Europe needs *both* a Berlin-centred shield & a distributed national deterrent asap.
Failure to build credible deterrence risks being forced to fight on Russia’s terms - or being coerced & risking our democracies & our freedom.
@glandsbergis.bsky.social
table.media/en/security/...
Europe needs *both* a Berlin-centred shield & a distributed national deterrent asap.
Failure to build credible deterrence risks being forced to fight on Russia’s terms - or being coerced & risking our democracies & our freedom.
@glandsbergis.bsky.social
table.media/en/security/...
Lithuania can’t wait years for heavy platforms. Rapidly fielded mass strike drones & 'deep & cheap' precision weapons would immediately complicate RU planning [if integrated into operational concept & with political will to use them!]
🧵
Lithuania can’t wait years for heavy platforms. Rapidly fielded mass strike drones & 'deep & cheap' precision weapons would immediately complicate RU planning [if integrated into operational concept & with political will to use them!]
🧵
Ukraine has used precision strikes to disrupt Russian forces deep behind the front & hit critical Russian assets. At greater scale, and strategically conducted, such capabilities would be a powerful deterrent.
🧵
Ukraine has used precision strikes to disrupt Russian forces deep behind the front & hit critical Russian assets. At greater scale, and strategically conducted, such capabilities would be a powerful deterrent.
🧵
European states (especially on the flank) need quickly usable, national-level strike capabilities that don’t depend on lengthy NATO deliberation, which can buy time & allow allies to join the fight.
🧵
European states (especially on the flank) need quickly usable, national-level strike capabilities that don’t depend on lengthy NATO deliberation, which can buy time & allow allies to join the fight.
🧵
🇩🇪 Track one: centralised European deterrence
Germany has the economic and industrial weight to anchor European defence, but rearmament timelines are too slow. Rapid procurement & fielding of massed capability is essential.
🧵
🇩🇪 Track one: centralised European deterrence
Germany has the economic and industrial weight to anchor European defence, but rearmament timelines are too slow. Rapid procurement & fielding of massed capability is essential.
🧵
The swift backlash after Salisbury in 2018 contrasts sharply with today’s drawn-out investigations and committees—something the Kremlin clearly notices.
🧵
The swift backlash after Salisbury in 2018 contrasts sharply with today’s drawn-out investigations and committees—something the Kremlin clearly notices.
🧵
📜Europe’s outdated assumption-
For decades, challenging Europe also meant challenging the US. That assumption no longer fully holds, particularly on NATO’s eastern flank.
🧵
📜Europe’s outdated assumption-
For decades, challenging Europe also meant challenging the US. That assumption no longer fully holds, particularly on NATO’s eastern flank.
🧵
Moscow senses the shift, & the weakening of our deterrence, probing NATO airspace, infrastructure, and borders through persistent hybrid attacks without facing serious consequences.
🧵
Moscow senses the shift, & the weakening of our deterrence, probing NATO airspace, infrastructure, and borders through persistent hybrid attacks without facing serious consequences.
🧵
🇺🇸 US shift & a weakening deterrent in the emerging new world order.
Washington no longer treats European defence as a core interest [to put it mildly]. Commitments feel conditional, & deterrence—fundamentally psychological—is eroding.🧵
🇺🇸 US shift & a weakening deterrent in the emerging new world order.
Washington no longer treats European defence as a core interest [to put it mildly]. Commitments feel conditional, & deterrence—fundamentally psychological—is eroding.🧵
Europe’s security situation is changing fast— pretending otherwise is becoming dangerous & GL’s piece is even more pertinent now
🧵
table.media/en/security/...
Europe’s security situation is changing fast— pretending otherwise is becoming dangerous & GL’s piece is even more pertinent now
🧵
table.media/en/security/...
Europe has the tools to take our future in our hands.
Europe has the tools to take our future in our hands.
A powerful reminder from fmr UK CDS Nick Carter in his new @WarOnTheRocks article
Learning from #Ukraine & military history, real change needs integration, vision & realistic experimentation at scale
warontherocks.com/2026/01/a-ne...
A powerful reminder from fmr UK CDS Nick Carter in his new @WarOnTheRocks article
Learning from #Ukraine & military history, real change needs integration, vision & realistic experimentation at scale
warontherocks.com/2026/01/a-ne...
(incl a few evergreen re-reads)
These books materially shaped how I think and work — and several translated directly into real professional impact.
I’ve got a strong list for 2026, but I’m keen to sharpen it:
- what should I be reading next?
(incl a few evergreen re-reads)
These books materially shaped how I think and work — and several translated directly into real professional impact.
I’ve got a strong list for 2026, but I’m keen to sharpen it:
- what should I be reading next?
(incl a few evergreen re-reads)
These books materially shaped how I think and work — and several translated directly into real professional impact.
I’ve got a strong list for 2026, but I’m keen to sharpen it:
- what should I be reading next?
We need to align pol, Econ & mil timelines to transform our forces, fast.
Delayed deterrence is failed deterrence
- & failed deterrence costs so much more.
We need to align pol, Econ & mil timelines to transform our forces, fast.
Delayed deterrence is failed deterrence
- & failed deterrence costs so much more.
A broad ‘whole of society’ vision & strong words on lethality, but as the questions showed, UK need to dispel a perceived ‘say-do gap’.
Building on Atlantic Bastion model to get new capability at speed & scale would do just that.
A broad ‘whole of society’ vision & strong words on lethality, but as the questions showed, UK need to dispel a perceived ‘say-do gap’.
Building on Atlantic Bastion model to get new capability at speed & scale would do just that.
A broad ‘whole of society’ vision & strong words on lethality, but as the questions showed, UK need to dispel a perceived ‘say-do gap’.
Building on Atlantic Bastion model to get new capability at speed & scale would do just that.
After a brief festive pit stop in beautiful #Prague, I’m now back on the road, heading to #London for meetings with experts & a special event.
We have so much to protect - & much to do to protect it, but wherever I’ve been so far we’re stepping up.
Wonderful, short but intense wintry trip to #Ottawa.
Great to check in with
experts, policy shapers & industry players
& feel the energy for defence transformation & building military capability using AI.
Geopolitical winter is coming but we need to be #preparednotscared
Wonderful, short but intense wintry trip to #Ottawa.
Great to check in with
experts, policy shapers & industry players
& feel the energy for defence transformation & building military capability using AI.
Geopolitical winter is coming but we need to be #preparednotscared
⏩🇩🇪🇨🇦🦾
It was an honour to co-lead the session on rising to new security challenges at the excellent German-Canadian AI Symposium in Montreal in the company of political, industry & AI leaders.
Now we all need to deliver.
⏩🇩🇪🇨🇦🦾
It was an honour to co-lead the session on rising to new security challenges at the excellent German-Canadian AI Symposium in Montreal in the company of political, industry & AI leaders.
Now we all need to deliver.
But, it’s already ‘giddy up Jingle Horse’, and on to Montreal via, a lovely dawn, for the AI symposium.
But, it’s already ‘giddy up Jingle Horse’, and on to Montreal via, a lovely dawn, for the AI symposium.
- We need to master current & future shifts or face being mastered by our enemies.
- We need to master current & future shifts or face being mastered by our enemies.