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Andrew Valentine

@apvalentine.bsky.social

62 followers 39 following 7 posts

Assoc. Prof., Durham University Inverse theory, ML, seismology, geophysics & computation. https://valentineap.github.io/

valentineap.github.io

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Andrew Valentine @apvalentine.bsky.social · Aug 27

In particular, if we have already run McMC for each state individually, Carlin & Chib's approach lets us build a trans-conceptual ensemble by resampling the resulting ensembles.

Go read doi.org/10.1029/2024... to find out more and see some examples of this idea applied to real problems!

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An ensemble resampler provides an efficient means of constructing a trans-conceptual ensemble from multiple single-concept ensembles.

Andrew Valentine @apvalentine.bsky.social · Aug 27

An alternative comes from the work of Carlin & Chib (1999). Instead of working across multiple different parameter spaces, combine them all into a single 'product space'. Of course, this increases the dimension of the search space (= bad), but in practice some simplification may be possible.

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Carlin & Chib (1995) combine separate states into a single 'product space' and add an indicator variable to identify the active state.

Andrew Valentine @apvalentine.bsky.social · Aug 27

In some cases this problem can be tackled using reversible-jump McMC (Green, 1995) to switch between the different physical theories (or 'conceptual states'). See, e.g., 'trans-dimensional' sampling. However, this requires us to know the Jacobian of the transformation between states...

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Reversible jump McMC can explore, and step between, parameter spaces of different dimension.

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Andrew Valentine @apvalentine.bsky.social · Aug 27

🧪 Monte Carlo methods can help characterise unknown parameters within a physical model. But what if we have multiple competing physical theories? Trans-conceptual sampling may be the answer...

Just out in JGR, w/M. Sambridge & J. Hauser: doi.org/10.1029/2024...

@durhamearthsci.bsky.social

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An illustration of three classes of ensemble representing an Earth model whose properties only vary with depth. The fixed-dimensional ensemble shows three Earth models each with three layers, whose thicknesses and seismic velocities all vary. The trans-dimensional ensemble is similar but with variable numbers of layers. In contrast, the trans-conceptual ensemble allows Earth models to have variable character as well. The first containing a single linear gradient, the second multiple layers and an inclined fault, while the third has undulating layers. Each ensemble class is a subset of those to its right. Fig 1 from Sambridge, Valentine & Hauser, 2025, JGR.

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Andrew Valentine @apvalentine.bsky.social · Jan 13

Very flattered by this invitation to deliver the 2025
@royalastrosoc.bsky.social
Harold Jeffreys lecture - in honour of a
Durham University alumnus who made seminal contributions to geophysics and probability theory, and who also happens to be my great-great-grand-PhD-advisor! 🧪

Department of Earth Sciences at Durham University, UK @durhamearthsci.bsky.social · Jan 13

Many congratulations to our Andrew Valentine (@apvalentine.bsky.social) on the award of the Royal Astronomical Society's Harold Jefferys Lectureship! A wonderful and well-deserved achievement!
#RASAwards2025

Royal Astronomical Society @royalastrosoc.bsky.social · Jan 10

The Harold Jeffreys Lectureship is awarded to Dr Andrew Valentine, of Durham University, "for his ability to give a thought-provoking exposition about his own research into machine-learning methods in geophysics".

Well done Dr Valentine! 🎉

#RASAwards2025

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Reposted by Andrew Valentine

Department of Earth Sciences at Durham University, UK @durhamearthsci.bsky.social · Nov 4

@durhamearthsci.bsky.social staff and students build the world. Expect to see the result at open days and beyond!

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Andrew Valentine @apvalentine.bsky.social · Oct 10

👋 Can I be added to the science feed, please? This is me: scholar.google.com/citations?us...

Andrew Valentine

‪Department of Earth Sciences, Durham University‬ - ‪‪Cited by 894‬‬ - ‪Inverse theory‬ - ‪Machine learning‬ - ‪Geophysics‬ - ‪Seismology‬ - ‪Computational science‬

scholar.google.com

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Andrew Valentine @apvalentine.bsky.social · Oct 10

TWO!! preprints out today from our work on #Bayesian inference:

1. Matthias Scheiter's #PhD research: #AI-enhanced McMC - essopenarchive.org/users/841077...

2. New paradigm: 'Trans-conceptual sampling' w/
M.Sambridge & J.Hauser - essopenarchive.org/users/841079...

@durhamearthsci.bsky.social

a cat wearing a pair of glasses with the words talk data to me above it

ALT: a cat wearing a pair of glasses with the words talk data to me above it

media.tenor.com

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