Christian Heinzel
christianh.bsky.social
Christian Heinzel
@christianh.bsky.social
🇪🇺🇩🇪
Quite conservative about the liberal democratic order, rather liberal about everything else

FDGO Stan account

How should I know if my employer shares these opinions, I'm not stupid enough to ask. Yours probably does though.
Norway, famously the European (not EU) country most desperate for foreign oil supplies
First time I’ve seen a post complaining about (((Norwegians)))
December 2, 2025 at 9:55 AM
Very cool that bsky's smartest boys have decided more Fettermans but on purpose is the ideal strategy for the "labor movement" that definitely exists outside the dem party as an electoral force.

A real shame of switching websites is that you can't just search their history of Manchin...
December 1, 2025 at 6:55 AM
Please do not think about the other theory the guy is famous for and how that's going over at DoD right now though.

Genuinely couldn't think of a funnier time to claim a W for Huntington besides maybe between Jan6 and the inauguration.
Amid the liberal internationalist optimism of the late 1990s, Samuel Huntington foresaw a world marked by continued conflict.
Samuel Huntington Is Getting His Revenge
The idea of a global “clash of civilizations” wasn’t wrong—it was just premature.
foreignpolicy.com
November 30, 2025 at 1:29 PM
Now I get why they insisted on non-exclusive membership...
In ten years there will be 12 Your Parties
November 30, 2025 at 1:25 PM
This is probably going to have to wait until next autumn at this rate, but I do think there is a case to be made that if you are interested in "incentive compatible" EU joint R&D and procurement mechanisms, not adding another large player with a severe budget constraint and a broad DIB is good.
Can’t decide who this is worse for, the EU or the UK. But the real looser, of course, is European defence. So all of us.

on.ft.com/4pb0xP6
UK talks to join EU defence fund break down
UK talks to join EU defence fund break down
Discussions fail after Britain refuses to pay billions of euros in fees
on.ft.com
November 30, 2025 at 12:34 PM
Fascinating Christmas market experience in the rural palatinate last night:
Elderly Syrian man is operating a stall registered from Damascus selling sweets and carpets, but for the 15 minutes I was around all he would talk about to customers was how amazing the fall of the regime felt to him
November 30, 2025 at 12:25 PM
November 30, 2025 at 11:59 AM
I'm not saying it would be worse than scrolls, but Astrosoft365's warp-based file sharing service also hold the keys to destroying it through editing conflicts and version control issues.
tbqh microsoft excel would save the imperium
November 30, 2025 at 9:07 AM
The annual advent season baking marathon is underway, currently it's looking like we'll be hitting 8kg of dough split between 6 different types

(Admittedly like 3.5kg is just mini Stollen)
November 29, 2025 at 12:07 PM
I think I've had an idea how I can turn a mediocre empirical research sketch in a subfield I don't really want to work in into a coherent contribution that would take it into the field I actually want to do my research in.
I'm mildly horrified by the prospect of having found "a thing" here.
November 20, 2025 at 9:17 PM
Tbf the former describes a majority of French politicians throughout history as best I can tell
France is making a hard choice between "sociopath in questionable relationship" and "literal fascists" for the, oh, third time in a row.
November 19, 2025 at 4:10 PM
presumably this is the face he also made whenever he remembered his underage son was about to be sent the precise porn he just watched
i went and got the most obviously scared shitless screengrab. he looks slightly more terrified before this but it's got motion blur, this is the first frame of his whole face after he learns that isn't blurred

he looks

u n h a p p y
November 19, 2025 at 12:53 PM
Reposted by Christian Heinzel
Okay, so maybe I wasn't too mean to him ...
November 12, 2025 at 5:11 PM
Reposted by Christian Heinzel
Vindication for the 33% of haters
November 16, 2025 at 1:24 PM
honestly 10/10 content, literally every section of this chapter is in direct conflict with the one above it and like half of the rest
November 14, 2025 at 12:19 PM
Reposted by Christian Heinzel
Do better. There’s no excuse to he homophonic in 2025
November 14, 2025 at 11:35 AM
I always thought the greatest strength of the Westminster system was that a parliamentary majority could actually pretty unilaterally decide to break some eggs to implement a far more abitious program than in consensus-driven legislative processes.
You don't have immediate upcoming elections!
Too much analysis was still treating breaking the tax pledge as “just another unpopular decision” rather than recognising consequence of breaking a promise which defined an election for the public. If is correct the govt won’t now break it they may have avoided a deeply scarring loss of public trust
November 14, 2025 at 10:40 AM
I actually hate how much more open and confident I get around strangers when I'm
i) wearing a suit
ii) speaking in English rather than German
This sort of has implications for where I should be taking my life in the longer run that I'm not sure I'm quite happy with.
November 13, 2025 at 8:39 AM
@sharonk.bsky.social 's poasts about it made me pick up Kilcullen's The Dragons and the Snakes and the HTS section in chapter 3 is quite fascinating, noting a slim chance that as an Emirate of Idlib it may evolve into a regular State among States. Solid call for 2019, yet still short of reality.
November 10, 2025 at 6:39 AM
I was aware there is a decent body of applied micro literature on football, but what mad macro scientist managed to justify the use of vector autoregressive models for it?
As bad as the officiating was yesterday, just think that the “conversation about VAR in women’s football” needs to start with “it has drained some of the joy out of being in the stadium in men’s football”.
Arsenal, Chelsea and a key title battle? No, again, we need to talk about VAR
www.nytimes.com
November 9, 2025 at 12:35 PM
Presumably the next scoop is going to be about him having dinner with IRS agents or providing constituent services on saturdays
Axios tried to bust James Talarico for following adult content creators on Instagram and I'm genuinely impressed by his campaign's response
November 9, 2025 at 11:39 AM
Wadephul is fascinating, because he's the first CDU FM since the 60s as well as the first person in ages to get the job not because they're a party leader/grandee but because he's a FP guy.
And turns out the (CDU) political class absolutely despises FP based on anything but purely domestic concerns.
The center-right governing party CDU is currently fighting with each other, a large segment wants the Foreign Minister of its own party to resign. His crime: while in Syria he said that the conditions there make a return of people to Syria less likely.
Pressure builds on German Foreign Minister Wadephul – DW – 11/06/2025
Johann Wadephul has cast doubt on the feasibility of deporting Syrian refugees, a stance that is isolating him within his party. Chancellor Friedrich Merz has taken a different position.
www.dw.com
November 8, 2025 at 11:48 AM
I've got a wool sweater from the 80s that I inherited from my grandpa that is my single favourite piece of clothing and I just found out the company not only still exists but is still 100% made in Austria and still has the same kind of designs.
Thoughts and prayers for my wallet.
November 8, 2025 at 9:08 AM
Very fun family dynamic where for years I have told my mother to her vocal disapproval that I don't want to end up working like her, only for her to now tell me I should stop taking a direction where I'm effectively working like her.
November 6, 2025 at 11:46 AM
Who do they think they are, the Argentine government?
*OpenAI Would Like Federal Backstop For Data Center Investments, CFO Says -- WSJ
November 5, 2025 at 9:21 PM