mikeinsdevon.bsky.social
@mikeinsdevon.bsky.social
160 followers 160 following 1.5K posts
Still trying to make sense of everything and avoid getting too confused! Slightly unhinged, wide range of interests. RIP Boo Boo 2009-2024
Posts Media Videos Starter Packs
Reposted
So did the broadcast media talk up Reform’s 2nd place 36% in the Welsh Senedd by-elex far too much? Reports I heard focused more on Reform’s so-called surge than Plaid’s stunning victory. What’s everyone feel? Any negativity seems to have been spun as ‘Reform needs to do more to get its vote out.’
I'd say so, though think it's also members of affiliated unions not just party members. Many of whom may not have voted Labour in years.
Reposted
Donald Trump just did something truly awful and is hoping you won't notice.

He fired all of the special education staff at the Department of Education.

What kind of person abandons kids with special needs?
What kind of person abandons kids with special needs?
YouTube video by Senator Elizabeth Warren
youtube.com
Guessing that explains the low turnout
They'll find a way to spin it as "Reform were the real winners surging to second/third place from a near standing start"
Lib Dems on about 10% and Alba about 6% assuming the one mentioned on Wikipedia (yes, I know) is the same.
Reposted
What were the headlines prior to Plaid's Caerphilly win? "Reform on course for historic victory!!" What are they now that Reform was not only defeated, but crushed? "Labour suffers historic loss!!" Which may be true, but where's Reform? Tell me again the UK media isn't pushing the Far Right agenda.
Bunch of Holyrood candidates in Glasgow and West gone as well.
Reposted
Nigel Farage's supporter who wants Ethnic Nationalism and who quotes Adolf Hitler.

We need to make it embarrassing to hold these views again, the people of the UK are NOT White Supremacists
Not if they don't remove McSweeney from their inner circle
In a ward the party didn't contest in 2023 or 2019. Which suggests the Green vote more anti-Tory than anything else.

(Don't know the area at all so not sure whether Lib Dems better fit for it than Greens, whether it's local circumstances or something else)
Members don't necessarily translate into electoral success.

But could just as easily be explained by wards that've come up being maybe more favourable to Lib Dems than Greens? Not been many by-elections in inner-city or studenty wards.
Which doesn't bode well for next year - most seats last up in 2022 so Labour defending from a high point.
Hopefully leading to more jobs in Kernow and ultimately reduced reliance on mass tourism
"The danger is we will have a hung parliament and unstable government" - depends on the makeup of said hung parliament surely? It might actually manage to be more radical and get more done than the current government.
Reposted
What's Caerphilly and Clacton got in common?

Neither's likely to see Nigel Farage today.
Reposted
Nigel Farage, four weeks ago: "We intend to win this by-election. We will throw everything at it."

Tap-dance all you like now.
Ditto Lib Dems - focus on say 90-100 seats (upper end as some former seats now held by Labour might be ripe for recovery) and target wards in the likes of London boroughs they've nothing.

(if that makes any sense)
Which is why I think for now at least the party should ignore ramping from some quarters + focus on say 10 parliamentary constituencies and individual target wards to break through elsewhere. A strategy borrowed from Lib Dems that seems to have worked recently.
Birmingham seems a bit weird like say Manchester or Plymouth - Green breakthroughs so far on the edges of the city + not in more studenty centre as might be expected. Could that be something to look out for next year, maybe even underperformance if that doesn't at least partly change?
Colchester ward elected three Lib Dems in 2016 + slowly turned red since.
Which also has a Lib Dem councillor making them the obvious tactical progressive choice + presumably means they've got better ground game?
Especially inner London - all-out elections and arguably underperformed in 2022.