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Crisis Group
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We're an independent, non-profit, non-governmental organisation, committed to preventing and resolving deadly conflict.
NEW UPDATE | On Our Radar

🇺🇳 UN Security Council approves a resolution to end the war in Gaza

🇺🇸🇻🇪 Washington sends mixed signals regarding the U.S. naval buildup near Venezuela

🇺🇸🇺🇦 Trump exerts pressure on Ukraine to sign a peace deal with Russia

www.crisisgroup.org/global/our-r...
November 24, 2025 at 10:26 AM
Reposted by Crisis Group
There is no public evidence to support the claim that Mr. Maduro is the head of a military-run drug cartel, but it contains enough half-truths to make it politically useful.

@philgunson.bsky.social @crisisgroup.org

www.nytimes.com/2025/11/21/o...
Opinion | I’m in Venezuela. This Is the True Cost of Trump’s Gunboat Diplomacy.
www.nytimes.com
November 21, 2025 at 4:16 PM
✍️ “Venezuela cannot be promptly transformed into a free country. Washington’s attempt at a shortcut could leave the nation even worse off than it is today.”

@philgunson.bsky.social for @foreignaffairs.com.

www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
The Peril of Ousting Maduro
Only a gradual transition—not regime change by corce—can restore Venezuela’s democracy.
www.foreignaffairs.com
November 21, 2025 at 5:55 PM
✍️ “The gunboat diplomacy the Trump administration may have hoped would be a shortcut to bloodless regime change in Venezuela does not appear to be working.”

@philgunson.bsky.social for @nytimes.com.

www.nytimes.com/2025/11/21/o...
Opinion | I’m in Venezuela. This Is the True Cost of Trump’s Gunboat Diplomacy.
www.nytimes.com
November 21, 2025 at 5:49 PM
We’re delighted to announce the appointment of Bert Koenders to its Board of Directors.

“Bert brings an impressive breadth of experience and expertise, making him both a wonderful sounding board and a great advocate for our mission.” @comfortero.crisisgroup.org

www.crisisgroup.org/who-we-are/c...
Bert Koenders Appointed to Crisis Group’s Board of Directors | International Crisis Group
www.crisisgroup.org
November 21, 2025 at 10:11 AM
📅 ONLINE EVENT | Violence and Organised Crime in Ecuador

🕐 2 December | 10am Quito | 10am New York | 4pm Brussels

w/ @glaeldys.bsky.social, Karol Norona, Guido Núñez and @renatasegura.bsky.social.

Registration ⬇️

us06web.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
November 21, 2025 at 10:00 AM
NEW COMMENTARY | South Africa’s G20 Juggling Act

The G20 summit had been billed as an opportunity to showcase South Africa’s claims to be a continental leader. Blistering U.S. criticism and geopolitical divisions have made for a diplomatic predicament.

www.crisisgroup.org/africa/south...
South Africa’s G20 Juggling Act | International Crisis Group
The G20 summit in South Africa had been billed as an opportunity for the country to showcase its claim to be a continental leader. But blistering U.S. criticism of Pretoria and geopolitical divisions ...
www.crisisgroup.org
November 20, 2025 at 4:55 PM
NEW REPORT | Central African Republic: Reining in the Zandé Militia

The integration of Zandé militiamen into the army has exacerbated instability. To ease tensions, Bangui should launch an intercommunal dialogue and negotiate with the militia.

www.crisisgroup.org/africa/centr...
November 20, 2025 at 3:36 PM
Reposted by Crisis Group
Brings back memories of visiting mass graves and forensic labs in Bosnia.

A grim and complicated task ahead.

www.wsj.com/world/middle...
Bodies Keep Turning Up in Syria, Haunting New Leaders
In the months after the fall of the Assad regime, Syrians have continued to discover large-scale burial sites, sometimes by chance.
www.wsj.com
November 19, 2025 at 12:57 PM
NEW ANALYST’S NOTEBOOK | Despite Death Sentence, Sheikh Hasina Casts Long Shadow Over Bangladesh

@tdkean describes the potential fallout from this week’s in absentia conviction of Bangladesh’s former Prime Minister.
www.crisisgroup.org/asia-pacific...
Despite Death Sentence, Sheikh Hasina Casts Long Shadow over Bangladesh | International Crisis Group
Crisis Group expert Thomas Kean describes the potential fallout from this week’s in absentia conviction of Bangladesh’s former Prime Minister
www.crisisgroup.org
November 19, 2025 at 3:16 PM
🎧 NEW EPISODE | The Horn

This week, our experts unpack the large-scale atrocities that followed the RSF’s capture of Darfur’s El Fasher.

www.crisisgroup.org/africa/sudan...
The El Fasher Atrocities | International Crisis Group
This week on The Horn, Alan speaks with Julia Steers, investigations editor at Lighthouse Reports, about the large-scale atrocities that followed the RSF’s capture of Darfur’s El Fasher.
www.crisisgroup.org
November 19, 2025 at 10:54 AM
Reposted by Crisis Group
Ecuador votó hoy, entre otras cosas, para decidir si autoriza instalar bases militares extranjeras y la convocatoria a una Asamblea Constituyente.

