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comfortero.crisisgroup.org
Comfort Ero
@comfortero.crisisgroup.org
President & CEO @crisisgroup
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🔴@crisisgroup.org’s 10 Conflicts to Watch in 2026 is out.

From the battlefields of Ukraine & Sudan, to the crisis in Venezuela, to the tentative ceasefire in Gaza, we lay out the global hotspots to pay attention to this coming year with @foreignpolicy.com ⬇️ 1/3

www.crisisgroup.org/global/10-co...
1/2 In Iran: perhaps the greatest leadership failure of all has been resistance to change at home.

What Iran’s regime is now struggling to contain is the predictable consequence of rejecting major changes in how it runs the country.

www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
Iran in Crisis: Time for a Change from Within | International Crisis Group
Once again, Iran is experiencing nationwide upheaval and, as on past occasions, the state has responded with brute force. This time, however, U.S. threats of military intervention create additional da...
www.crisisgroup.org
January 13, 2026 at 8:13 PM
Voters go to the polls in Uganda on 15 January.

Question: what might these elections portend for Uganda after Museveni departs? The clock is ticking for Uganda’s long-serving leader and many are contemplating the post-Museveni transition that is surely coming.

www.crisisgroup.org/africa/ugand...
Uganda Holds Elections under the Shadow of an Uncertain Future | International Crisis Group
Uganda’s octogenarian president will likely retain power in forthcoming polls. But all eyes are on the succession race to come in a country that is pivotal to stability in its neighbourhood. In this Q...
www.crisisgroup.org
January 12, 2026 at 12:13 PM
Gambia, which brought the case says, it's “about real people, real stories and a real group of human beings – the Rohingya of Myanmar. They have been targeted for destruction. They are farmers, labourers, teachers, mothers, fathers, sons, daughters, grandparents.”
www.theguardian.com/world/2026/j...
‘Big step forward’: Myanmar military faces Rohingya genocide case at UN court
Survivors of violence hope proceedings will bring justice a step closer and set a precedent for future genocide allegations
www.theguardian.com
January 12, 2026 at 11:19 AM
Trump appears focused on forcing Caracas to accept what amounts to neocolonial tutelage & pillage of its oil. But there can’t be resolution of Venezuela’s deep-rooted, long-running conflict w/out comprehensive negotiations & sustained gradual political transition.
www.crisisgroup.org/latin-americ...
January 10, 2026 at 10:40 AM
While Venezuelans live with a deeply uncertain future, the seizure of Maduro caps a year of Trump demonstrating ever more brazenly his belief that Washington must have free rein in the Western Hemisphere.
~ @latam.crisisgroup.org @crisisgroup.org

time.com/7344540/trum...
Trump and the Dangers of Spheres of Influence
"Attempting to reorganize the world around spheres of influence is a recipe for disaster. Trump’s Venezuela intervention has brought us a big step closer," write Comfort Ero and Richard Atwood
time.com
January 9, 2026 at 3:17 PM
“Trump had his own agenda, it was not the same agenda as the opposition leadership. So for many people this is going to mean a great deal of heart searching. They're going to have to acknowledge that Trump really is not working for them, he's working for himself.”
www.crisisgroup.org/united-state...
Special Episode: What Next for Venezuela? | International Crisis Group
In this special episode of Hold Your Fire!, Richard speaks with Crisis Group expert Phil Gunson about the U.S. military operation in Venezuela that led to the capture of President Nicolás Maduro, Pres...
www.crisisgroup.org
January 5, 2026 at 5:22 PM
Reposted by Comfort Ero
Crisis Group's @comfortero.crisisgroup.org has been appointed as a Companion of the Most Distinguished Order of Saint Michael and Saint George.

“It’s a privilege to lead an organisation that continues to serve as an invaluable global public good”.
#NYHonours

www.crisisgroup.org/who-we-are/c...
Crisis Group President and CEO Receives New Year Honour | International Crisis Group
www.crisisgroup.org
December 30, 2025 at 2:42 PM
Reposted by Comfort Ero
Congratulations to @comfortero.crisisgroup.org for her place on the New Years' Honours list in recognition of Comfort’s services to Crisis Response and Conflict Prevention.
December 30, 2025 at 4:13 PM
Reposted by Comfort Ero
NEW MAP ALERT 🗺️

We just shipped a brand-new Mapbox scrolly at @crisisgroup.org — rebuilt from the ground up with full-motion video and interactive maps throughout.

Design: @clairemaevabg.bsky.social
Engineering: me

👉 www.crisisgroup.org/visual-expla...
Here’s why the year ahead looks set to be as bloody as the one ending.

Scroll through our latest visual explainer unpacking the conflicts @crisisgroup.org is watching in 2026. 3/3

www.crisisgroup.org/visual-expla...
December 31, 2025 at 6:20 PM
🔴@crisisgroup.org’s 10 Conflicts to Watch in 2026 is out.

From the battlefields of Ukraine & Sudan, to the crisis in Venezuela, to the tentative ceasefire in Gaza, we lay out the global hotspots to pay attention to this coming year with @foreignpolicy.com ⬇️ 1/3

www.crisisgroup.org/global/10-co...
December 31, 2025 at 4:00 PM
🔥 Prospects for de-escalation between Cambodia and Thailand are bleak.

Both sides call the other the aggressor and claim to be acting in self-defence.

