decisiondeskhq.bsky.social
@decisiondeskhq.bsky.social
ICYMI the DDHQ newsletter dug into Trump's redistricting reverse in Indiana. This marked the 1st time in 2025-26 that a GOP-controlled state voted down legislation to redraw a congressional map. Will this spell doom for future redistricting moves? zurl.co/jjSeQ
December 17, 2025 at 8:03 PM
This week's DDHQ newsletter looks at Trump's redistricting reverse in Indiana. This marked the 1st time in the 2026 cycle that a GOP-controlled state voted down legislation to redraw its congressional map. But is it an aberration or a sign of things to come? zurl.co/daoQp
December 15, 2025 at 9:06 PM
Everything is bigger in Texas, including the candidate filing deadline! @geoffreyskelley.com discussed the ins and outs of Texas's big races with @gbirenbaum.bsky.social from @texastribune.org, including what Jasmine Crockett's candidacy means for #TXSen. decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/episode-9-...
Episode 9: The 2026 Texas Two-Step, with Gabby Birenbaum from The Texas Tribune
The Lone Star State's candidate filing deadline didn't disappoint for drama, setting the stage for some very exciting nomination contests and general elections in 2026
decisiondeskhq.substack.com
December 11, 2025 at 10:01 PM
In this week's newsletter, a look at candidates who might get accused of "carpetbagging" by running in states or districts that are mostly or totally new to them. This includes at least 4 former or current House members running in 2026, such as Madison Cawthorn & Chris Collins. zurl.co/J8573
December 8, 2025 at 7:29 PM
In this week's DDHQ Podcast, @geoffreyskelley.com talked Tennessee with @rubashkin.bsky.social from Inside Elections! They dug into the #TN07 special election result — especially the contest's high turnout — and what it may say about next year's midterms. decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/tennessee-...
Episode 8: Talking Tennessee, with Jacob Rubashkin from Inside Elections
Digging into the much-watched special election in Tennessee's 7th District and the broader electoral trends ahead of the 2026 midterms
decisiondeskhq.substack.com
December 4, 2025 at 10:22 PM
DDHQ has a big preview of today's #TN07 special election. The GOP favored to win the Trump +22 district, but limited polling says it's close & both parties' super PACs have spent $$$. A Dem upset would rank among biggest recent special election flips. zurl.co/9KZWR
December 2, 2025 at 4:19 PM
DDHQ has an in-depth preview of the special election for Tennessee's 7th District happening on Tuesday (tomorrow)! The solidly Republican seat looks competitive, so while the GOP is favored to hold onto the seat, a Democratic upset can't be written off. zurl.co/QNK00
December 1, 2025 at 4:35 PM
The holiday season is here, which means 2026 is close at hand. DDHQ put together a 2026 Primary Primer covering next year's primary election calendar, which stretches from March to September. Every state. Every notable race. decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/the-2026-p...
November 25, 2025 at 2:49 PM
Maps & more maps. In this week's episode of the DDHQ Podcast, @geoffreyskelley.com & guest @baseballot.bsky.social toured the states that have redistricted their congressional maps. A big ? is Texas, where a federal judicial panel just blocked the new map. decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/texas-redi...
Episode 7: Redistricting Turbulence in Texas and Elsewhere, with Nathaniel Rakich from Votebeat
An in-depth overview of mid-decade congressional redistricting (so far) and what it could mean for the 2026 midterms
decisiondeskhq.substack.com
November 20, 2025 at 10:52 PM
2025 election review in this week's DDHQ newsletter: How Mamdani won NYC, why California's redistricting measure passed so easily & how swingy Georgia voted über blue for Public Service Commission. decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/new-york-c...
November 17, 2025 at 5:57 PM
Reposted
why polls matter!
Let's talk polling in 2025. Decision Desk HQ's podcast explored why polling is important, what challenges it faces, building polling averages, and what happened in the 2025 polls with @fiftyplusone.news's Mary Radcliffe & @gelliottmorris.com. decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/episode-6-...
November 13, 2025 at 10:33 PM
Let's talk polling in 2025. Decision Desk HQ's podcast explored why polling is important, what challenges it faces, building polling averages, and what happened in the 2025 polls with @fiftyplusone.news's Mary Radcliffe & @gelliottmorris.com. decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/episode-6-...
November 13, 2025 at 10:20 PM
DDHQ's Monday newsletter delved into the results in Virginia and New Jersey with 10 maps, charts & tables. Read it here: decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/virginia-a...
Virginia and New Jersey's elections in 10 charts
A medley of maps, charts, and tables to explore the 2025 election results in Virginia and New Jersey
decisiondeskhq.substack.com
November 11, 2025 at 4:58 PM
DDHQ's newsletter explores Virginia & New Jersey's elections in 10 charts, maps & tables. In both, Democrats won double-digit victories for governor, took/kept control of state government, and won their largest state legislative majorities in recent times. decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/virginia-a...
Virginia and New Jersey's elections in 10 charts
A medley of maps, charts, and tables to explore the 2025 election results in Virginia and New Jersey
zurl.co
November 10, 2025 at 6:15 PM
Our new podcast has the DDHQ team's first reactions to the 2025 election results. It was such a good night for Democrats that Jay Jones, the damaged Dem attorney general nominee in Virginia, won VA by about the same margin as Kamala Harris did in 2024. zurl.co/UWubQ
November 6, 2025 at 3:36 PM
The 2025 election is in the books! In our post-election podcast, the DDHQ team offers its first reactions to the results, including Zohran Mamdani's win in New York, which was driven by unusually large turnout among younger voters. decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/2025-elect...
November 5, 2025 at 10:58 PM
31 states. 20,000+ elections. 2025 may be an "off year" election, but there is A LOT being decided by voters tomorrow. DDHQ's election preview extravaganza dives into the most notable contests across the country.
Election Preview Extravaganza 🗳️
Let's take a look at what's on the ballot this Tuesday!
decisiondeskhq.substack.com
November 3, 2025 at 6:07 PM
The DDHQ Podcast talked #NYCMayor with @michaellangenyc.bsky.social. With Mamdani holding a double-digit lead over Cuomo, the question for Election Day may not so much be who wins or loses, but whether Mamdani can break 50% & win something like a mandate. decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/new-york-c...
October 31, 2025 at 12:03 AM
Dr. Ian Malcolm famously said in Jurassic Park that “life, uh, finds a way.”

