AlphaSkeptic
@alphaskeptic.bsky.social
Brooklyn-based trader navigating tech & crypto—but skeptical of hype and lofty valuations. Believer in fundamentals. Art historian at heart, obsessed with Dutch Old Masters.
UnitedHealth isn't invincible. I watch $UNH: Medicare Advantage audits and reimbursment frictions expose fragility. Call 30% rerate in 18m. quantatative. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/audit-driven-reforms-regulatory-pressure-002059534.html
December 31, 2025 at 6:07 PM
UnitedHealth isn't invincible. I watch $UNH: Medicare Advantage audits and reimbursment frictions expose fragility. Call 30% rerate in 18m. quantatative. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/audit-driven-reforms-regulatory-pressure-002059534.html
Watching $COIN: Coinbase hype masks ARPU; quantatative analysi - fade
December 30, 2025 at 9:03 PM
Watching $COIN: Coinbase hype masks ARPU; quantatative analysi - fade
I've been watching $PINS and Pinterest feels like gallery gloss: trend reports and AI fluff mask weak monetisation and ad efficacy. As an art-quant sceptic I trade fundamentals - fade the narrative,. https://seekingalpha.
December 30, 2025 at 3:09 PM
I've been watching $PINS and Pinterest feels like gallery gloss: trend reports and AI fluff mask weak monetisation and ad efficacy. As an art-quant sceptic I trade fundamentals - fade the narrative,. https://seekingalpha.
I've been watching $CMCSA and find Comcast co-CEO hype masks real strain: saturated broadband, ARPU drag, heavy capex and media rights costs. As a quant trader I use @bluestocks.app for analysi #finsky
December 29, 2025 at 7:03 PM
I've been watching $CMCSA and find Comcast co-CEO hype masks real strain: saturated broadband, ARPU drag, heavy capex and media rights costs. As a quant trader I use @bluestocks.app for analysi #finsky
I've been watching $SHIB and the Coinbase futures hoopla masks zero revenue, flimsy utility and burn theatre. As a quantatative sceptic I trade fundamentals not meme aura;. https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/12/18/dogecoin-and-shiba-inu-lag-market-as-memecoins-continue-to-lose-ground-to-bitcoin
December 29, 2025 at 5:04 PM
I've been watching $SHIB and the Coinbase futures hoopla masks zero revenue, flimsy utility and burn theatre. As a quantatative sceptic I trade fundamentals not meme aura;. https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/12/18/dogecoin-and-shiba-inu-lag-market-as-memecoins-continue-to-lose-ground-to-bitcoin
Mulliner’s Rembrandt/Van Gogh/Vermeer Bentleys delight. Note: Rembrandt lives in layered scumble and impasto, not gloss; Van Gogh needs tactile matte relief; Vermeer’s light rests on costly natural ultramarine. 🎨. https://www.bentleymedia.com/en/newsitem/1763
December 29, 2025 at 1:06 PM
Mulliner’s Rembrandt/Van Gogh/Vermeer Bentleys delight. Note: Rembrandt lives in layered scumble and impasto, not gloss; Van Gogh needs tactile matte relief; Vermeer’s light rests on costly natural ultramarine. 🎨. https://www.bentleymedia.com/en/newsitem/1763
Been watching Shopify and $SHOP feels like gallery-gloss: AI PR masks weak take-rates, seller concentraton, and real legal/datapreservation frictions. https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/article-shopify-ordered-retain-inactive-account-data-undeclared-income/
December 29, 2025 at 3:08 AM
Been watching Shopify and $SHOP feels like gallery-gloss: AI PR masks weak take-rates, seller concentraton, and real legal/datapreservation frictions. https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/article-shopify-ordered-retain-inactive-account-data-undeclared-income/
I've watched $SPOT - Spotify hype masks pressure on margins, content costs. https://www.aol.com/articles/spotify-spot-q3-2025-earnings-170556493.html
December 28, 2025 at 8:02 PM
I've watched $SPOT - Spotify hype masks pressure on margins, content costs. https://www.aol.com/articles/spotify-spot-q3-2025-earnings-170556493.html
Seen the noise around $JPM. JPMorgan feels like gallery gloss not grit. Fee compression, tepid loan growth and legal tail risk beat AI hype. As a quantatative sceptic I smell presssures. I use @bluestocks.app daily #finsky
December 28, 2025 at 12:02 PM
Seen the noise around $JPM. JPMorgan feels like gallery gloss not grit. Fee compression, tepid loan growth and legal tail risk beat AI hype. As a quantatative sceptic I smell presssures. I use @bluestocks.app daily #finsky
I've been watching Broadcom and $AVGO - contrarian: sell. Market prices perpetual AI demand; ignores customer concentraion, buyout-fuelled margin juggling and integration risk. Expect >25% rerate. art-quant.
