Tara Sinclair
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Tara Sinclair
@tarasinc.bsky.social
460 followers 160 following 11 posts

Views expressed here are mine. Current department chair and economics prof. Former US Treasury and former Indeedian.

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Economics 91%
Political science 3%
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Reposted by Tara M. Sinclair

hamiltonproject.org
The Hamilton Project @hamiltonproject.org · Dec 1
This Thursday, join us for a virtual event on the opportunities and challenges of regulating AI. Hear from @tarasinc.bsky.social, Catherine Tucker, Nicol Turner Lee, and Sanjay Patnaik:
Opportunities and challenges in AI regulation - The Hamilton Project
On December 4, The Hamilton Project will host a virtual event focusing on the opportunities and risks associated with the growing use of algorithms.
www.hamiltonproject.org

Reposted by Tara M. Sinclair

hamiltonproject.org
The Hamilton Project @hamiltonproject.org · Nov 24
How do we regulate AI? Join us on 12/4 at 10:00 a.m. ET for a virtual event with @tarasinc.bsky.social, Catherine Tucker, Nicol Turner Lee, and Sanjay Patnaik:
Opportunities and challenges in AI regulation - The Hamilton Project
On December 4, The Hamilton Project will host a virtual event focusing on the opportunities and risks associated with the growing use of algorithms.
www.hamiltonproject.org

Reposted by Tara M. Sinclair

jurimarcucci.bsky.social
Juri Marcucci @jurimarcucci.bsky.social · Nov 20
🚨 Nov 21!

Join the next #AMLEDS webinar with @tarasinc.bsky.social presenting her “FOMC In Silico” paper that combines LLM-driven agents & Bayesian voting to simulate FOMC decisions, moderated by Shubhranshu Shekhar(Brandeis)

🕚 11AM ET-5PM CET
📄 ssrn.com/abstract=542...

#AI #LLMs #EconSky

Reposted by Tara M. Sinclair

hamiltonproject.org
The Hamilton Project @hamiltonproject.org · Nov 18
From search engines to resume screening, algorithmic AI has become increasingly common in our everyday lives. On 12/4, hear from @tarasinc.bsky.social, Catherine Tucker, Nicol Turner Lee, and Sanjay Patnaik on the opportunities and risks associated with the growing use of algorithms:
Opportunities and challenges in AI regulation - The Hamilton Project
On December 4, The Hamilton Project will host a virtual event focusing on the opportunities and risks associated with the growing use of algorithms.
www.hamiltonproject.org

Reposted by Tara M. Sinclair

davidbeckworth.bsky.social
David Beckworth @davidbeckworth.bsky.social · Nov 12
Meet Sim Powell and his LLM Fed colleagues that argue, cajole, and dissent like the real FOMC. Amazing discussion with @tarasinc.bsky.social on her work with Sophia Kazinnik where they replicate and experiment with the FOMC via LLMs of each Fed official! Full show: youtu.be/rpLAka4MKIc (1/2)
Tara Sinclair on a Synthetic AI FOMC
YouTube video by David Beckworth
youtu.be

Tara Sinclair @tarasinc.bsky.social · Sep 15
Register now to join us at FFC/2025: The 26th Federal Forecasters Conference on October 9th! cer.columbian.gwu.edu/ffc2025-26th...
FFC/2025: The 26th Federal Forecasters Conference | Center for Economic Research | Columbian College of Arts & Sciences | The George Washington University
Join the Federal Forecasters Consortium for FFC/2025: The 26th Federal Forecasters Conference.
cer.columbian.gwu.edu

Tara Sinclair @tarasinc.bsky.social · Jan 14
Speakers at #NABE2025 will address a shifting trade landscape, geopolitical instabilities, the complexities of widespread AI adoption, as well as persistent inflation and escalating fiscal imbalances. Join us and explore how governments and businesses can adapt to these new and enduring pressures.
Tara Sinclair @tarasinc.bsky.social · Jan 14
#NABE2025 will explore the challenges and opportunities confronting leaders as they navigate an evolving global economy.
Tara Sinclair @tarasinc.bsky.social · Jan 14
Join us for the 2025 NABE Economic Policy Conference, “Global Reset? New Dynamics Facing Business and Policy Leaders,” March 2-4 in Washington, DC! Register now! www.NABE.com/PC2025
Policy Conference 2025 Main Page - Conference Home
www.NABE.com

Tara Sinclair @tarasinc.bsky.social · Jan 10

Overall the report today looked like another set of data consistent with a soft landing.
Employment Situation Summary - 2024 M13 Results
www.bls.gov

Tara Sinclair @tarasinc.bsky.social · Jan 10
More resources to the statistical agencies could help them collect more data more quickly and provide better information for data-driven decisions. For other examples, see the slides my (very nerdy) talk from last October: "Real Time Economics: Tales from the Trenches".
www2.gwu.edu

Tara Sinclair @tarasinc.bsky.social · Jan 10
Statistical agencies face a timeliness versus accuracy tradeoff and provide the best estimates they can early on and as more information comes in they provide updates and revisions. They're doing incredible work on shoestring budgets.
Tara Sinclair @tarasinc.bsky.social · Jan 10
Seasonal factor revisions strike again! Remember that increase in the U.S. unemployment rate in July to 4.3%? It ends up peak unemployment so far this cycle, based on updated seasonal adjustments, was just 4.2%. This is a challenge for policymakers watching every data release.
Employment Situation Summary - 2024 M13 Results
www.bls.gov

Reposted by Tara M. Sinclair

jchaltiwangerum.bsky.social
John Haltiwanger @jchaltiwangerum.bsky.social · Dec 11
New Business Applications increased in November 2024 remaining at high levels relative to 2019. Applications in November 2024 for likely employers 46% higher than average month in 2019.
Tara Sinclair @tarasinc.bsky.social · Oct 28
I got my Macro Musings podcast nominal GDP targeting mug. Check out the episode here: macromusings.libsyn.com/tara-sinclai...
Macro Musings with David Beckworth: Tara Sinclair on Real-time Economic Analysis and the Fed’s Upcoming Framework Review
Tara Sinclair is a professor of economics and international affairs at George Washington University, where she also directs the George Washington Center for Economic Research. From 2022 to 2024, Tara ...
macromusings.libsyn.com

Tara Sinclair @tarasinc.bsky.social · Sep 25
On 9/27 at 3pm ET, join us at #ClimateConversations: The Macroeconomy with Eric Kemp-Benedict, Gregor Semieniuk and me on how to better incorporate climate into #Economic models: bit.ly/cc-macroecon...
Climate Conversations: The Macroeconomy
bit.ly

Tara Sinclair @tarasinc.bsky.social · Sep 23
no one:

BLS:
Historic coffee prices percolated after a bitter global supply crisis : Beyond the Numbers: U.S. Bu...
Americans drink more coffee each day than any other beverage—including tap water. Since January 2021, U.S. coffee importers have faced an escalating cost for the hot commodity. Import prices increas...
www.bls.gov