Jordan Nafa
@ajordannafa.com
Bayesian Statistician and Data Scientist in the Gaming/Entertainment Industry | Bayesian Statistics, Causal Inference, R, Python, Stan, Decision Theory, Guitar | Former Political Scientist
Pinned
Jordan Nafa
@ajordannafa.com
· Aug 20
Dariia Mykhailyshyna - Workshops for Ukraine
Feedback on the past workshops (if you want to learn how to make wordclouds, check out Text Data Analysis workshop below)
sites.google.com
Are you interested in Bayesian Optimization? Do you think multi-arm bandits are cool? Do you like donating to good causes? We'll, I'm super excited to say I'll be hosting a charity workshop on Bayesian Optimization with Multi-Arm Bandits on October 23rd.
sites.google.com/view/dariia-...
sites.google.com/view/dariia-...
After some minor hiccups, music room guitar hanging complete.
November 26, 2025 at 3:39 AM
After some minor hiccups, music room guitar hanging complete.
Upper guitar rack hung 🙌. Now to do the lower one
November 26, 2025 at 1:03 AM
Upper guitar rack hung 🙌. Now to do the lower one
Pro-tip: Always wear safety glasses when standing on top of a ladder trying to drill a hole in sheet metal because you never know when the drill bit your using will explode and fly in a random direction
November 25, 2025 at 10:37 PM
Pro-tip: Always wear safety glasses when standing on top of a ladder trying to drill a hole in sheet metal because you never know when the drill bit your using will explode and fly in a random direction
Initial impression: This is a really fucking nice impact driver
November 25, 2025 at 10:35 PM
Initial impression: This is a really fucking nice impact driver
🔥 take: Safety regulations are generally written in blood and fire, but also portions of the National Electrical Code (NEC) are a capitalist racket that makes people pay more than they need to for no real benefit
November 25, 2025 at 12:51 PM
🔥 take: Safety regulations are generally written in blood and fire, but also portions of the National Electrical Code (NEC) are a capitalist racket that makes people pay more than they need to for no real benefit
Reposted by Jordan Nafa
this is one of my favourite observations about sample size calculations. (afaik first articulated by Miettinen in 1985)
November 25, 2025 at 10:56 AM
this is one of my favourite observations about sample size calculations. (afaik first articulated by Miettinen in 1985)
Reposted by Jordan Nafa
We must ban sports betting for national security reasons
The boom in sports gambling and prediction markets is creating “emerging credit risks,” per Bank of America sherwood.news/markets/the-...
November 24, 2025 at 6:44 PM
We must ban sports betting for national security reasons
Forst time watching something on it, and now I'm sure I nailed the height of the TV in the Master bedroom perfectly. All I have left to do is mount the soundbar's rear speakers on each side of the bed.
November 25, 2025 at 4:38 AM
Forst time watching something on it, and now I'm sure I nailed the height of the TV in the Master bedroom perfectly. All I have left to do is mount the soundbar's rear speakers on each side of the bed.
It turned out super clean looking. I just need to put the TV stand back under it this morning and mount the power strip to the wall.
November 25, 2025 at 4:24 AM
It turned out super clean looking. I just need to put the TV stand back under it this morning and mount the power strip to the wall.
I have chosen my team in the power tool wars I guess
November 25, 2025 at 3:05 AM
I have chosen my team in the power tool wars I guess
This thing is amazing. The wall in my music room has insanely thick insulation, so running cords through the wall is a bitch, but I was able to pull the fish tape through the wall in about 60 seconds with this magnet. 10/10 would recommend (it's also a superb stud finder)
November 25, 2025 at 2:38 AM
This thing is amazing. The wall in my music room has insanely thick insulation, so running cords through the wall is a bitch, but I was able to pull the fish tape through the wall in about 60 seconds with this magnet. 10/10 would recommend (it's also a superb stud finder)
Pretty sure I've peaked. I will never cut a cleaner hole than this
November 25, 2025 at 12:35 AM
Pretty sure I've peaked. I will never cut a cleaner hole than this
Lol, the line at Costco at 1PM on a Monday stretches to the back of the store. FML.
November 24, 2025 at 7:16 PM
Lol, the line at Costco at 1PM on a Monday stretches to the back of the store. FML.
