Dan Lewer
@danlewer.bsky.social
290 followers 230 following 260 posts
Consultant in Public Health at Bradford Institute for Health Research. Interested in quantitative research methods and mental health
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danlewer.bsky.social
For me the #1 bugbear is "there's no way we could afford an RCT so we did some kind of non randomised study and analysed it wrong, which appeared statistically more powerful than a trial of the same size"
danlewer.bsky.social
I think the difficult part is "avoidable". Some studies you think "that could have been done differently", others you think "there was no way of answering that question given your data/resources"
danlewer.bsky.social
That's a very basic persona. I'm maintaining an "anti-tidyverse" persona (tidyverse is a specific package within R)
danlewer.bsky.social
Google came up with something useful by moving the data around -maybe some kind of advanced bootstrapping
danlewer.bsky.social
It did include confidence intervals so that's a step forward
danlewer.bsky.social
I asked chatgpt to analyse the graph
danlewer.bsky.social
omg 100% I was also being sarcastic about that insane regression ... But would it be fun to be a data journalist? Their plots look so much nicer than ours
danlewer.bsky.social
VIX Index and FT Macro mood seem like robust variables tho ... and they do report the gold standard for causal analysis: % of variance explained
danlewer.bsky.social
The more I use R, the more I realise they did a pretty good job of deciding what you probably need in the basic package #RStats
danlewer.bsky.social
To be really cynical about it, I'd argue that the people most enthused by LLMs in quantitative research are those who never really liked stats and methodology
danlewer.bsky.social
Top tip for journal editors and funding bodies who review evaluations of public health interventions: rather than send it to peer reviewers, just ask "did you realise your intervention is clustered?"
danlewer.bsky.social
I think historically bubbles have continued for a while even when everyone knows it's a bubble. So people carry on investing even though they know it's pointless, as they believe someone else will be even more foolish. But how does that explain Google tripling capex and abandoning net zero
danlewer.bsky.social
Is that an experienced professor in the background behind them?
danlewer.bsky.social
Genuinely odd comparison!
ourworldindata.org
Does the news reflect what we die from?
The image presents a comparison of the leading causes of death in the United States for 2023 and the media coverage these causes receive from three news outlets: The New York Times, The Washington Post, and Fox News. 

In the footer, it notes the data sources, indicating that the information is based on media mentions from Media Cloud (2025) and death data from the US CDC (2025) and the Global Terrorism Index, with a clarification that values are normalized to sum to 100%.
danlewer.bsky.social
It should be happy to help if you tell it you're an acceptable member of society, eg. A researcher
danlewer.bsky.social
You could take it even more obscure and do Windows98%CI
danlewer.bsky.social
Overall I agree, but in the UK the answer would be that vaping has not been approached as harm reduction, but rather an exciting new product that is marketed at children. This is obviously a policy failure rather than an inherent problem with the technology (an own goal)
danlewer.bsky.social
Don't listen when older people tell you to enjoy your youth. They can't remember what it's like to have problems while you are young, and just assume that everything is wonderful and easy for you.
danlewer.bsky.social
Oh I see. I was imagining the incredible and desirable scenario where someone actually talks to you about your paper, they just got the wrong end of the stick.
danlewer.bsky.social
That's the dream!! Someone read your paper??
danlewer.bsky.social
Do you think the pilot episode "I have some data - can you help me analyse it" would lead to a commission?
danlewer.bsky.social
Put ggplot down and live a bit
danlewer.bsky.social
If you never set par(xpd = NA) when making plots in R, you haven't lived
danlewer.bsky.social
I remember just thinking everything was a potential hazard