Deniz Selman
@denizselman33.bsky.social
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denizselman33.bsky.social
Through six games, the #Eagles are yet to play an above average game by EPA/drive on both sides of the ball, and they have now played a very below average one--against a Giants team which came into this game 28th on offense and 26th on defense by this same metric.
denizselman33.bsky.social
#Eagles Worst EPA/Drive Allowed
2021-2025 (including playoffs)

4.51, ’21 w4 vs KC
3.59, ’23 w13 vs SF
3.54, ’21 w18 vs DAL (w/all backups)
2.54, ’23 w17 vs ARI
2.35, ’22 SB LVII vs KC
2.05, ’21 w9 vs LAC
1.63, ’21 w7 @ LV
1.62, ’25 w6 @ NYG ⬅️ ⬅️ ⬅️
denizselman33.bsky.social
#Eagles game by game advanced team stats.
denizselman33.bsky.social
#Eagles game by game advanced team stats.
denizselman33.bsky.social
#Eagles activation changes from last week
OUT: Landon Dickerson, Grant Calcaterra, Jalen Carter
IN: Drew Kendall, Gabe Hall, Nakobe Dean
denizselman33.bsky.social
Last year, Fangio matched big personnel with base only around 40% of the time after Cooper DeJean became the NCB, but this year that's up to 63% (which is about league average).
denizselman33.bsky.social
With Nabors & Slayton both out, Giants will play a ton of 12 personnel (40% last week even w/Slayton) & a lot of twins (both WRs) to one side of field.
Curious how Fangio matches (base or nickel), especially with (possibly) no Jalen Carter to eat up all those DT snaps.
denizselman33.bsky.social
Game day depth charts and advanced team stats for #Eagles - Giants.
denizselman33.bsky.social
Game day depth charts and advanced team stats for #Eagles - Giants.
denizselman33.bsky.social
Look for a lot of dropbacks that don't result in targets tonight...
#Eagles
denizselman33.bsky.social
No idea what to make of this but FWIW the Giants' offense has benefited a lot from penalties and both the #Eagles' and Giants' defense has been hurt a lot by them.
denizselman33.bsky.social
#Eagles attempts with…
10-15 air yards : 8.6% (29th)
15-20 air yards : 2.9% (32nd)

Everything is either short or deep outside numbers. Jalen had a few turndowns he'd like back last week, but for the most part it's been the design/structure.
denizselman33.bsky.social
#Eagles are 30th in play action rate on all dropbacks, and their only successful under center play action play of the season is still a scramble on the third play of Week 1. Throwing against zone coverage is a lot harder when you're not distorting the zone with a run threat.
denizselman33.bsky.social
Graphs thread going into Week 6!
Short week/game tonight so I'll just post most without commentary....
denizselman33.bsky.social
Swooper! @bowulf.bsky.social & @fduffy.bsky.social closed the gap on the increasingly turkey-poor @ej-smith.bsky.social...a lot to watch for as you follow along tonight.
denizselman33.bsky.social
Well, that was better.
#RedOctober
denizselman33.bsky.social
Games 1 & 2, for reference.
(Feel free to ignore and forget they happened.)
#RedOctober
denizselman33.bsky.social
Advanced team stats for #Eagles - Giants.
denizselman33.bsky.social
Against Denver, #Eagles success rates...
vs. 5+ blitzes w/o dropping DL : 9/13 (69%)
exchange pressures w/dropping DL : 2/10 (20%)
drop-8 coverages (excluding last drive) : 0/3 (0%)
denizselman33.bsky.social
Through 5 games, the #Eagles have faced by far the most 4-man exchange pressures (4-man rush w/a blitzing non-DL and dropping DL) of any offense in the NFL.

4-man exchange rate FACED on dropbacks
1) PHI 20.0%
2) KC 14.4%
3) LV 14.3%
...
NFL avg: 8.1%
source: MatchQuarters
denizselman33.bsky.social
#Eagles continue to struggle against 4-man exchange pressures. On 3rd & 13, Saquon stays in to block rather than release as a checkdown, but it's only a 4-man rush (with an exotic spin to Cover 2 behind it).
Denver hadn't run a single 4-man exchange all year before this game.
denizselman33.bsky.social
A 4-man rush so good we didn't have to blitz!
A fully loaded #Eagles - Giants preview show with @bowulf.bsky.social, @fduffy.bsky.social, and @ej-smith.bsky.social--including Swooper!
(Full episode link below.)