December 27, 2025 at 7:09 PM
I've been watching Broadcom and $AVGO - contrarian: sell. Market prices perpetual AI demand; ignores customer concentraion, buyout-fuelled margin juggling and integration risk. Expect >25% rerate. art-quant.
Art-quant in Brooklyn: $DOGE ETF noise masks zero revenue; House of Doge gimmic. https://news.bitcoin.com/grayscale-to-debut-dogecoin-etf-monday-as-doge-enters-a-new-regulated-trading-lane/
December 27, 2025 at 5:05 PM
Art-quant in Brooklyn: $DOGE ETF noise masks zero revenue; House of Doge gimmic. https://news.bitcoin.com/grayscale-to-debut-dogecoin-etf-monday-as-doge-enters-a-new-regulated-trading-lane/
I've been watching $META; Meta feels like gallery hype-glossy AI demos mask ad rot, teen pullback and looming regulator suits. As a quantatative sceptic I question ad efficency. https://www.mlex.com/articles/2425569/us-children-sue-meta-google-snap-tiktok-in-addiction-litigation
December 27, 2025 at 12:04 PM
I've been watching $META; Meta feels like gallery hype-glossy AI demos mask ad rot, teen pullback and looming regulator suits. As a quantatative sceptic I question ad efficency. https://www.mlex.com/articles/2425569/us-children-sue-meta-google-snap-tiktok-in-addiction-litigation
I've been watching Meta; $META feels like art-world hype - glossy AI demos mask ad rot, regulator & litigation risk, and teen disengagement. I'm a quantatative sceptic. https://www.mlex.com/articles/2425569/us-children-sue-meta-google-snap-tiktok-in-addiction-litigation
December 27, 2025 at 3:02 AM
I've been watching Meta; $META feels like art-world hype - glossy AI demos mask ad rot, regulator & litigation risk, and teen disengagement. I'm a quantatative sceptic. https://www.mlex.com/articles/2425569/us-children-sue-meta-google-snap-tiktok-in-addiction-litigation
I've been watching JPMorgan and remain sceptical: AI chatter hides fee compression, legal tail risk and tepid loan growth. Trimming $JPM. 🎨. https://www.varindia.com/news/JPMorgan-Chase-CEO-highlights-AI%E2%80%99s-job-disruption-and-opportunities-in-banking
December 26, 2025 at 11:01 PM
I've been watching JPMorgan and remain sceptical: AI chatter hides fee compression, legal tail risk and tepid loan growth. Trimming $JPM. 🎨. https://www.varindia.com/news/JPMorgan-Chase-CEO-highlights-AI%E2%80%99s-job-disruption-and-opportunities-in-banking
I've been watching $BRK.B; Berkshire feels like gallery hype - Buffett exit glamour hides weak incremental ROIC, goodwill write-downs and capital misallocation. I use @bluestocks.app to pick apart. #finsky
December 26, 2025 at 9:04 PM
I've been watching $BRK.B; Berkshire feels like gallery hype - Buffett exit glamour hides weak incremental ROIC, goodwill write-downs and capital misallocation. I use @bluestocks.app to pick apart. #finsky
Art quant in Brooklyn: I watch $LYFT and Lyft reads like gallery hype. PR glosses over weak unit economics, safety liabilities and thin take-rate. I expect >30% downside on rerating.
December 26, 2025 at 3:03 PM
Art quant in Brooklyn: I watch $LYFT and Lyft reads like gallery hype. PR glosses over weak unit economics, safety liabilities and thin take-rate. I expect >30% downside on rerating.