~ @mzwheeler.bsky.social @crisisgroup.org

www.crisisgroup.org/asia-pacific...
Ceasefire Collapses as Heavy Fighting Erupts along Cambodia-Thailand Border | International Crisis Group
Crisis Group expert Matthew Wheeler explains how Cambodia and Thailand returned to hostilities, and why prospects for de-escalation right now look bleak
www.crisisgroup.org
December 11, 2025 at 3:09 PM
A delicate dance taking place among EU members to bypass one of its own in effort “to indefinitely immobilise up to €210bn in Russian sovereign assets” as Trump applies more pressure on Zelenskyy to respond within days on his latest peace proposal.

giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...
EU races to bypass Viktor Orbán on Russian assets before summit
Move to outvote Hungary this week would indefinitely immobilise Moscow’s sovereign assets
giftarticle.ft.com
December 10, 2025 at 8:59 AM
Honouring his predecessor's planned travel, Pope Leo chooses Turkey and Lebanon for first foreign visit and "underscores the message he sent from his very first Sunday address in May when he called for peace."

www.nytimes.com/2025/11/26/w...
Pope Leo Set to Visit Mideast on First Trip as Pontiff
www.nytimes.com
November 26, 2025 at 1:18 PM
There is no public evidence to support the claim that Mr. Maduro is the head of a military-run drug cartel, but it contains enough half-truths to make it politically useful.

@philgunson.bsky.social @crisisgroup.org

www.nytimes.com/2025/11/21/o...
Opinion | I’m in Venezuela. This Is the True Cost of Trump’s Gunboat Diplomacy.
www.nytimes.com
November 21, 2025 at 4:16 PM
Reposted by Comfort Ero
Indispensable read today from my @crisisgroup.org colleague @glaeldys.bsky.social on #Ecuador, where a hard-handed approach against criminal gangs has fragmented and exacerbated violence.

As Ecuador votes in a critical referendum, don't miss this important read 👇

www.nytimes.com/2025/11/16/o...
Opinion | Ecuador’s Iron Fist Is Failing. U.S. Troops Won’t Help.
www.nytimes.com
November 16, 2025 at 4:15 PM
Reposted by Comfort Ero
Protests against U.S. military intervention have popped up across Nigeria following Trump’s recent threat to go “guns-a-blazing” into Africa’s most populous country over false claims of Christian persecution.
Nigeria vs. Trump
How Nigerians are responding to the U.S. president’s threat to attack “guns-a-blazing.”
foreignpolicy.com
November 15, 2025 at 4:30 PM
Reposted by Comfort Ero
Brazil's vice president says his country will push for further tariff relief on Donald Trump's coffee levies.
US Coffee Tariffs Remain Too High, Says Top Supplier Brazil
Brazil will keep pushing to get further tariff relief from the US on coffee exports after US President Donald Trump’s decision to lower levies barely impacted its largest supplier.
bloom.bg
November 15, 2025 at 4:30 PM
The United States has proposed a UN Security Council resolution to back President Donald Trump’s plan for Gaza.

In this Q&A, my colleagues @fortid.crisisgroup.org @richardgowan1.bsky.social and @maxji.bsky.social analyse its contents.

www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
What to Look for as the Gaza Peace Plan Comes to the UN Security Council | International Crisis Group
The United States has proposed a UN Security Council resolution to back President Donald Trump’s plan for Gaza. In this Q&A, Crisis Group experts Daniel Forti, Richard Gowan and Max Rodenbeck analyse ...
www.crisisgroup.org
November 15, 2025 at 1:20 PM
Ecuador is usually considered an oasis of calm as its South American neighbours descend into drug-related crime and conflict. No longer. Today, the country is the continent’s most violent nation.

Why is President Daniel Noboa’s iron-fist approach failing?

📖 www.crisisgroup.org/latin-americ...
November 15, 2025 at 1:18 PM
Ouch: “Trump can threaten Nigeria and refer to it as “that now-disgraced country” because the US no longer needs or wants anything of importance from an old ally that has lost its way … and that can no longer play regional military policeman as it used to do in the 1990s.”

on.ft.com/48aSA6e
Nigeria’s inept diplomacy is to blame for Trump’s military threats
The US can browbeat Africa’s most populous country because it no longer needs or wants anything from its erstwhile ally
on.ft.com
November 13, 2025 at 8:51 AM
Reposted by Comfort Ero
@comfortero.crisisgroup.org @crisisgroup.org talks Trump's campaign in Latam and Mx: “La solución no puede ser permitir nuevamente uso de fuerza excesivo desde el exterior, porque tiene repercusiones, como ya hemos visto en Sinaloa, con fragmentación de las fuerzas del crimen y aumento de violencia”
Comfort Ero, especialista en conflictos: “La solución a los carteles no puede ser un uso excesivo de la fuerza porque tiene repercusiones como la de Sinaloa”
La presidenta de International Crisis Group aborda en una entrevista con EL PAÍS la relación de México con Estados Unidos ante el crimen organizado y los ataques extrajudiciales de Trump a las presunt...
elpais.com
November 8, 2025 at 8:12 PM
Reports that seek to reduce Nigeria’s security situation to a single story of widespread persecution and mass slaughter of Christians, misinterpret the complexity of violence and inter-faith relations in the country.

www.crisisgroup.org/africa/niger...
Why is President Trump Threatening a Humanitarian Intervention in Nigeria? | International Crisis Group
Relations between the U.S. and Nigeria have soured dramatically amid the Trump administration’s allegations that Nigerian Christians are being slaughtered en masse. In this Q&A, Crisis Group expert Nn...
www.crisisgroup.org
November 7, 2025 at 5:33 PM