Anders Östlund
@andersostlund.bsky.social
Pinned
Anders Östlund
@andersostlund.bsky.social
· Nov 15
The Russo-Ukrainian war started at 4.30 AM on February 27th 2014 when Russian troops took control of the Crimean Parliament building in Simferopol. The invasion of Crimea was followed by the invasion of Donbass in March 2014. The war has been going on ever since.
Russia doesn't want peace, it wants a break in the fighting to reform and improve its armed forces to launch a new attack as soon as it is ready. Thus it's important for Russia that any security guarantees given to Ukraine are fake.
November 25, 2025 at 11:24 AM
Russia doesn't want peace, it wants a break in the fighting to reform and improve its armed forces to launch a new attack as soon as it is ready. Thus it's important for Russia that any security guarantees given to Ukraine are fake.
Reposted by Anders Östlund
Six people were killed and 13 wounded in Kyiv alone as Russia launched a massive attack on Ukraine with missiles and drones overnight.
Ukraine’s drones simultaneously attacked Russia’s Rostov and Krasnodar regions, wounding 16 people and killing two.
Ukraine’s drones simultaneously attacked Russia’s Rostov and Krasnodar regions, wounding 16 people and killing two.
Russia and Ukraine trade strikes as US pushes new round of peace talks
Drones and missiles rain down as Kyiv and Moscow grapple with Donald Trump’s plan for peace.
www.politico.eu
November 25, 2025 at 11:06 AM
Six people were killed and 13 wounded in Kyiv alone as Russia launched a massive attack on Ukraine with missiles and drones overnight.
Ukraine’s drones simultaneously attacked Russia’s Rostov and Krasnodar regions, wounding 16 people and killing two.
Ukraine’s drones simultaneously attacked Russia’s Rostov and Krasnodar regions, wounding 16 people and killing two.
Reposted by Anders Östlund
I want to focus on this. If the US and EE don't follow up the UK's sanctioning of the Beihai LNG terminal we will have one of the biggest failures of sanctions enforcement to date. And we need the US to enforce them specifically.
bsky.app/profile/delf...
bsky.app/profile/delf...
Two more LNG tankers from the Arctic LNG-2 project which is sanctioned unloaded their cargo at the Chinese Beihai LNG terminal. The UK sanctioned the Beihai terminal on October 15th 2025 for this.
www.kommersant.ru/doc/8229194
www.kommersant.ru/doc/8229194
Reuters: два танкера с «Арктик СПГ-2» разгрузились в Китае
Подробнее на сайте
www.kommersant.ru
November 24, 2025 at 7:05 PM
I want to focus on this. If the US and EE don't follow up the UK's sanctioning of the Beihai LNG terminal we will have one of the biggest failures of sanctions enforcement to date. And we need the US to enforce them specifically.
bsky.app/profile/delf...
bsky.app/profile/delf...
Reposted by Anders Östlund
Ukrainian defenders are carrying out a large drone strike on military and strategic targets of the russian fascist invaders in Krasnodar Krai (the historical Ukrainian region of Kuban).
–map via DroneBomber
–map via DroneBomber
November 24, 2025 at 7:07 PM
Ukrainian defenders are carrying out a large drone strike on military and strategic targets of the russian fascist invaders in Krasnodar Krai (the historical Ukrainian region of Kuban).
–map via DroneBomber
–map via DroneBomber
Reposted by Anders Östlund
Russia’s economy has turned into a militarized, "two-speed" system in which the military-industrial complex and war rents prop up growth by draining resources from the private sector and normal civilian industries⤵️
November 24, 2025 at 7:25 PM
Russia’s economy has turned into a militarized, "two-speed" system in which the military-industrial complex and war rents prop up growth by draining resources from the private sector and normal civilian industries⤵️
Exactly what the Kremlin wanted.
1. Make Trump look like their slave.
2. Avoid a peace agreement.
1. Make Trump look like their slave.
2. Avoid a peace agreement.
⚡️ Kremlin rejects European counter-proposal to US peace plan for Ukraine.
Kyiv's European partners reportedly pitched the plan as a counter-proposal to a 28-point document backed by the Trump administration.
Kyiv's European partners reportedly pitched the plan as a counter-proposal to a 28-point document backed by the Trump administration.
