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Art Vandelay
@artsvandelay.bsky.social
· Nov 25
People think that the tariffs are paid for by China. But they're actually paid for by me, Art Vandelay.
Predictions:
* >= 6 votes to reject the administration. Most likely to dissent Thomas, Alito, Gorsuch
* If Thomas dissents he'll write. Gorsuch will write either way.
* Most likely to write the majority is Roberts, then Barrett
* Will leave open application to people not "domiciled" in the US.
* >= 6 votes to reject the administration. Most likely to dissent Thomas, Alito, Gorsuch
* If Thomas dissents he'll write. Gorsuch will write either way.
* Most likely to write the majority is Roberts, then Barrett
* Will leave open application to people not "domiciled" in the US.
The Supreme Court will ultimately decide whether to uphold the longstanding principle that grants citizenship to the children of non-citizens born in the U.S., following a legal challenge by the Trump administration. n.pr/48E1oko
Supreme Court agrees to hear arguments in birthright citizenship challenge
The Supreme Court will ultimately decide whether to uphold the longstanding principle that grants citizenship to the children of non-citizens born in the U.S., following a legal challenge by the Trump administration.
n.pr
December 6, 2025 at 5:15 PM
Predictions:
* >= 6 votes to reject the administration. Most likely to dissent Thomas, Alito, Gorsuch
* If Thomas dissents he'll write. Gorsuch will write either way.
* Most likely to write the majority is Roberts, then Barrett
* Will leave open application to people not "domiciled" in the US.
* >= 6 votes to reject the administration. Most likely to dissent Thomas, Alito, Gorsuch
* If Thomas dissents he'll write. Gorsuch will write either way.
* Most likely to write the majority is Roberts, then Barrett
* Will leave open application to people not "domiciled" in the US.
Can't wait until the next Dem president crushes FIFA.
December 5, 2025 at 6:12 PM
Can't wait until the next Dem president crushes FIFA.
Sometimes the Trump admin's apologists will act like the inappropriate uses of executive power are about policy goals or "fighting the deep state" but this one is noteworthy because it's irrelevant to any of that.
Just pure cult-of-personality shit.
Just pure cult-of-personality shit.
"The Donald Trump administration has changed which holidays qualify for free entrance to national parks, removing two holidays celebrating Black people and adding the president’s birthday."
National parks change prioritizes Trump birthday over days honoring Black people
Free entrance days at national parks no longer include MLK Day and Juneteenth.
www.sfgate.com
December 5, 2025 at 1:10 PM
Sometimes the Trump admin's apologists will act like the inappropriate uses of executive power are about policy goals or "fighting the deep state" but this one is noteworthy because it's irrelevant to any of that.
Just pure cult-of-personality shit.
Just pure cult-of-personality shit.
Reposted by Art Vandelay
Can we talk about this from Kagan?
In attacking the concurrence for conjuring the term "near-dispositive" into a precedent, she goes on a tangent to cite that the word only appears in 3 SCOTUS decisions, and cites as an example...
Scalia saying stare decisis is "near-dispositive"!
In attacking the concurrence for conjuring the term "near-dispositive" into a precedent, she goes on a tangent to cite that the word only appears in 3 SCOTUS decisions, and cites as an example...
Scalia saying stare decisis is "near-dispositive"!
December 5, 2025 at 12:35 AM
Can we talk about this from Kagan?
In attacking the concurrence for conjuring the term "near-dispositive" into a precedent, she goes on a tangent to cite that the word only appears in 3 SCOTUS decisions, and cites as an example...
Scalia saying stare decisis is "near-dispositive"!
In attacking the concurrence for conjuring the term "near-dispositive" into a precedent, she goes on a tangent to cite that the word only appears in 3 SCOTUS decisions, and cites as an example...
Scalia saying stare decisis is "near-dispositive"!
December 3, 2025 at 4:49 PM
Insane that after the Adelsons gave a private jet ride to Jonathan Pollard, they aren't persona non grata to anyone in politics in the US.
December 2, 2025 at 5:08 AM
Insane that after the Adelsons gave a private jet ride to Jonathan Pollard, they aren't persona non grata to anyone in politics in the US.
