Adi Ćerimagić
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adicerimagic.bsky.social
Adi Ćerimagić
@adicerimagic.bsky.social
Senior analyst at ESI.

Western Balkans, EU, human rights, democracy & rule of law. Bridging the Western Balkans-EU gap.
According to preliminary results published by the Central Electoral Commission, based on 92 percent of polling stations, #SNSD candidate Siniša #Karan is ahead with approximately 200,000 votes, around 12,000 more than #SDS candidate Branko #Blanuša.
November 23, 2025 at 10:14 PM
Voting in the early presidential elections in Republika Srpska in 🇧🇦 has finished.

Turnout reached 35.8 percent, or 443,472 voters.
This is a sharp fall from 2022, down 12.2 percent, or a minus of 233,000 voters.
November 23, 2025 at 8:45 PM
Today voters in 🇧🇦’s Republika Srpska region choose their next president.

As I told the #FAZ:

“The greatest significance of this election lies in the fact that Milorad #Dodik has stepped down. In doing so, he has accepted the judgment of a judiciary that he had previously declared illegal.”
November 23, 2025 at 8:07 AM
On coming Tuesday at @dgapev in Berlin, ambassador Wolfgang #Ischinger, Jim #OBrien, Sabina #StadlerRepnik, Christian #Hellbach and #myself will discuss three decades of peace in 🇧🇦, the country’s future, and lessons for peace in 🇺🇦.

Grateful to Milan #Nič and his team for having us.
November 22, 2025 at 10:55 AM
In less than a year, 🇪🇺 commissioner Marta #Kos became the face of renewed momentum for enlargement.
November 22, 2025 at 7:37 AM
Viele sehen das Amt des Hohen Repräsentanten (#OHR) als unverzichtbar, um Zerfall und neuen Krieg zu verhindern.

Ich sehe das anders: Ein Jahrzehnt lang hat der Hohe Repräsentant tatenlos zugesehen, dennoch ist 🇧🇦 weder zerfallen noch in den Krieg zurückgekehrt.
November 21, 2025 at 9:07 PM
Those hoping for major shifts during Johann #Wadephul’s Western #Balkans tour will have been disappointed.

Yet one message stood out: the 🇩🇪 government sees no obstacle to welcoming new members into the 🇪🇺 by 2029.
November 21, 2025 at 8:45 PM
Marking thirty years since the end of the war in 🇧🇦, I write in the 🇪🇸 daily newspaper @elmundo.es.web.brid.gy about my family’s return as refugees: the checkpoints, the silence, the fear in the car. A fragile country, suspended between a ceasefire and the search for closure.
November 21, 2025 at 7:14 AM
For the 🇪🇺 to welcome new members, in 🇩🇪 both the #Bundestag and #Bundesrat must agree. If a vote took place today, a majority would be far from certain. This mirrors public sentiment: 🇩🇪 is among 4 members where, according to the September 2025 #Eurobarometer, there is no majority for enlargement.
November 15, 2025 at 5:45 PM
Derzeit gibt es in 🇧🇦 sowie in weiten Teilen des westlichen #Balkans (🇦🇱 und 🇲🇪 ausgenommen), keinen europäischen Akteur, den die politischen Eliten wirklich ernst nehmen. Dennoch wird die neue 🇩🇪 Bundesregierung aufmerksam beobachtet.

@ostausschuss.bsky.social
November 15, 2025 at 3:57 PM
2025 will be remembered as a year when all international instruments present in 🇧🇦 – from the EU-led military mission (#EUFOR) to the Office of the High Representative (#OHR) – were under internal pressure as well as pressure from the wider geopolitical situation.
November 8, 2025 at 10:13 AM
Veliko je cinizma ne le med politik, ampak tudi med državljani in podjetji v regiji.
November 8, 2025 at 9:38 AM
We should not fear the debate among the 27 🇪🇺 member states about the conditions under which they would be ready to unanimously support adding new members to the Union.
November 8, 2025 at 9:09 AM
“The first 🇪🇺–🇧🇦 intergovernmental conference could be organised before the end of the year if all conditions are met,” says 🇪🇺 ambassador Luigi #Soreca.
November 5, 2025 at 3:59 PM
“I hope I will be able to host him [🇩🇪 chancellor Friedrich #Merz] in Belgrade, in January or February next year,” said 🇷🇸 president Aleksandar Vučić yesterday in Brussels. He also announced 🇩🇪 FM #Wadephul’s visit to Belgrade “in a few days,” and referred to the meeting with Merz as “good talks.”
November 5, 2025 at 11:10 AM
The revealing section of #enlargement package concerns the #Commission’s assessment of the target dates set by some candidates to conclude accession talks.

Reforms in 🇲🇪 and 🇦🇱 are on track, while 🇺🇦 and 🇲🇩 need to accelerate the pace. 👇🏼
November 4, 2025 at 12:14 PM
Today, Marta #Kos presents her first #enlargement reports — and for the first time in almost a decade, perhaps since 2017, there is genuine anticipation about their content.
November 4, 2025 at 8:31 AM
Today 🇸🇪 announced it will adjust its support to 🇷🇸, meaning parts of the aid to state authorities will be discontinued.

The reason? “Developments in Serbia have gone in the wrong direction – from growing corruption to failure to uphold the rule of law...
November 3, 2025 at 4:41 PM
Someone asked: what do we remember from the latest #BerlinProcess summit in #London?

Silence. Then someone said: “The photos with #King #Charles?”

Indeed, when it comes to deliverables, this year’s summit will not be remembered for delivering.
November 3, 2025 at 3:46 PM
This morning in #Sarajevo, 🇪🇺 high representative Kaja #Kallas reaffirmed her April 2025 pledge: the 🇪🇺 — including its military forces — stands ready to defend the unity, constitutional order, peace, and territorial integrity of 🇧🇦.
November 3, 2025 at 1:11 PM
Latest Eurobarometer shows that 🇽🇰’s 🇪🇺 membership enjoys majority support in three non-recognisers – 🇪🇸, 🇷🇴 and 🇸🇰. In the remaining two – 🇬🇷 and 🇨🇾 – support stands at 44 and 40 percent.
November 3, 2025 at 7:30 AM
Statement by the 🇪🇺 delegation in 🇷🇸 – endorsed by 26 member states. Absent? 🇭🇺 Naturally.

Statement? “On this sad anniversary, we appeal to everyone to mourn the victims in a dignified and peaceful manner.”

europa.rs/statement-on...
Statement on the commemoration of the 1st November Novi Sad tragedy - EU u Srbiji
On this sad anniversary, we appeal to everyone to mourn the victims in a dignified and peaceful manner.
europa.rs
October 31, 2025 at 10:36 PM
Today’s #UN #SecurityCouncil session on 🇧🇦 extended the mandate of the 🇪🇺-led military mission (#EUFOR #Althea) for another year — and revealed subtle shifts in Western positions on the Office of the High Representative (#OHR) and its “Bonn powers”:
October 31, 2025 at 3:39 PM
Odluku o ukidanju 🇺🇸 sankcija Milorad Dodik predstavlja kao veliku pobjedu – ne samo svoju, već i pobjedu skupe lobističke kampanje koju su u njegovo ime vodili brojni saveznici bivšeg američkog predsjednika Donalda Trumpa.

O istoj piše The New York Times 👇

www.index.hr/vijesti/clan...
October 31, 2025 at 10:36 AM
🇩🇰🇦🇱🇪🇺

“🇦🇱 is an important NATO partner aiming for EU membership in 2030 -a goal 🇩🇰 fully supports.”
October 30, 2025 at 3:50 PM