Fugro: A Brutal Energy Reset Wipes Out Growth But I Stay Bullish
Summary
Fugro faces a significant reset in growth expectations, withdrawing 2025 guidance and projecting a substantial sales decline with limited near-term revival.
Despite a 25% cut to EBITDA estimates and a lower 2025 price target of $12.13, I maintain a buy rating with 10% upside to a 2026 target of $14.67.
Cost reductions, including 350 job cuts and vessel standbys, should stabilize margins and free cash flow, keeping net-debt leverage manageable.
FUGRF’s upside remains, but trading liquidity is best on Euronext Amsterdam (FUR) due to minimal OTC volume.
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Shares of Fugro (FUGRF), a Dutch geo-data acquisition and analysis specialist for the infrastructure, energy, and natural resources market, saw their share prices increase 8.6% since I initiated coverage with a buy
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This article was written by
Dhierin-Perkash Bechai is an aerospace, defense and airline analyst. Dhierin runs the investing group The Aerospace Forum, whose goal is to discover investment opportunities in the aerospace, defense and airline industry. With a background in aerospace engineering, he provides analysis of a complex industry with significant growth prospects, and offers context to developments as they occur, describing how they might affect investment theses. His investing ideas are driven by data informed analysis. The investing group also provides direct access to data analytics monitors. Learn more.
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