I guess you're saying, the 2028 Republican nominee will be an AI version of dead Trump, basically this ad.
Nothing in the constitution that says that the president *can't* be dystopian AI bullshit run out of a server in Saudi Arabia!
www.youtube.com/watch?v=UFen...
Nothing in the constitution that says that the president *can't* be dystopian AI bullshit run out of a server in Saudi Arabia!
www.youtube.com/watch?v=UFen...
December 2, 2025 at 5:01 AM
I guess you're saying, the 2028 Republican nominee will be an AI version of dead Trump, basically this ad.
Nothing in the constitution that says that the president *can't* be dystopian AI bullshit run out of a server in Saudi Arabia!
www.youtube.com/watch?v=UFen...
Nothing in the constitution that says that the president *can't* be dystopian AI bullshit run out of a server in Saudi Arabia!
www.youtube.com/watch?v=UFen...
Reposted by Art Vandelay
So uhhh, giving an order and then denying that you gave that order because it would get you in trouble so instead you just hang your subordinates out to dry, that kind of sounds like the height of dishonor, huh?
December 1, 2025 at 5:10 PM
So uhhh, giving an order and then denying that you gave that order because it would get you in trouble so instead you just hang your subordinates out to dry, that kind of sounds like the height of dishonor, huh?
Reposted by Art Vandelay
i’m setting you free. i’m releasing you from the discourse
December 2, 2025 at 1:39 AM
i’m setting you free. i’m releasing you from the discourse
If you're from Afghanistan circa 5-10 years ago and want to shoot some American soldiers, what's easier:
To help the Americans in order to gain access to the US in the future so you can shoot some soldiers years from now?
Or ... just shoot one of the many soldiers *in Afghanistan at that time*?
To help the Americans in order to gain access to the US in the future so you can shoot some soldiers years from now?
Or ... just shoot one of the many soldiers *in Afghanistan at that time*?
What's more logical?
That the CIA directed one of its assets to perform the perfect false flag?
Or
That a jihadist played the long game by working with the CIA in Afghanistan to gain legal access to the country and then travel 3,000 miles to enact his plan of attacking National Guard soldiers?
That the CIA directed one of its assets to perform the perfect false flag?
Or
That a jihadist played the long game by working with the CIA in Afghanistan to gain legal access to the country and then travel 3,000 miles to enact his plan of attacking National Guard soldiers?
November 29, 2025 at 11:47 PM
If you're from Afghanistan circa 5-10 years ago and want to shoot some American soldiers, what's easier:
To help the Americans in order to gain access to the US in the future so you can shoot some soldiers years from now?
Or ... just shoot one of the many soldiers *in Afghanistan at that time*?
To help the Americans in order to gain access to the US in the future so you can shoot some soldiers years from now?
Or ... just shoot one of the many soldiers *in Afghanistan at that time*?
If Republicans and centrist Dems would take a 30 second break from calling Mamdani a communist, they'll see he is actually interested in doing pragmatic better-government shit - "cut red tape for small businesses" is a line from Republican campaign ads.
Soon small businesses won’t have to wait for Small Business Saturday to get attention from their Mayor.
Some changes that they can look forward to:
Some changes that they can look forward to:
November 29, 2025 at 11:43 PM
If Republicans and centrist Dems would take a 30 second break from calling Mamdani a communist, they'll see he is actually interested in doing pragmatic better-government shit - "cut red tape for small businesses" is a line from Republican campaign ads.
If there's something that provides a defense to murder if an OLC memo says it's OK, then I'm gonna need to see it.
Better be a cite to the US Code or US Reports, a different OLC memo doesn't count.
Nor saying "all good fedsoc people know that's how it works, haven't you read your Bork"
Better be a cite to the US Code or US Reports, a different OLC memo doesn't count.
Nor saying "all good fedsoc people know that's how it works, haven't you read your Bork"
Does Pete Hegseth have a "golden shield" against prosecution in the form of a DOJ OLC opinion? Ed Whelan thinks not.
November 28, 2025 at 11:17 PM
If there's something that provides a defense to murder if an OLC memo says it's OK, then I'm gonna need to see it.