A espera de los resultados oficiales, no se pierdan esta columna de @glaeldys.bsky.social en el @nytimes.com sobre el contexto en el que se vota 👇🏽
Opinion | Ecuador’s Iron Fist Is Failing. U.S. Troops Won’t Help.
www.nytimes.com
November 16, 2025 at 11:05 PM
Reposted by Crisis Group
When Trump admin first took the unprecedented step of designating cartels & gangs as FTOs I wrote about how it was paving the way for military action.

At the time, it looked like Mexico would be the location.

Instead it was at sea.

And now possibly Venezuela.

www.justsecurity.org/107850/us-mi...
U.S. Military Action in Mexico: Almost Certainly Illegal, Definitely Counterproductive
U.S. military action in Mexico would not only be illegal, it would sabotage Trump’s stated immigration policy priorities and could lead to retaliation against Americans.
www.justsecurity.org
November 17, 2025 at 12:59 AM
“Ecuador’s iron fist is failing. U.S. troops won’t help.”

No amount of firepower, either domestic or foreign, will prevent Ecuador’s armed groups from expanding their reach, writes @glaeldys.bsky.social.

www.nytimes.com/2025/11/16/o...
Opinion | Ecuador’s Iron Fist Is Failing. U.S. Troops Won’t Help.
www.nytimes.com
November 18, 2025 at 3:27 PM
🎧 NEW EPISODE | Hold Your Fire!

This week, we discuss Syria’s transition after the Assad regime’s fall nearly a year ago, President Ahmed al-Sharaa’s diplomatic successes and challenges at home.

www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
At Home and Away: President Ahmed al-Sharaa’s Year in Power in Syria | International Crisis Group
This week on Hold Your Fire!, Richard speaks with Crisis Group expert Dareen Khalifa about Syria’s transition after the Assad regime’s fall nearly a year ago, President Ahmed al-Sharaa’s diplomatic su...
www.crisisgroup.org
November 17, 2025 at 10:41 AM
NEW UPDATE | On Our Radar

🇵🇰 Suicide bombing rocks Pakistan’s capital, Islamabad

🇹🇭🇰🇭 Thailand suspends implementation of a peace agreement with Cambodia

🇻🇪 Venezuela announces mobilisation of armed forces in response to Washington’s military build-up

www.crisisgroup.org/global/our-r...
November 17, 2025 at 9:30 AM
Reposted by Crisis Group
From our recent @crisisgroup.org statement on the risks of regime change in Venezuela.

www.crisisgroup.org/latin-americ...
November 16, 2025 at 10:55 PM
Reposted by Crisis Group
Indispensable read today from my @crisisgroup.org colleague @glaeldys.bsky.social on #Ecuador, where a hard-handed approach against criminal gangs has fragmented and exacerbated violence.

As Ecuador votes in a critical referendum, don't miss this important read 👇

www.nytimes.com/2025/11/16/o...
Opinion | Ecuador’s Iron Fist Is Failing. U.S. Troops Won’t Help.
www.nytimes.com
November 16, 2025 at 4:15 PM
Reposted by Crisis Group
Ecuador has turned to the military to rein in a wave of crime, but is still struggling to contain soaring violence.

In my @nytimes.com piece, I explain why militarization has fallen short and argue it cannot succeed without tackling the drivers of org crime.

www.nytimes.com/2025/11/16/o...
Opinion | Ecuador Can’t Shoot Its Way to Peace
www.nytimes.com
November 16, 2025 at 1:42 PM
Reposted by Crisis Group
The United States has proposed a UN Security Council resolution to back President Donald Trump’s plan for Gaza.

In this Q&A, my colleagues @fortid.crisisgroup.org @richardgowan1.bsky.social and @maxji.bsky.social analyse its contents.

www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
What to Look for as the Gaza Peace Plan Comes to the UN Security Council | International Crisis Group
The United States has proposed a UN Security Council resolution to back President Donald Trump’s plan for Gaza. In this Q&A, Crisis Group experts Daniel Forti, Richard Gowan and Max Rodenbeck analyse ...
www.crisisgroup.org
November 15, 2025 at 1:20 PM
Reposted by Crisis Group
Ecuador is usually considered an oasis of calm as its South American neighbours descend into drug-related crime and conflict. No longer. Today, the country is the continent’s most violent nation.

Why is President Daniel Noboa’s iron-fist approach failing?

📖 www.crisisgroup.org/latin-americ...
November 15, 2025 at 1:18 PM
A rich discussion at Thursday’s event, Peace After Tomorrow: The Future of Conflict Prevention, in Brussels, hosted by @crisisgroup.org.

A strong group of experts and policymakers to talk about big themes: longer, more complex conflicts shaped by tech, hybrid threats and proxy actors.
November 14, 2025 at 6:06 PM
Today, Ecuador is South America’s most violent nation.

Our latest report unpacks why the country’s iron-fist approach to criminal groups is failing.

www.crisisgroup.org/latin-americ...
November 14, 2025 at 5:52 PM
NEW STATEMENT | After El Fasher: Ending Sudan’s Atrocious War

The Rapid Support Forces’ murderous rampage in Darfur has brought rare global attention to a disastrous conflict. The U.S. and its Arab allies should step up efforts to halt the carnage.

www.crisisgroup.org/africa/sudan...
After El Fasher: Ending Sudan’s Atrocious War | International Crisis Group
The Rapid Support Forces’ murderous rampage in the North Darfur capital has brought rare global attention to Sudan’s disastrous conflict. The U.S. and its Arab allies should step up efforts to halt th...
www.crisisgroup.org
November 14, 2025 at 4:56 PM