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Reposted by Rising FRIGHTy Kuuga

Ashwin Rodrigues @ashwinrodrigues.com · 28m

cop, lying: Me and my friends, who are troops, will delete Candy Crush if Zohrani 'Hussein' Mamdani is mayor of New York City. We are the most active users on the platform and this could affect the stock market

Bari Weiss: Chilling. And not the cool weed kind of chilling. This week on 60 Minutes

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Rising FRIGHTy Kuuga @kuuga.bsky.social · 35m

When you choose your own data points because including those points, and excluding others, bolsters the conclusion you already have emotional investment in, that is extremely bad science.

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Rising FRIGHTy Kuuga @kuuga.bsky.social · 36m

Compile that evidence. And don't just look for the evidence that supports your theory - factor in the evidence that doesn't. And don't stop collecting that evidence when it becomes convenient - keep looking into the past. There is no moral righteousness that absolves you of rigor.

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Rising FRIGHTy Kuuga @kuuga.bsky.social · 37m

I agree that it's very difficult to be confident about these things. I think people staking their egos and such like on confident statements about the role of inflation are making mistakes - even if they happen to be right! - because *guessing* right is still being wrong.

Rising FRIGHTy Kuuga @kuuga.bsky.social · 58m

It doesn't matter who is saying "you need to back up your assertions with evidence." It doesn't matter why they're saying it. It's just true.

There's nothing ad-hominem-adjacent (???) about saying "evidence is important, even when you think your opponent has none".

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Rising FRIGHTy Kuuga @kuuga.bsky.social · 1h

You're a teacher, according to your bio. You know what it's like when multiple students break the same rules in a classroom. Bobby always says, "But Tommy was doing it too!" as an excuse.

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Rising FRIGHTy Kuuga @kuuga.bsky.social · 1h

Please decouple your disdain for Stancil/his theories from the need to be rigorous in your own theorizing and thinking.

Just because someone else is, in your estimation, lacking in rigor or otherwise misbehaving doesn't mean you can abdicate responsibility for your own rigor and thinking.

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Rising FRIGHTy Kuuga @kuuga.bsky.social · 1h

Because "all/most elections in 2024 went this way" may be true, but if you want to pick out a causative factor, you need to separate out variables, and that necessitates comparing to other elections through history and doing tons of material and cultural analysis, which is very difficult

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Rising FRIGHTy Kuuga @kuuga.bsky.social · 1h

Now if you cast a dragnet back through history + across countries and you find a large number of other elections where first-time-inflation-sufferers voted against incumbents then we can talk turkey. But If your theory is only using 2024 as a data point then it's not a robust theory.

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Rising FRIGHTy Kuuga @kuuga.bsky.social · 1h

When you narrow your statistical base to a small number of "eligible" data points you can make the stats say anything you want. When you say "a generation that has never experienced significant inflation" you have narrowed the data points to just one or two elections.

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Rising FRIGHTy Kuuga @kuuga.bsky.social · 1h

I'm not demanding actual answers to these questions. But asking them internally is how we keep our thinking rigorous and stay away from dead ends and circular thinking.

Rising FRIGHTy Kuuga @kuuga.bsky.social · 1h

This is more p-hacking. What does this predict? Do you have more than one data point that aligns with this model? What action do you propose we take based on your model being true? Why is it more convincing to you than alternatives?

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Rising FRIGHTy Kuuga @kuuga.bsky.social · 2h

I think more precisely, bigotry/prejudice make you more susceptible to lies because the prejudicial preconceptions offer the lies a shortcut around critical thinking and truth-assessment. But people with poor skills at assessing truth-values can be hoodwinked regardless of race or prejudicial level.

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Rising FRIGHTy Kuuga @kuuga.bsky.social · 2h

Do black voters see through specific lies or are they so (correctly) negatively polarized against the barely-concealed/overt racism (anti blackness in particular) of the GOP that the lies don't move the needle as hard?

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Reposted by Rising FRIGHTy Kuuga

headfallsoff @headfallsoff.com · 14h

dewey it’s a psp. you don’t want none of that shit.

i hear it has terrible battery life

it lasts ALL DAY

there’s probably no games anyway

with ps1 games there are over five thousand

there’s no way i can watch pirated movies on it

you can upload any media files that you want

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Rising FRIGHTy Kuuga @kuuga.bsky.social · 15h

Is he, you know...

a "friend of Harry Lime"?

Rising FRIGHTy Kuuga @kuuga.bsky.social · 16h

I just need them to get Bruticus and Armada Jetfire out next year and I think I can gracefully bow out of Generations. Maybe pick up the Studio Series 07 Prime remake that's rumored.

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Rising FRIGHTy Kuuga @kuuga.bsky.social · 16h

Goonies 2 works a bit like this too right?

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Rising FRIGHTy Kuuga @kuuga.bsky.social · 16h

That's a rounding error.

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Rising FRIGHTy Kuuga @kuuga.bsky.social · 16h

Bloodstained would be better if it was good.

The 2D ones are great tho

Rising FRIGHTy Kuuga @kuuga.bsky.social · 16h

You understand the vision. I know some Shantaes have a ring world and Bloodstained does some very very light Klonoa stuff outside the main castle but I think this is an underexplored idea even if it turns out to be annoying and unfun.

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Rising FRIGHTy Kuuga @kuuga.bsky.social · 16h

This reminds me:

Metroidvania with 2d movement along splines in a fully 3D interconnected environment. And/or doors in the background link consistently to z-axis traversal that makes sense in contiguous 3D space.

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Rising FRIGHTy Kuuga @kuuga.bsky.social · 16h

Never mention the bad transformers prices without mentioning that it's because our alzheimers-riddled president and his Nazi cabinet are robbing the American people blind, destroying whole industries, and pocketing the profits.

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Rising FRIGHTy Kuuga @kuuga.bsky.social · 16h

man. a few months ago we were all making fun of TFW2005 for not permitting tariff chat and now everyone is complaining about post-tariff Transformers prices without ever mentioning that Trump's illegal tariffs are the sole reason prices are this high. Skybound Prime is $80 because of illegal tariffs

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Rising FRIGHTy Kuuga @kuuga.bsky.social · 16h

Kind of a Demons Souls Yellow King vibe