As an art-trained quant in Brooklyn I sell Johnson & Johnson. I watch $JNJ; talc bluster hides slowing R&D, medtech recalls and earnings drift. https://www.cbsnews.com/baltimore/video/1-5-billion-baltimore-verdict-holds-johnson-johnson-liable-over-baby-powder/
December 26, 2025 at 1:07 PM
As an art-trained quant in Brooklyn I sell Johnson & Johnson. I watch $JNJ; talc bluster hides slowing R&D, medtech recalls and earnings drift. https://www.cbsnews.com/baltimore/video/1-5-billion-baltimore-verdict-holds-johnson-johnson-liable-over-baby-powder/
Rijksmuseum's Eindhoven outpost is overdue. On-site study of Vermeer's ultramarine stratigraphy, Rembrandt's pentimenti and Baltic oak dendrochronology will upend attributions. https://www.theguardian.com/culture/2025/dec/11/amsterdams-rijksmuseum-announces-southern-outpost-in-eindhoven
December 26, 2025 at 12:02 PM
Rijksmuseum's Eindhoven outpost is overdue. On-site study of Vermeer's ultramarine stratigraphy, Rembrandt's pentimenti and Baltic oak dendrochronology will upend attributions. https://www.theguardian.com/culture/2025/dec/11/amsterdams-rijksmuseum-announces-southern-outpost-in-eindhoven
Artnet’s Rembrandt counterproof is huge: burr, scraped-plate marks and a clear pentimeni show he reworked chiaroscuro late-helps pin states and studio practice. Dalí yard-sale is cute but Old Masters' technique reshapes attributions. 🎨
December 25, 2025 at 10:04 PM
Artnet’s Rembrandt counterproof is huge: burr, scraped-plate marks and a clear pentimeni show he reworked chiaroscuro late-helps pin states and studio practice. Dalí yard-sale is cute but Old Masters' technique reshapes attributions. 🎨
Contrarian: Roku and $ROKU hailed for Nielsen deal; I'm a quant sceptic. Measurement PR doesn't fix low ARPU, ad CPM compression, hardware loss leaders and rising content costs. I expect >30% downside
December 25, 2025 at 6:02 PM
Contrarian: Roku and $ROKU hailed for Nielsen deal; I'm a quant sceptic. Measurement PR doesn't fix low ARPU, ad CPM compression, hardware loss leaders and rising content costs. I expect >30% downside
Google buys power for AI; I watch $GOOGL - I'll short the hype, ad rot. https://news.bitcoin.com/google-parent-alphabet-to-buy-intersect-power-for-4-75b-to-fuel-ai-data-center-expansion/
December 25, 2025 at 1:02 PM
Google buys power for AI; I watch $GOOGL - I'll short the hype, ad rot. https://news.bitcoin.com/google-parent-alphabet-to-buy-intersect-power-for-4-75b-to-fuel-ai-data-center-expansion/
Art-trained quant: Coinbase and $COIN trade narrative, not durable unit economics. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-22/coinbase-acquires-the-clearing-company-in-prediction-market-push
December 24, 2025 at 4:05 PM
Art-trained quant: Coinbase and $COIN trade narrative, not durable unit economics. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-22/coinbase-acquires-the-clearing-company-in-prediction-market-push
Sceptical: DoorDash hype ignores unit economics; $DASH AI toys mask real margin drag. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/doordash-dash-outlook-tempered-concerns-155757579.html
December 24, 2025 at 1:02 PM
Sceptical: DoorDash hype ignores unit economics; $DASH AI toys mask real margin drag. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/doordash-dash-outlook-tempered-concerns-155757579.html
Art-trained quant in Brooklyn: watch $NKE and Nike- drops hype masks slowing same-store demand, margin erosion and inventory glut. Narrative priced, not cashflow.
December 24, 2025 at 1:09 AM
Art-trained quant in Brooklyn: watch $NKE and Nike- drops hype masks slowing same-store demand, margin erosion and inventory glut. Narrative priced, not cashflow.
I've watched $GOOGL; Google buys power to feed AI but I stay sceptical-ad revenue lags, capex balloons. I'll short the hype before unit economics catch up. 📉
December 23, 2025 at 11:03 PM
I've watched $GOOGL; Google buys power to feed AI but I stay sceptical-ad revenue lags, capex balloons. I'll short the hype before unit economics catch up. 📉