Deniz Selman
@denizselman33.bsky.social
Pinned
Black Friday will feature two 8-3 teams who have combined to play 2 games (out of 22) in which both sides of the ball were clearly above average.
(Average Offensive EPA/drive is +0.02, Defensive is -0.02.)
#Eagles
(Average Offensive EPA/drive is +0.02, Defensive is -0.02.)
#Eagles
November 25, 2025 at 5:21 AM
Black Friday will feature two 8-3 teams who have combined to play 2 games (out of 22) in which both sides of the ball were clearly above average.
(Average Offensive EPA/drive is +0.02, Defensive is -0.02.)
#Eagles
(Average Offensive EPA/drive is +0.02, Defensive is -0.02.)
#Eagles
A film breakdown loaded with grabby grabs of the #Eagles' disaster in Dallas, with the great @fduffy.bsky.social.
** Warning: There will be hitches. **
Full show: www.youtube.com/live/soKlZvZ...
** Warning: There will be hitches. **
Full show: www.youtube.com/live/soKlZvZ...
November 24, 2025 at 9:24 PM
A film breakdown loaded with grabby grabs of the #Eagles' disaster in Dallas, with the great @fduffy.bsky.social.
** Warning: There will be hitches. **
Full show: www.youtube.com/live/soKlZvZ...
** Warning: There will be hitches. **
Full show: www.youtube.com/live/soKlZvZ...
#Eagles offensive consistency metrics
40.2% success% (25th), worst since '05
42.5% pass success (22nd), worst since '20
38.5% rush success (22nd), worst since '14
70.4% series conversion% (24th), worst since '20
33.3% 3 & out rate (32nd), worst of any NFL team since 2014 Raiders
40.2% success% (25th), worst since '05
42.5% pass success (22nd), worst since '20
38.5% rush success (22nd), worst since '14
70.4% series conversion% (24th), worst since '20
33.3% 3 & out rate (32nd), worst of any NFL team since 2014 Raiders
November 24, 2025 at 9:12 PM
#Eagles offensive consistency metrics
40.2% success% (25th), worst since '05
42.5% pass success (22nd), worst since '20
38.5% rush success (22nd), worst since '14
70.4% series conversion% (24th), worst since '20
33.3% 3 & out rate (32nd), worst of any NFL team since 2014 Raiders
40.2% success% (25th), worst since '05
42.5% pass success (22nd), worst since '20
38.5% rush success (22nd), worst since '14
70.4% series conversion% (24th), worst since '20
33.3% 3 & out rate (32nd), worst of any NFL team since 2014 Raiders
#Eagles used some 12 and 13 personnel early on but went back to playing a lot of 11 personnel (finished at 73%) and shotgun (just 5 total snaps under center) in Dallas, after experimenting with heavier personnel and more under center for the past 4 games.
November 24, 2025 at 9:27 AM
#Eagles used some 12 and 13 personnel early on but went back to playing a lot of 11 personnel (finished at 73%) and shotgun (just 5 total snaps under center) in Dallas, after experimenting with heavier personnel and more under center for the past 4 games.
#Eagles linebacker usage at Dallas:
Jihaad Campbell played on only one drive & did not play any edge snaps.
Nickel (50)
42 snaps : Baun & Dean
8 snaps : Baun & Campbell
Base (22)
19 snaps : Baun & Dean
3 snaps : Baun & Campbell
6-2-3 (1) : Baun & Dean
Dime (1) : Baun
Jihaad Campbell played on only one drive & did not play any edge snaps.
Nickel (50)
42 snaps : Baun & Dean
8 snaps : Baun & Campbell
Base (22)
19 snaps : Baun & Dean
3 snaps : Baun & Campbell
6-2-3 (1) : Baun & Dean
Dime (1) : Baun
November 24, 2025 at 9:03 AM
#Eagles linebacker usage at Dallas:
Jihaad Campbell played on only one drive & did not play any edge snaps.
Nickel (50)
42 snaps : Baun & Dean
8 snaps : Baun & Campbell
Base (22)
19 snaps : Baun & Dean
3 snaps : Baun & Campbell
6-2-3 (1) : Baun & Dean
Dime (1) : Baun
Jihaad Campbell played on only one drive & did not play any edge snaps.
Nickel (50)
42 snaps : Baun & Dean
8 snaps : Baun & Campbell
Base (22)
19 snaps : Baun & Dean
3 snaps : Baun & Campbell
6-2-3 (1) : Baun & Dean
Dime (1) : Baun
Howie said he can. Vic downplayed it.
FWIW it was DeJean at safety on those last few kneeldowns and spikes.
If neither Reed nor Mukuba can play, it may have to be:
OCBs : Quinyon & Ringo (or Bennett)
NCB : DeJean
S : Brown & Carter
AndrΓ© Sam is on the PS.
FWIW it was DeJean at safety on those last few kneeldowns and spikes.
If neither Reed nor Mukuba can play, it may have to be:
OCBs : Quinyon & Ringo (or Bennett)
NCB : DeJean
S : Brown & Carter
AndrΓ© Sam is on the PS.
