Charlie Golf | Elbows Up! 🍁
@charliegolf.ca
1.9K followers 2.2K following 1.2K posts
Elbows Up! Canada 🍁 is NOT for sale. Residing on Treaty 6 territory. Followed by Star Trek on bird app 🖖. Personal Account.
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A bit about me: I'm a music educator in Alberta. Been doing that for over a decade. I also conduct in a community organization, I'm a tech enthusiast, and I like to know what's going on. I am very much anti-UCP, CPC, GOP, etc.

And I'm pleased to see familiar folks on here already!
Confirmed. Beyond any shadow of a doubt.
Unfortunately, I need to stay vague on this one. But I did prove it 100%.

This is going to be a weird conversation in a week and a half.
This is Calgary-North West, the riding Minister of Indigenous Relations Rajan Sawhney represents in the Legislature. Notice something interesting? She only won by 143 votes.

You don't think the UCP is scared of back-to-work legislation for teachers? Think again.
#ableg #abpoli #cdnpoli #abed
This is Calgary-North, the riding UCP MLA Muhammad Yaseen represents in the Legislature. Notice something interesting? He only won by 129 votes.

You don't think the UCP is scared of back-to-work legislation for teachers? Think again.
#ableg #abpoli #cdnpoli #abed
This is Calgary-East, the riding UCP MLA Peter Singh represents in the Legislature. Notice something interesting? He only won by 698 votes.

You don't think the UCP is scared of back-to-work legislation for teachers? Think again.
#ableg #abpoli #cdnpoli #abed
This is Calgary-Cross, the riding Minister of Justice Mickey Amery represents in the Legislature. Notice something interesting? He only won by 514 votes.

You don't think the UCP is scared of back-to-work legislation for teachers? Think again.
#ableg #abpoli #cdnpoli #abed
This is Calgary-Bow, the riding Education Minister Demetrios Nicolaides represents in the Legislature. Notice something interesting? He only won by 623 votes.

You don't think the UCP is scared of back-to-work legislation for teachers? Think again.
#ableg #abpoli #cdnpoli #abed
Vought knows that the Senate Republicans can change the rules so a simple majority of 51 can reopen government but he thinks you're too stupid to understand that.

Republicans don't need one single Democrat vote to reopen government. They have 53 senators in the chamber. You do the math. 🤷‍♂️
Danielle Smith really, really doesn't want to table back-to-work legislation for teachers. She knows that will deal a big blow to UCP support in Calgary.

She knows it's a card they can't afford to play. Watch her presser. You can see it.
#ableg #abpoli #cdnpoli #abed
"I call on union leaders to make the right decision..." - Nicolaides

But they are making the right decision in following the directive of the membership they are ultimately accountable to. That's how this works. You attack them, you attack all of us.
#ableg #abpoli #abed #cdnpoli
"Union leaders declined our proposal." - Nicolaides

Actually, they declined on our behalf when the UCP said class caps were out of the question - one key issue teachers gave the ATA a mandate to negotiate for in an agreement.

So, teachers declined the proposal.
#ableg #abpoli #cdnpoli #abed
So the entire reason why this offer was likely made: It's now costing them critical votes in Calgary that they desperately need in the next provincial election.
Say what you want about the ethics of the UCP (they have none), but they are amazing at self-preservation. It's the one thing they do well. I bet you this offer was a result of intense pressure internally to get a deal before the Legislature sits.

It's costing them votes in Calgary.
The UCP offering enhanced mediation was the big tell for me, that they want a deal and that they are being pressured from within to get a deal done, probably by those Calgary MLAs who are terrified of what's to come from their constituents if the UCP deals with this through legislation.
It gets us to last-second desperation before the Legislature convenes for a speech from the throne. It gets us to the only possible way out of this dispute which is a negotiated deal with those concessions.

The UCP doesn't want a class cap but they might have no choice to save face.
But the only negotiated deal worth entertaining by teachers is the one with salary increase and class caps. Teachers gave the ATA the mandate to negotiate those on their behalf.

If you take this and overlay that on a hypothetical YYC MLA demand for a negotiated deal, where does that get us?
Look at all those Calgary UCP MLAs who barely won their seats for example. They understand self-preservation and I bet you they've made it clear that a negotiated deal is the only deal they will tolerate.

They won't hesitate to challenge Dani's leadership if push comes to shove.
The request from the UCP to the ATA asking for them to go into enhanced mediation in exchange for the strike ending on the 20th was a huuuuge tell, despite making it clear that class caps were not a topic the UCP was willing to entertain.

It tells me that cracks are forming in the UCP ranks.
🧵I think the UCP is getting desperate and seriously want a proper deal with teachers before the Legislature convenes at the end of the month.

Problem is, the only deal now that will satisfy public education stakeholders is the expensive one that involves class caps.

#ableg #abpoli #cdnpoli #abed
This was what the ATA tabled the other day. I made sure this is freely available to the public on the ATA website before linking it.
teachers.ab.ca/sites/defaul...
teachers.ab.ca
Awfully rich of the UCP to say that class caps are not a topic they will entertain in negotiations when that's one of the top things they recommend families pay attention to when looking into private school options.

Stop the excuses. Class caps now.
#ableg #abpoli #abed #cdnpoli #FiretheUCP
Apparently any conversation around class caps are deemed unacceptable by the government, according to the ATA.

ATA believes these are unacceptable terms because teachers have given the ATA a mandate to fight for class caps.
Interesting. Government wants teachers back to work Monday in exchange for enhanced mediation but a class cap would NOT be a possibility.

Government is getting desperate. That's a tell. Teachers can make class caps happen.

Stop the excuses, UCP.
#ableg #abpoli #cdnpoli #abed
Understand that Alberta teachers wouldn't need to ask for the extra $2B over the course of the contract if it hadn't have been stripped out of public schools and funneled into private/charter schools.

Sounds like a Danielle Smith problem.

#ableg #abpoli #cdnpoli #abed #FiretheUCP