Better be a cite to the US Code or US Reports, a different OLC memo doesn't count.
Nor saying "all good fedsoc people know that's how it works, haven't you read your Bork"
Better be a cite to the US Code or US Reports, a different OLC memo doesn't count.
Nor saying "all good fedsoc people know that's how it works, haven't you read your Bork"
Reposted by Art Vandelay
"Rape is a very serious accusation and is considered one of the worst of all possible crimes, something which is evidenced in the way we talk about rape in the abstract or in hypothetical scenarios and is completely absent from the way we actually respond to it in practice."
November 28, 2025 at 11:07 PM
"Rape is a very serious accusation and is considered one of the worst of all possible crimes, something which is evidenced in the way we talk about rape in the abstract or in hypothetical scenarios and is completely absent from the way we actually respond to it in practice."
Reposted by Art Vandelay
[brain worm intensifies]
Unreal: "The EPA is moving forward with approvals for pesticides containing 'forever chemicals' as an active ingredient... The agency also announced plans to relax a rule requiring companies to report products containing PFAS and has proposed weakening drinking water standards for the chemicals."
November 23, 2025 at 2:58 PM
[brain worm intensifies]
Reposted by Art Vandelay
answer is great but also it's telling that the guy who's been saying this since day 1 has to answer about whether he's an antisemite for 5 min every interview while the same people grin vacantly at the jewish space lasers lady and call her a brave warrior
WELKER: What is your message to Jewish New Yorkers who feel you won't be tough enough in your response to antisemitism?
MAMDANI: That I am looking forward to being the next mayor and fulfilling the commitment I've made to Jewish New Yorkers to not only protect them but to celebrate and cherish them
MAMDANI: That I am looking forward to being the next mayor and fulfilling the commitment I've made to Jewish New Yorkers to not only protect them but to celebrate and cherish them
November 23, 2025 at 4:26 PM
answer is great but also it's telling that the guy who's been saying this since day 1 has to answer about whether he's an antisemite for 5 min every interview while the same people grin vacantly at the jewish space lasers lady and call her a brave warrior
So Hazony is all about nationalism and how states should be organized around specific nations, and presumably a person can only be part of one nation.
And he talks repeatedly about the supposed Jewish nation...
and he's surprised that nationalism has anti-Semites?
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/20/o...
And he talks repeatedly about the supposed Jewish nation...
and he's surprised that nationalism has anti-Semites?
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/20/o...
Opinion | It’s Deeper Than Nick Fuentes
www.nytimes.com
November 22, 2025 at 6:43 PM
So Hazony is all about nationalism and how states should be organized around specific nations, and presumably a person can only be part of one nation.
And he talks repeatedly about the supposed Jewish nation...
and he's surprised that nationalism has anti-Semites?
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/20/o...
And he talks repeatedly about the supposed Jewish nation...
and he's surprised that nationalism has anti-Semites?
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/20/o...
This is one of the biggest examples of the thumb on the scale for Trump in the last election. Even if the first Trump/Harris debate had gone well for Trump, SOP would be for the media to shit on him for skipping the others.
But it went disastrously, even guys like Rogan were saying so.
But it went disastrously, even guys like Rogan were saying so.
Yup. Usually something the media is ruthless on - they know punishing candidates for skipping debates is the thing that creates incentives for candidates to actually do them - but they completely let Trump slide bsky.app/profile/eman...
They dropped the story and let him slide on skipping the other debates
November 22, 2025 at 6:31 PM
This is one of the biggest examples of the thumb on the scale for Trump in the last election. Even if the first Trump/Harris debate had gone well for Trump, SOP would be for the media to shit on him for skipping the others.
But it went disastrously, even guys like Rogan were saying so.
But it went disastrously, even guys like Rogan were saying so.
More specifically, it was fun because Trump (rhetorically) gave up ideological ground to Mamdani, and not the opposite.
Trump said Mamdani isn't a jihadist, Mamdani said Trump is a fascist.
Trump said Mamdani isn't a jihadist, Mamdani said Trump is a fascist.
The Mamdani-Trump summit is fun but c’mon, it’s not the vindication of the left/right-populist or red/brown alliance stuff.
