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COUPSURE
@coupsure.bsky.social
Open source and geospatial data | @GeoConfirmed | Worked with @Cen4infoRes & @lemondefr
The loss of Khmeimim Air Base would have profound operational consequences. This strategic hub is essential for sustaining Russia’s power projection across the M-E, Africa, and South and Central America. Its loss would disrupt the logistics supporting military aircraft transiting to these regions.
December 6, 2024 at 8:59 PM
Great thread.
With Russia's budget deficit at 3.3 trillion rubles, 21% key interest rate and 2-3 million job vacancies, Russia has to choose between hyperinflation or an economic freeze, says Vladimir Milov, former Deputy Minister of Energy in an interview with Frontelligence Insight

🧵Thread:
December 3, 2024 at 6:56 PM
Reposted by COUPSURE
It's worth noting Russia has a tendency to lie about chemical attacks in Syria just to set mood music, rather than pre-empt specific incidents www.bellingcat.com/news/mena/20...
December 3, 2024 at 6:43 AM
Wonder what impact this will have on Russian ops in Africa. Syria is the main stop for all military forces and equipment sent to Africa.
November 30, 2024 at 6:31 PM
There is a saying that people with big cars are try to compensate for something…
November 21, 2024 at 4:17 PM
Reposted by COUPSURE
In other news. Swedish minesweeper M77 has spent a good part of the day doing something close to what I believe is Aurora, a brand new comms cable. Their words: "Super mega fiber cable"

Yi Peng 3 passed that exact spot. Probably worth more investigation. Not sure the cable is even operating yet.
November 20, 2024 at 9:46 PM
Reposted by COUPSURE
I think CN ship Yi Peng 3 is being detained. Suspect in cable incidents.

She slowed down to a crawl in Kattegatt, manouvered to 400 meters inside DK territory. DK navy patrol P525 to her port.

Guess: she is detained, awaiting either DE, FI or SE staff since they are the countries affected.
November 19, 2024 at 6:59 PM
Reposted by COUPSURE
Gallup, the famous analytics firm known for its public opinion polls, recently released a study titled "Half of Ukrainians Want Quick, Negotiated End to War." The data might sound controversial, with many citing the headline without delving deeper into the survey. 🧵Thread:
November 19, 2024 at 5:39 PM
Reposted by COUPSURE
Permission to strike with ATACMS came as timely as it did in October 2023, when the counteroffensive was essentially over.

Don’t expect a major shift on the battlefield, as the nature of the setbacks for a Ukrainian army comes from different issues, especially if it’s limited to a Kursk only
November 17, 2024 at 7:36 PM
Reposted by COUPSURE
Russian missile attacks on Ukraine could continue weekly, with enough missile in stock for 5-8 more strikes of such size, warns expert Oleksandr Musiyenko. According to him, the threat may persist until the inauguration of US President Donald Trump.

www.rbc.ua/rus/news/rak...
Ракет вистачить ще на 5-8 ударів. РФ може атакувати Україну ледь не щотижня, - експерт
Подробиці читайте на сайті
www.rbc.ua
November 17, 2024 at 12:01 PM
Reposted by COUPSURE
Remember Anatoly Chepiga, one of the two church spire enthusiasts involved in the Skripal poisoning?
Agentstvo is reporting that his wife, son, and daughter legally changed their names.

Say hello to the Korulin/Korulinas.

t.me/agentstvonew...
Агентство. Новости
Семья подозреваемого в отравлении Скрипалей сменила фамилию Жена и дочь Анатолия Чепиги, подозреваемого в отравлении Сергея Скрипаля и его дочери Юлии, сменили фамилию. Теперь у всех из них паспорта ...
t.me
November 13, 2024 at 9:21 AM
This was predictable. Seoul must respond immediately, not six months from now. Failing to act will only strengthen Russia-DPRK relations.
Yesterday, North Korea showed off their newly developed drone program which just so happen to exactly mimic Iranian 'Qasef-2' and Russian 'Lancet' drones. Who could have guessed that this would happen?
November 15, 2024 at 9:08 PM
Reposted by COUPSURE
I have begun to assemble a list of high quality OSINT accounts from Twitter that have migrated or added a presence here. The list will grow as I find the rest.

Give them a follow here:
go.bsky.app/NX7M9nT
November 15, 2024 at 6:35 PM
Reposted by COUPSURE
GeoConfirmed announcement.

We will ramp up our efforts on Blue Sky.

Our lead admin 👇 explains how to tag us in geolocations.

Our biggest problem is still the amount of text you can use on BlueSky, but we will see what we can do to work around that problem.
How to submit your geolocation 2/7

2.) Tag @geoconfirmed.bsky.social in the geolocation post that contains the coordinates.
3.) Prove your claim: People need to be convinced without opening a map app.
November 13, 2024 at 2:02 PM
Reposted by COUPSURE
Family of Russian spy reportedly changed surname after Bellingcat exposed husband’s true identity
meduza.io/en/news/2024...
Family of Russian spy reportedly changed surname after Bellingcat exposed husband’s true identity — Meduza
The family of one of the Russian secret agents suspected of poisoning Sergei Skripal and his daughter with Novichok in March 2018 (and accidentally killing Dawn Sturgess three months later) has change...
meduza.io
November 13, 2024 at 6:51 AM
Reposted by COUPSURE
The number of 'Shahed' drones Russia have launched towards Ukraine in recent weeks is staggering. Throughout November so far, the Ukrainian AF has reported more than 1,100 Shahed launches. This is more than any single month this year with the exception of September and October.
November 13, 2024 at 3:12 PM
It’s nice to see talented people moving from Twitter to BlueSky :) I’m might post from time to time again.
November 13, 2024 at 1:47 PM
You don’t see this everyday
You don’t see this everyday
You don’t see this everyday https://pbs.twimg.com/media/F4WkRYIWsAAcKBM?format=jpg&name=orig
twitter.com
August 27, 2023 at 1:38 PM
I can’t believe Utkin and Prigozhin were stupid enough to get in the same plane…
I can’t believe Utkin and Prigozhin were stupid enough to get in the same plane…
I can’t believe Utkin and Prigozhin were stupid enough to get in the same plane…
twitter.com
August 27, 2023 at 1:38 PM
Re AD in Toula Oblast as well. Moscow Vnukovo airspace is closed.
Re AD in Toula Oblast as well. Moscow Vnukovo airspace is closed.
Re AD in Toula Oblast as well. Moscow Vnukovo airspace is closed. https://video.twimg.com/amplify_video/1694841885007740928/vid/720x848/v_-OQKHc7Td3j1J2.mp4?tag=14
twitter.com
August 27, 2023 at 1:38 PM
З національним святом, друзі-українці. Перемога буде за вами!
З національним святом, друзі-українці. Перемога буде за вами!
З національним святом, друзі-українці. Перемога буде за вами! https://pbs.twimg.com/media/F4SeYnyWEAALUQC?format=jpg&name=orig
twitter.com
August 27, 2023 at 1:38 PM
Re @JimmySecUK Exactly 👌🏻
Re @JimmySecUK Exactly 👌🏻
Re @JimmySecUK Exactly 👌🏻
twitter.com
August 27, 2023 at 1:38 PM