Kremlin rejects European counter-proposal to US peace plan for Ukraine
Kyiv's European partners reportedly pitched the plan as a counter-proposal to a 28-point document backed by the Trump administration, which was criticized for heavily favoring Russia.
kyivindependent.com
November 24, 2025 at 4:14 PM
Exactly what the Kremlin wanted.
1. Make Trump look like their slave.
2. Avoid a peace agreement.
1. Make Trump look like their slave.
2. Avoid a peace agreement.
Reposted by Anders Östlund
ISW says Russia is overstating its Donetsk gains to pressure Ukraine into surrendering territory it likely can’t seize for years.
Even at the current pace, full control isn’t expected before August 2027.
euromaidanpress.com/2025/11/24/i...
Even at the current pace, full control isn’t expected before August 2027.
euromaidanpress.com/2025/11/24/i...
ISW: Russia overstates gains to pressure Kyiv and West to hand over Donetsk Oblast
Russian forces have not yet faced heavily fortified cities like Slovyansk and Kramatorsk, ISW notes.
euromaidanpress.com
November 24, 2025 at 1:38 PM
ISW says Russia is overstating its Donetsk gains to pressure Ukraine into surrendering territory it likely can’t seize for years.
Even at the current pace, full control isn’t expected before August 2027.
euromaidanpress.com/2025/11/24/i...
Even at the current pace, full control isn’t expected before August 2027.
euromaidanpress.com/2025/11/24/i...
Reposted by Anders Östlund
Since morning, three airports in Russia’s Moscow region have already introduced restrictions due to a Ukrainian UAV.
November 24, 2025 at 10:14 AM
Since morning, three airports in Russia’s Moscow region have already introduced restrictions due to a Ukrainian UAV.
Reposted by Anders Östlund
Map of Utilities outages in Russia for the week 10th to the 16th of November. This week we had a drop in the number of outages but the averages seem to be in line with 2024's levels.
November 23, 2025 at 5:09 PM
Map of Utilities outages in Russia for the week 10th to the 16th of November. This week we had a drop in the number of outages but the averages seem to be in line with 2024's levels.
The Russian "opposition" needs Putin to motivate its own existence. When Putin falls it will become clear to everybody how irrelevant the "opposition" is to Russians in general. The "opposition" will never get a say about what really happens in Russia.
OPINION: According to Yulia Navalnaya, the Russian opposition believe their nation is an inseparable part of European civilization.
For this reason, they see the dark years of Putinism as an aberration, not an historical inevitability.
🔗 politi.co/3K7mbnY
For this reason, they see the dark years of Putinism as an aberration, not an historical inevitability.
🔗 politi.co/3K7mbnY
November 23, 2025 at 5:04 PM
The Russian "opposition" needs Putin to motivate its own existence. When Putin falls it will become clear to everybody how irrelevant the "opposition" is to Russians in general. The "opposition" will never get a say about what really happens in Russia.
The "peace" charade is not worth spending time on. It will all fall apart very soon. Russia has no interest in peace. The Russian regime needs war to motivate its own existence. What is clear, as it has been since the break-up of the USSR, is that The West is impotent in dealing with Russia.
November 23, 2025 at 5:02 PM
The "peace" charade is not worth spending time on. It will all fall apart very soon. Russia has no interest in peace. The Russian regime needs war to motivate its own existence. What is clear, as it has been since the break-up of the USSR, is that The West is impotent in dealing with Russia.
Reposted by Anders Östlund
To put this more bluntly, Europe has largely outsourced its foreign policy to America since WWII. This has created the illusion within the EU that foreign policy remains a national “competency.” It’s not. So if Europe wants a bigger voice it needs to speak as Europe.
Europe has a foreign policy problem. It does need to engage in these talks and doing so as 7 or 8 leaders just doesn't work. It makes it easy to work around Europe. So the EU should pick a special envoy - perhaps the fmr Finnish president Niinisto or a Draghi type to engage on behalf of Europe.
No formal "counter-proposal" from Europeans in Geneva - whose leaders instead agreed to try to dilute or amend US-Russian draft to keep Trump onside - but a list of demands on UA territory, size of army & EU control over frozen assets & sanctions
w @christopherjm.ft.com
www.ft.com/content/9e11...
w @christopherjm.ft.com
www.ft.com/content/9e11...