Can Michael Carter play safety?
November 24, 2025 at 1:57 AM
Howie said he can. Vic downplayed it.
FWIW it was DeJean at safety on those last few kneeldowns and spikes.
If neither Reed nor Mukuba can play, it may have to be:
OCBs : Quinyon & Ringo (or Bennett)
NCB : DeJean
S : Brown & Carter
AndrΓ© Sam is on the PS.
FWIW it was DeJean at safety on those last few kneeldowns and spikes.
If neither Reed nor Mukuba can play, it may have to be:
OCBs : Quinyon & Ringo (or Bennett)
NCB : DeJean
S : Brown & Carter
AndrΓ© Sam is on the PS.
Maybe Jalyx Hunt can relive his Cornell days on Friday?
Eagles S Andrew Mukuba is on crutches and wearing a walking boot.
November 24, 2025 at 1:49 AM
Maybe Jalyx Hunt can relive his Cornell days on Friday?
Swooper! @bowulf.bsky.social has drawn even with rookie @ej-smith.bsky.social for the top spot, as @fduffy.bsky.social's sophomore slump and soul searching continues into a wild Week 12 with props galore.
November 23, 2025 at 7:56 AM
Swooper! @bowulf.bsky.social has drawn even with rookie @ej-smith.bsky.social for the top spot, as @fduffy.bsky.social's sophomore slump and soul searching continues into a wild Week 12 with props galore.
ICYMI: A Fun Friday talking about the #Eagles, hitches, and cracks on Dallas week with @bowulf.bsky.social, @ej-smith.bsky.social, and me.
Full show: youtube.com/live/ODfYDtuufβ¦
Full show: youtube.com/live/ODfYDtuufβ¦
November 22, 2025 at 3:59 PM
ICYMI: A Fun Friday talking about the #Eagles, hitches, and cracks on Dallas week with @bowulf.bsky.social, @ej-smith.bsky.social, and me.
Full show: youtube.com/live/ODfYDtuufβ¦
Full show: youtube.com/live/ODfYDtuufβ¦
Game by game EPA/drive for #Eagles and Cowboys.
It will be good on good when Dallas has the ball Sunday.
- Dallas has 8 of the top 11 offensive outings.
- Eagles have 8 of the top 11 defensive outings.
It will be good on good when Dallas has the ball Sunday.
- Dallas has 8 of the top 11 offensive outings.
- Eagles have 8 of the top 11 defensive outings.
November 22, 2025 at 6:46 AM
Game by game EPA/drive for #Eagles and Cowboys.
It will be good on good when Dallas has the ball Sunday.
- Dallas has 8 of the top 11 offensive outings.
- Eagles have 8 of the top 11 defensive outings.
It will be good on good when Dallas has the ball Sunday.
- Dallas has 8 of the top 11 offensive outings.
- Eagles have 8 of the top 11 defensive outings.
#Eagles offense is...
- not consistent like 2024 (suffering most zero or negative yard plays of Sirianni/Hurts era)
- not explosive like 2022 (producing fewest 10+ yard plays of era)
Is it just the tough schedule? We will begin to see in the next few weeks, against bad defenses.
- not consistent like 2024 (suffering most zero or negative yard plays of Sirianni/Hurts era)
- not explosive like 2022 (producing fewest 10+ yard plays of era)
Is it just the tough schedule? We will begin to see in the next few weeks, against bad defenses.
November 20, 2025 at 6:13 PM
#Eagles offense is...
- not consistent like 2024 (suffering most zero or negative yard plays of Sirianni/Hurts era)
- not explosive like 2022 (producing fewest 10+ yard plays of era)
Is it just the tough schedule? We will begin to see in the next few weeks, against bad defenses.
- not consistent like 2024 (suffering most zero or negative yard plays of Sirianni/Hurts era)
- not explosive like 2022 (producing fewest 10+ yard plays of era)
Is it just the tough schedule? We will begin to see in the next few weeks, against bad defenses.
On the topic of crossers vs. hitches...guess which of these red zone plays is the Lions' 4th & goal play and which is the #Eagles 3rd & 8 from the 9...
November 20, 2025 at 7:08 AM
On the topic of crossers vs. hitches...guess which of these red zone plays is the Lions' 4th & goal play and which is the #Eagles 3rd & 8 from the 9...
#Eagles were always likely to regress towards some sort of normalcy by either moving right (fewer 3 & outs) or down (fewer touchdowns) on this graph.
Unfortunately, the movement since the bye has basically just been straight down.
Unfortunately, the movement since the bye has basically just been straight down.
November 19, 2025 at 3:53 PM
#Eagles were always likely to regress towards some sort of normalcy by either moving right (fewer 3 & outs) or down (fewer touchdowns) on this graph.
Unfortunately, the movement since the bye has basically just been straight down.
Unfortunately, the movement since the bye has basically just been straight down.