November 22, 2025 at 6:22 PM
More specifically, it was fun because Trump (rhetorically) gave up ideological ground to Mamdani, and not the opposite.
Trump said Mamdani isn't a jihadist, Mamdani said Trump is a fascist.
Trump said Mamdani isn't a jihadist, Mamdani said Trump is a fascist.
I agree this is giving a vision of "bottom v top" politics as opposed to "left vs right" politics. And that vision is ...
incoherent because "left vs right" is a much better schema for our political divides than "bottom vs top".
incoherent because "left vs right" is a much better schema for our political divides than "bottom vs top".
this is your brain when your entire politics is just a set of aesthetics
just bleak, man
November 21, 2025 at 11:24 PM
I agree this is giving a vision of "bottom v top" politics as opposed to "left vs right" politics. And that vision is ...
incoherent because "left vs right" is a much better schema for our political divides than "bottom vs top".
incoherent because "left vs right" is a much better schema for our political divides than "bottom vs top".
@chrislhayes.bsky.social is just trying to avoid having to say "unique New York" on air.
completely outside of politics, this is so charming
November 21, 2025 at 5:43 PM
@chrislhayes.bsky.social is just trying to avoid having to say "unique New York" on air.
This but in the other direction from what he means.
Ok Matt Taibbi has posted.
November 20, 2025 at 2:14 AM
This but in the other direction from what he means.
They love to shit on NY, but I haven't eaten from any of those places in years.
The tweet about people today having more extreme nacho flavor than peasants 500 years ago, but for NYC vs the rest of the country and good pizza.
The tweet about people today having more extreme nacho flavor than peasants 500 years ago, but for NYC vs the rest of the country and good pizza.
Late-stage MAGA means accepting that things will never be great again
November 19, 2025 at 7:13 PM
They love to shit on NY, but I haven't eaten from any of those places in years.
The tweet about people today having more extreme nacho flavor than peasants 500 years ago, but for NYC vs the rest of the country and good pizza.
The tweet about people today having more extreme nacho flavor than peasants 500 years ago, but for NYC vs the rest of the country and good pizza.
Relatedly, when someone sends me an email that visually looks like ChatGPT output (certain patterns of bolding, bullet points, etc), I get annoyed that someone's sending me AI slop.
... it's especially annoying when it resembles how I previously wrote emails and feel like now I have to change.
... it's especially annoying when it resembles how I previously wrote emails and feel like now I have to change.
The bigger change is presentation, historically, these emails were visually chaotic: sudden colour changes, ALL CAPS, screenshots pasted at random. Classic signs of disordered thinking. Now they’re neat, structured, and grammatically consistent. The delusion hasn't changed, but the formatting has.
November 19, 2025 at 4:56 PM
Relatedly, when someone sends me an email that visually looks like ChatGPT output (certain patterns of bolding, bullet points, etc), I get annoyed that someone's sending me AI slop.
... it's especially annoying when it resembles how I previously wrote emails and feel like now I have to change.
... it's especially annoying when it resembles how I previously wrote emails and feel like now I have to change.
IMO Bush v Gore is the turning point towards more political SCOTUS confirmations.
Before 2000, they were usually nearly unanimous, even for e.g. Scalia and RBG. Since 2000, *always* large opposition.
The idea that SCOTUS might swing a presidential election made the status quo untenable.
Before 2000, they were usually nearly unanimous, even for e.g. Scalia and RBG. Since 2000, *always* large opposition.
The idea that SCOTUS might swing a presidential election made the status quo untenable.
i don't think that bush v. gore is the *worst* ruling in the history of the supreme court, but i do think it is the most openly *corrupt* ruling in its history. a real disgrace.
November 17, 2025 at 5:47 AM
IMO Bush v Gore is the turning point towards more political SCOTUS confirmations.
Before 2000, they were usually nearly unanimous, even for e.g. Scalia and RBG. Since 2000, *always* large opposition.
The idea that SCOTUS might swing a presidential election made the status quo untenable.
Before 2000, they were usually nearly unanimous, even for e.g. Scalia and RBG. Since 2000, *always* large opposition.
The idea that SCOTUS might swing a presidential election made the status quo untenable.