November 23, 2025 at 4:46 PM
To put this more bluntly, Europe has largely outsourced its foreign policy to America since WWII. This has created the illusion within the EU that foreign policy remains a national “competency.” It’s not. So if Europe wants a bigger voice it needs to speak as Europe.
Reposted by Anders Östlund
"EU imports from Russia worth €124 billion have exceeded the amount of aid provided to Ukraine since the start of the full-scale invasion." - stated Sweden’s Foreign Minister Maria Malmer Stenergard.
censor.net/en/news/3586...
censor.net/en/news/3586...
November 20, 2025 at 12:53 PM
"EU imports from Russia worth €124 billion have exceeded the amount of aid provided to Ukraine since the start of the full-scale invasion." - stated Sweden’s Foreign Minister Maria Malmer Stenergard.
censor.net/en/news/3586...
censor.net/en/news/3586...
Everybody always forget that Putin needs war to survive. The "peace" plan is nothing more than yet another sham ploy to gain momentum on the ground by stalling help to Ukraine, and to divide Ukraine's allies.
NEW: Russian officials and state media continue to set information conditions to reject the US-proposed 28-point peace plan, indicating that the Kremlin is actively conditioning the Russian people to not accept anything less than a full victory in Ukraine. 🧵(1/8)
Read more: isw.pub/UkrWar112225
Read more: isw.pub/UkrWar112225
November 23, 2025 at 1:06 PM
Everybody always forget that Putin needs war to survive. The "peace" plan is nothing more than yet another sham ploy to gain momentum on the ground by stalling help to Ukraine, and to divide Ukraine's allies.
One of the biggest hypocrisies related to the Russo-Ukrainian war is when western leaders keep repeating that borders should never be allowed to be changed by force while almost in the same sentence pushing Ukraine to accept new borders. Very few states are free from guilt here.
November 23, 2025 at 7:31 AM
One of the biggest hypocrisies related to the Russo-Ukrainian war is when western leaders keep repeating that borders should never be allowed to be changed by force while almost in the same sentence pushing Ukraine to accept new borders. Very few states are free from guilt here.
Reposted by Anders Östlund
We don’t need another delegation of European leaders flying off to Washington to kiss Trump’s ring now. We need them to get on the train to Kyiv and stand shoulder to shoulder with Zelenskyy.
November 21, 2025 at 7:39 PM
We don’t need another delegation of European leaders flying off to Washington to kiss Trump’s ring now. We need them to get on the train to Kyiv and stand shoulder to shoulder with Zelenskyy.
Reposted by Anders Östlund
A quick run through of the Trump administration's proposal for a Ukraine security guarantee, which is a security guarantee in the same way that the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia is a party committed to liberalism and democracy. 🧵 x.com/BarakRavid/s...
Barak Ravid on X: "FULL TEXT OF THE U.S. DRAFT PROPOSAL FOR A UKRAINE SECURITY GUARANTEE: 🚨This Framework establishes the conditions for an armistice between Ukraine and the Russian Federation and provides a security assurance modeled on the principles of Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty," / X
FULL TEXT OF THE U.S. DRAFT PROPOSAL FOR A UKRAINE SECURITY GUARANTEE: 🚨This Framework establishes the conditions for an armistice between Ukraine and the Russian Federation and provides a security assurance modeled on the principles of Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty,
x.com
November 21, 2025 at 8:07 PM
A quick run through of the Trump administration's proposal for a Ukraine security guarantee, which is a security guarantee in the same way that the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia is a party committed to liberalism and democracy. 🧵 x.com/BarakRavid/s...
Reposted by Anders Östlund
There can be no peace plan with russia.
Full stop.
Full stop.
November 21, 2025 at 4:31 PM
There can be no peace plan with russia.
Full stop.
Full stop.
I am not sure Zelenskyy has much of a say here. If he would agree to the "peace" plan there would be riots in the streets within minutes. The nationalists in Ukraine would never agree to any plan that basically give Ukraine away to Russia. My guess is that he is showing good will.