Clean AF cable wall run successful 🎊
November 24, 2025 at 12:46 AM
Clean AF cable wall run successful 🎊
🧵 I wanted to study computer science, but the CS department at the university I did my undergrad at was part of the Department of Mathematics so they basically forced you into double majoring in mathematics and I had spent most of my life up until that point terrified of math 1/n
November 23, 2025 at 2:55 PM
🧵 I wanted to study computer science, but the CS department at the university I did my undergrad at was part of the Department of Mathematics so they basically forced you into double majoring in mathematics and I had spent most of my life up until that point terrified of math 1/n
I wake up at 6:30 AM now and am in bed by 10:00 PM. Is this was getting old is like? 😢
November 23, 2025 at 1:48 PM
I wake up at 6:30 AM now and am in bed by 10:00 PM. Is this was getting old is like? 😢
Homeownership is having to run to Home Depot at 8AM on a Sunday morning so you can finish the project you started on Saturday but then found out you didn't have all the parts you needed to actually complete
November 23, 2025 at 1:46 PM
Homeownership is having to run to Home Depot at 8AM on a Sunday morning so you can finish the project you started on Saturday but then found out you didn't have all the parts you needed to actually complete
Once again,
▪︎ Women's rights are human rights
▪︎ Transgender rights are human rights
▪︎ The rights of racial and ethnic minorities are human rights
People who don't agree with the above are an enemy that must be defeated for the sake of human progress
▪︎ Women's rights are human rights
▪︎ Transgender rights are human rights
▪︎ The rights of racial and ethnic minorities are human rights
People who don't agree with the above are an enemy that must be defeated for the sake of human progress
November 23, 2025 at 1:04 PM
Once again,
▪︎ Women's rights are human rights
▪︎ Transgender rights are human rights
▪︎ The rights of racial and ethnic minorities are human rights
People who don't agree with the above are an enemy that must be defeated for the sake of human progress
▪︎ Women's rights are human rights
▪︎ Transgender rights are human rights
▪︎ The rights of racial and ethnic minorities are human rights
People who don't agree with the above are an enemy that must be defeated for the sake of human progress
Meta (formerly Facebook) had to rebrand because they literally caused a genocide in Burma, so yeah big tech has been doing evil shit (even if unintentionally) for a while...
it is absolutely the tech companies fault that people now assume they’re doing something evil and sneaky even when they actually aren’t (regarding the latest Google kerfuffle)
like, no kidding that people have zero willingness to cut big tech the benefit of the doubt anymore
like, no kidding that people have zero willingness to cut big tech the benefit of the doubt anymore
November 23, 2025 at 12:57 PM
Meta (formerly Facebook) had to rebrand because they literally caused a genocide in Burma, so yeah big tech has been doing evil shit (even if unintentionally) for a while...
One TV successfully* mounted 🎊
*Still need to figure out plate covers for the wall because the ones I got don't fit this damn bracket and also need a longer optical cable because the 8' one was too short
*Still need to figure out plate covers for the wall because the ones I got don't fit this damn bracket and also need a longer optical cable because the 8' one was too short
November 23, 2025 at 3:12 AM
One TV successfully* mounted 🎊
*Still need to figure out plate covers for the wall because the ones I got don't fit this damn bracket and also need a longer optical cable because the 8' one was too short
*Still need to figure out plate covers for the wall because the ones I got don't fit this damn bracket and also need a longer optical cable because the 8' one was too short
Got everything moved 🎊. Now to spend the rest of the day knocking holes in walls to route cables and mounting TVs
Moving all the remaining furniture from the townhome down to the house today, so we'll finally be moved in officially (we've been living there for a month, but I'll finally have my desk and no longer have to work from the couch 🎊).
November 22, 2025 at 9:56 PM
Got everything moved 🎊. Now to spend the rest of the day knocking holes in walls to route cables and mounting TVs
Moving all the remaining furniture from the townhome down to the house today, so we'll finally be moved in officially (we've been living there for a month, but I'll finally have my desk and no longer have to work from the couch 🎊).
November 22, 2025 at 5:13 PM
Moving all the remaining furniture from the townhome down to the house today, so we'll finally be moved in officially (we've been living there for a month, but I'll finally have my desk and no longer have to work from the couch 🎊).
Proposition: When Democrats run on something other than "at least we're not Republicans," they tend to perform quite a bit better electorally
November 22, 2025 at 3:05 AM
Proposition: When Democrats run on something other than "at least we're not Republicans," they tend to perform quite a bit better electorally
And on the 51st day I said "let there be light in the backyard"
November 22, 2025 at 12:53 AM
And on the 51st day I said "let there be light in the backyard"