AeroVironment Stock Falls As The Drone Rally Fades, But I Still See Big Upside
Summary
AeroVironment remains a buy, with a $309.90 price target based on 2028 earnings despite recent post-earnings volatility.
BlueHalo acquisition drove revenue growth but compressed margins, shifting AVAV's profile toward lower-margin services and altering near-term profitability.
Revenue visibility stands at 93% for FY2026, but the new bookings pipeline has shrunk, warranting close monitoring of order flow.
AVAV is fairly valued on 2027 earnings; upside depends on executing growth and margin recovery, particularly as drone and counterdrone demand accelerates.
AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) stock tumbled 12.9% following its Q2 earnings release. Since my last report, the stock is now up 5.7% which is slightly better than the S&P 500’s 5.1% gain. However, we note that the stock price did surge as much
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Dhierin-Perkash Bechai is an aerospace, defense and airline analyst. Dhierin runs the investing group The Aerospace Forum, whose goal is to discover investment opportunities in the aerospace, defense and airline industry. With a background in aerospace engineering, he provides analysis of a complex industry with significant growth prospects, and offers context to developments as they occur, describing how they might affect investment theses. His investing ideas are driven by data informed analysis. The investing group also provides direct access to data analytics monitors. Learn more.
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