Zelenskyy has published a special address to the nation following the US 'surrender' document
"Ukraine may face a very difficult choice: either loss of dignity or the risk of losing a key partner. Either the difficult 28 points, or an extremely harsh winter, the hardest one, and further risks,
"Ukraine may face a very difficult choice: either loss of dignity or the risk of losing a key partner. Either the difficult 28 points, or an extremely harsh winter, the hardest one, and further risks,
November 21, 2025 at 2:56 PM
I am not sure Zelenskyy has much of a say here. If he would agree to the "peace" plan there would be riots in the streets within minutes. The nationalists in Ukraine would never agree to any plan that basically give Ukraine away to Russia. My guess is that he is showing good will.
The word "peace" shouldn't be used for that sham. Peace is a positive word but this has nothing to do with real peace. The plan is about Ukraine's submission and an opportunity for Russia to continue the war on its own terms, and then continue it against the rest of Europe. No peace.
‼️ Axios reveals text of peace plan: Ukraine to forgo its territories permanently, Russia to receive amnesty
Axios reveals text of peace plan: Ukraine to forgo its territories permanently, Russia to receive amnesty
US digital news outlet Axios, citing a draft document it obtained and confirmations from Ukrainian and US officials, has reported details of a 28-point peace plan drawn up by President Donald Trump's ...
www.pravda.com.ua
November 21, 2025 at 6:19 AM
The word "peace" shouldn't be used for that sham. Peace is a positive word but this has nothing to do with real peace. The plan is about Ukraine's submission and an opportunity for Russia to continue the war on its own terms, and then continue it against the rest of Europe. No peace.
Reposted by Anders Östlund
In September 2024, Putin stated that if US long-range missiles were used against Russian targets, this would mean Russia was at war with America. However, the Kremlin dictator has remained silent following this week’s ATACMS strikes. Yet again, Putin’s bluff has been called
November 20, 2025 at 12:20 AM
In September 2024, Putin stated that if US long-range missiles were used against Russian targets, this would mean Russia was at war with America. However, the Kremlin dictator has remained silent following this week’s ATACMS strikes. Yet again, Putin’s bluff has been called
Reposted by Anders Östlund
Rosneft’s Ryazan oil refinery, one of the largest in Russia, has suspended crude processing after a Ukrainian drone attack on November 15 and is expected to remain idle until the end of the month, Reuters reports
www.reuters.com/business/ene...
www.reuters.com/business/ene...
November 20, 2025 at 12:35 AM
Rosneft’s Ryazan oil refinery, one of the largest in Russia, has suspended crude processing after a Ukrainian drone attack on November 15 and is expected to remain idle until the end of the month, Reuters reports
www.reuters.com/business/ene...
www.reuters.com/business/ene...
Trump wants quick results in Ukraine to divert attention from the Epstein files.
November 20, 2025 at 4:57 AM
Trump wants quick results in Ukraine to divert attention from the Epstein files.
The American "peace" plan looks like a copy of Russia's war goals. The U.S. is becoming a basket case. I am sad normal Americans don't protest against the D.C. regime.
The plan would even demand that Russian be recognised as an official state language in Ukraine and that the local branch of the Russian Orthodox Church receive official status, echoing long standing Kremlin political goals.
That is going to be a no.
That is going to be a no.
November 19, 2025 at 5:48 PM
The American "peace" plan looks like a copy of Russia's war goals. The U.S. is becoming a basket case. I am sad normal Americans don't protest against the D.C. regime.
Outrageous terror against the civilan population. Should be big black headlines all over but dead Ukrainian civilians don't get any attention now. Meanwhile half of all western leaders are sucking up to Russia, and Russians still freely roam Europe.
⚡️Death toll has risen to 20, including children, as a result of Russia's mass attack against Ukraine on Nov. 19.
In the city of Ternopil, which suffered the most damage, the search continues for people who may be trapped under the rubble.
In the city of Ternopil, which suffered the most damage, the search continues for people who may be trapped under the rubble.
20 killed, 115 injured, emergency power outages across Ukraine as Russia launches mass missile, drone attack
Russia launched 476 drones and 48 missiles at Ukraine, including 47 cruise missiles and one ballistic missile, the Air Force reported.
kyivindependent.com
November 19, 2025 at 12:19 PM
Outrageous terror against the civilan population. Should be big black headlines all over but dead Ukrainian civilians don't get any attention now. Meanwhile half of all western leaders are sucking up to Russia, and Russians still freely roam Europe.