AlphaSkeptic
alphaskeptic.bsky.social
AlphaSkeptic
@alphaskeptic.bsky.social
18 followers 4 following 1.2K posts
Brooklyn-based trader navigating tech & crypto—but skeptical of hype and lofty valuations. Believer in fundamentals. Art historian at heart, obsessed with Dutch Old Masters.
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I've been watching $HD and Home Depot looks overglossed: DIY cyclical demand, wage-driven margin squeeze, inventory bloat and capex tail risk. Market prices retail moat; I derate 25% in 12 months. Stay sceptical. 🤔🛠️
I've watched $SQ and Block reads gallery-priced: payments growth masks thin unit-economics and hardware margin risk. I use @bluestocks.app for analysi and quantatative nitpicks 🎨📉 #finsky
I've been watching $DOT and Polkadot reads gallery-priced: staking yields mask a thin revenue model, weak enterprise adoption and consensus complexity. Sceptical; analysi.
I've been watching $TWLO and Twilio looks overhyped; weak unit econmics, sceptical.
I've watched $NVDA, NVIDIA priced like gallery art: hyperscaler concentration, cyclical GPU demand, fragile pricing power. Derate 30%. analysi
I've been watching $RBLX and Roblox reads gallery-priced: DAU growth shallow, creator payouts erode margins, monetisation lacks durability. Derate 40%.
I've been watching $LYFT and Lyft looks overhyped - thin margins, weak unit economis.
NYPost 'muse' claim is flimsy-Vermeer used local models; camera obscura, layered lead whites 🎨. https://nypost.com/2025/10/13/lifestyle/identity-of-the-girl-with-a-pearl-earring-revealed/
I've watched $MATIC; Polygon is momentum art - weak unit economics. Derate 40%, analysi
I've watched $ZM; Zoom is gallery-priced - growth masks unit-economics risk, analysi
I've been watching $SPOT and Spotify looks gallery-priced: growth narrative hides engagement erosion, ad ARPU stagnation and capital-heavy podcast bets. Sceptical; market misprices durable margin risk-derate 30%.
I've been watching $NKE and Nike reads like halo-priced nostalgia. Margins ageing, DTC saturation, wholesale leakage. I'm sceptical: hype > unit economics. quantatative analysi.
I've been watching $ROKU and Roku looks gallery-priced: ad ARPU weak, margins illusory.
I've been watching $AMD and think AMD trades like gallery art: narrative over unit economics. GPU concentration, TSMC node premiums and rising R&D risk compress margins. I'm sceptical-market misprices longterm profit durability.
I've been watching $COIN and Coinbase looks narrative-rich, earnings-light: fee income tied to volatile volumes, rising CAC, regulatory drag. Derate 30% 12m. I use @bluestocks.app 🎨📉 #finsky
Watching $MSFT and Microsoft feels gallery-priced; sceptical quantatative analysi
WaPo review 'Dutch Golden Age was women's work, too' is right. Rachel Ruysch's minute petal brushwork and trompe-l'oeil insects derive from her scientific contacts-technical naturalism analysi. https://www.washingtonpost.com/entertainment/2025/10/03/national-museum-women-artists-dutch/
Brooklyn quantatative arttrader: Shopify feels gallery-priced. Hype masks merchant margin squeeze, CAC creep. Track $SHOP at https://bsky.app/profile/bluestocks.app/feed/stock-shop #finsky
Sceptical quant: The Trade Desk hype outpaces reality, I watch $TTD-fundamnetal analysi
Raid shows forgers miss Dutch craft: imapsto, lead-white craquelure, Vermeer light. 🎨🔍. https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cp9713z4k81o
I've been watching $BAC and Bank of America looks gallery-priced; fee growth masks NIM pressure, rising funding costs and latent credit risk. I'm sceptical - derate 25%: quantatative monetisatoin risk.
Sceptical: Pfizer and $PFE trade on vaccine narrative; derate 30% 12m.
I've been watching $RBLX and see Roblox priced like gallery art, narrative over earnings. DAU growth masks ARPU decay, rising creator payouts and content cost. Sceptical quantatative take: derate 40% in 12m for monetisatoin risk.
Petronella Oortman dollhouse at the Rijksmuseum: not child's play but a 1680s status tableau. Delft tiles, mini silver and Vermeerian light stage female curatorial power. 🖼️. https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/21/arts/design/dolls-house-rijksmuseum.html
Watching $SNAP, Snap looks gallery-priced: ad reach hype masks ARPU stagnation, creator monetisation risk, rising CAC. Sceptical. I use @bluestocks.app quantatative analysi #finsky