brussels rejects US pressure on climate rules
In response to US demands to roll back the EU's environmental legislation, the European Commission defended its autonomous power to adopt laws.
www.euronews.com

peterdutoit.com
Areas as risk as early as 2030 - just 4 years away.

#ClimateCrisis #SeaLevelRise
Map showing the Mekong Delta flooded as early as 2030.

Map from Climate Central's Coastal Risk Assessment Tool

Reposted by Du Toit

janrosenow.bsky.social
China ≠ just coal plants and solar exports. The deeper shift: electrifying everything it can. Strategic, because China relies on imported fossil fuels. Coal is still king in the power mix—for now. But the balance is changing year by year.

peterdutoit.com
This gap is now set to widen.

The US is intent on getting completely left behind.
Installed solar energy capacity China vs United States

peterdutoit.com
Public transport in the world’s first electrostate.

Showcasing Guangzhou South Station.

Reposted by Du Toit

peterdutoit.com
These charts are something else.

New battery electric car sales so far in 2025:

China: 31%
US: 8%

Source: robbieandrew.github....
Chinese new passenger car sales by type: Monthly US new light-duty vehicle sales by type: Monthly

peterdutoit.com
Emissions between 2019 and 2020 fell by 4.7% - the biggest decline coming from transportation (land & air)

To stay below 2°C emissions MUST fall by 5.5% EVERY year from now until 2030.

We know how to do this!

🚶or 🚲 to work if you can
🚋 use public transport more
🚗 drive less
✈️ fly less

peterdutoit.com
NEW from C3S/ECMWF - September instrument analysis (ERA5 dataset)

+1.47°C above 1850-1900 average
+1.51°C current 12-month running mean

Sea Surface Temperatures 3rd highest on record

Analysis here: climate.copernicus.e...
Graphic showing 12-month runing mean as +1.51°C  in the ERA5 dataset Graphic showing Daily sea surface temperature for 60°S-60°N. 2025 shown as 3rd highest on record
adriftalchemist.bsky.social
kotzebue, alaska declared a mandatory evacuation order

peterdutoit.com
Sunny day flooding is happening regularly where we are. The red areas on the map are areas projected to be below the annual flood line in 2030.

High tides and storm surges flood the streets easily.

NASA #SeaLevelRise projection by 2030 for this area 0.11m.

Stranded assets on the horizon!
Graphic showing flood risks for Knysna South Africa with a photo of tidal street flooding on October 7th

Reposted by Du Toit

bmcnoldy.bsky.social
A trio of cyclonic eddies in the Gulf of Mexico are creating record-high Ocean Heat Content values for the date. Absolutely something of importance during this part of hurricane season.
@miamirosenstiel.bsky.social

Reposted by Du Toit

Reposted by Du Toit

climatologist49.bsky.social
September climate warming stripes. It's as if something has changed. 🤔

Reposted by Du Toit

copernicusecmwf.bsky.social
🌍 New app features! The #C3S Climate Pulse app just got even better, with smoother navigation, fullscreen views, advanced chart editing, customisable downloads and new map projections. Watch our How To video and explore the app 👉 pulse.climate.copernicus.eu

#CopernicusClimate

Reposted by Du Toit

henryjfoy.ft.com
Washington has asked Brussels to scrap requirements for non-EU companies to provide “climate transition plans” and to change supply chain legislation to exclude US companies “with high-quality corporate due diligence”, according to a document seen by @financialtimes.com

on.ft.com/46Ijpye
US demands EU dismantle green regulations in threat to trade deal
[FREE TO READ] Washington wants American companies to be exempted from rules such as having to draw up climate transition plans
on.ft.com

Reposted by Du Toit

zacklabe.com
The Relative Oceanic Niño Index (RONI) continues to show our gradual shift to more La Niña-like conditions in the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Seasonal forecast models still highlight a La Niña emerging through this coming boreal winter

Graphic updated in near-real time at zacklabe.com/climate-chan...
Time series of the relative oceanic nino index (RONI) from 1950 to 2025. Labels are shown for El Nino or La Nina conditions. There is significant variability over time.

peterdutoit.com
US drags down global renewable energy growth for forecast period 2025-2030

Not only have they added more GHG pollution to the atmosphere than any other nation on earth, they are now sabotaging renewable energy.

Hope the world leaves them behind!

Source: iea.blob.core.window...
Global renewable growth forecast revised down slightly

Renewable capacity additions forecast revisions for 2025-2030

United States showing a ~45% decline
cleanpowerdave.bsky.social
NEW: GLOBAL RENEWABLES OVERTAKES COAL

How the heck did that happen so quickly?!...🧵

hausfath.bsky.social
And here is the percentage of the world's land area setting a new all-time monthly maximum temperature record in each decade:

peterdutoit.com
Deleted and reposted with corrections:
peterdutoit.com
In the 2025 EDGAR Report the US no longer holds poll position for emissions per capita (t CO2e/Cap) in 2024.

1st: Saudi Arabia - 22.8
2nd: Australia - 22.3
3rd: Canada - 19.6
4th: Russia - 18
5th: United States - 17.3

Data: edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu/report_2025
2024 GHG emissions (Mt CO2eq), shares in global emissions13, changes relative to 202314, emissions per capita (t CO2eq/cap), and CAGR15 (1990-2024) (%) for countries and regions accounting for over 1% of global GHG emissions, including international aviation and international shipping.

peterdutoit.com
In the 2025 EDGAR Report the US no longer holds poll position for emissions per capita (t CO2e/Cap) in 2024.

1st: Saudi Arabia - 22.8
2nd: Australia - 22.3
3rd: Canada - 19.6
4th: Russia - 18
5th: United States - 17.3

Data: edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu/report_2025
2024 GHG emissions (Mt CO2eq), shares in global emissions13, changes relative to 202314, emissions per capita (t CO2eq/cap), and CAGR15 (1990-2024) (%) for countries and regions accounting for over 1% of global GHG emissions, including international aviation and international shipping.

peterdutoit.com
You are absolutely right am deleting and reposting

peterdutoit.com
Building resilience before an extreme event prevents you from being taken below a tipping point from which full recovery is not possible.

Since we are sailing through 1.5ºC of heating it is smart to create a resilience plan for your family, business or community if you have not already done so!
Graphic showing the trajectory of building resilience vs not doing so and the impact of an extreme event