Amid the national clash over redrawing congressional maps, Virginia Democrats are trying to prove that “redistricting, uh, finds a way.” DDHQ's newsletter digs into the Virginia situation. zurl.co/51JrN
October 28, 2025 at 2:35 PM
In our weekly Substack newsletter, @geoffreyskelley.com
digs into the sequence of events necessary for Virginia Democrats to redistrict their state's congressional map in time for the 2026 election. It's not impossible, but there are MANY steps. decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/virginia-r...
Redistricting, uh, finds a way
Virginia Democrats conceive a challenging — but not impossible — plan to redistrict the state's congressional map
decisiondeskhq.substack.com
October 27, 2025 at 7:18 PM
Reposted
Abigail Spanberger's #VAGOV campaign says this is what the polling is like in an SMS fundraising message:

This is what @decisiondeskhq.bsky.social says the polling is like:

But fundraising requires a narrative, I guess.
October 25, 2025 at 10:18 PM
This week's DDHQ Podcast features a close look at #NJGov with the great Steve Kornacki. Steve joined
@geoffreyskelley.com for a map-rich discussion of how recent trends could influence the New Jersey race between Mikie Sherrill (D) & Jack Ciattarelli (R).
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/new-jersey...
October 23, 2025 at 7:58 PM
ICYMI DDHQ pubbed a rich #NJGov preview in our Substack newsletter, The Bellwether. A highly-competitive race may depend on how well the GOP can build on Trump's 2024 gains in NJ. zurl.co/nOpE7

You can get our FREE newsletter, podcast & polling memo in your inbox by signing up here: zurl.co/t7aT4
October 21, 2025 at 3:34 PM
We put together some great maps and charts of New Jersey's vote as part of our preview of the 2025 #NJGov race. Check them out here! zurl.co/r9vdM

And you can sign up for our newsletter here: zurl.co/umsE2
Thanks for reading!
October 20, 2025 at 8:25 PM
We're about 2 weeks out from Election Day, so @geoffreyskelley.com has a preview of #NJGov in our newsletter. Mikie Sherrill (D) is favored but Jack Ciattarelli (R) has a path if he can meld his strengths with Trump's 2024 improvement in the Garden State. zurl.co/EkYue
October 20, 2025 at 8:02 PM