So Patullo probably wants to block 7 big guys with 7 big guys of his own on runs (now that they are running less zone read to not have to block the 7th guy)...but to me this seemed like yet another example of letting the defense dictate your identity...or lack of one.
(3/3)
(3/3)
November 19, 2025 at 5:15 AM
So Patullo probably wants to block 7 big guys with 7 big guys of his own on runs (now that they are running less zone read to not have to block the 7th guy)...but to me this seemed like yet another example of letting the defense dictate your identity...or lack of one.
(3/3)
(3/3)
Patullo said βwhen people want to play that style of defense there are some things you have to make sure when youβre in 11 personnel that are kind of covered so thereβs some things that you gotta be cautious of, thatβs why sometimes other personnels can benefit youβ
(2/3)
(2/3)
November 19, 2025 at 5:15 AM
Patullo said βwhen people want to play that style of defense there are some things you have to make sure when youβre in 11 personnel that are kind of covered so thereβs some things that you gotta be cautious of, thatβs why sometimes other personnels can benefit youβ
(2/3)
(2/3)
#Eagles used their lowest rate of 11 personnel in the Sirianni era Sunday vs Detroit, continuing a recent trend.
@zberm.bsky.social asked Kevin Patullo what the thinking was behind playing less 11 personnel against the Lions that often stays big (matches 11 w/base defense)....
(1/3)
@zberm.bsky.social asked Kevin Patullo what the thinking was behind playing less 11 personnel against the Lions that often stays big (matches 11 w/base defense)....
(1/3)
November 19, 2025 at 5:15 AM
#Eagles used their lowest rate of 11 personnel in the Sirianni era Sunday vs Detroit, continuing a recent trend.
@zberm.bsky.social asked Kevin Patullo what the thinking was behind playing less 11 personnel against the Lions that often stays big (matches 11 w/base defense)....
(1/3)
@zberm.bsky.social asked Kevin Patullo what the thinking was behind playing less 11 personnel against the Lions that often stays big (matches 11 w/base defense)....
(1/3)
Yes, @fduffy.bsky.social, there is indeed a clean relationship between running lots of hitches and generating YAC...
November 19, 2025 at 3:47 AM
Yes, @fduffy.bsky.social, there is indeed a clean relationship between running lots of hitches and generating YAC...
Highest rate of hitch routes run by all NFL players with 200+ routes run this year (109 players):
1) 34.7% Dallas Goedert (PHI) π¦
2) 29.7% Jahan Dotson (PHI) π¦
3) 29.3% Travis Kelce (KC)
4) 28.8% Zach Ertz (WAS)
5) 28.6% DeVonta Smith (PHI) π¦
.
.
18) 24.0% A.J. Brown (PHI) π¦
1) 34.7% Dallas Goedert (PHI) π¦
2) 29.7% Jahan Dotson (PHI) π¦
3) 29.3% Travis Kelce (KC)
4) 28.8% Zach Ertz (WAS)
5) 28.6% DeVonta Smith (PHI) π¦
.
.
18) 24.0% A.J. Brown (PHI) π¦
November 19, 2025 at 3:33 AM
Highest rate of hitch routes run by all NFL players with 200+ routes run this year (109 players):
1) 34.7% Dallas Goedert (PHI) π¦
2) 29.7% Jahan Dotson (PHI) π¦
3) 29.3% Travis Kelce (KC)
4) 28.8% Zach Ertz (WAS)
5) 28.6% DeVonta Smith (PHI) π¦
.
.
18) 24.0% A.J. Brown (PHI) π¦
1) 34.7% Dallas Goedert (PHI) π¦
2) 29.7% Jahan Dotson (PHI) π¦
3) 29.3% Travis Kelce (KC)
4) 28.8% Zach Ertz (WAS)
5) 28.6% DeVonta Smith (PHI) π¦
.
.
18) 24.0% A.J. Brown (PHI) π¦
EaglesEric on [other site] made an observation about the #Eagles running hitch routes. To follow up:
Eagles are running more hitch routes than any team in the TruMedia database (since 2012).
Here is every team since 2021 with crossers on the other axis (to provide a stylistic contrast to hitches).
Eagles are running more hitch routes than any team in the TruMedia database (since 2012).
Here is every team since 2021 with crossers on the other axis (to provide a stylistic contrast to hitches).
November 19, 2025 at 3:15 AM
EaglesEric on [other site] made an observation about the #Eagles running hitch routes. To follow up:
Eagles are running more hitch routes than any team in the TruMedia database (since 2012).
Here is every team since 2021 with crossers on the other axis (to provide a stylistic contrast to hitches).
Eagles are running more hitch routes than any team in the TruMedia database (since 2012).
Here is every team since 2021 with crossers on the other axis (to provide a stylistic contrast to hitches).
The last two #Eagles offensive performances have reset the boundaries of this graph...in the wrong directions.
Surely it won't get worse?
Surely it won't get worse?
November 19, 2025 at 2:57 AM
The last two #Eagles offensive performances have reset the boundaries of this graph...in the wrong directions.
Surely it won't get worse?
Surely it won't get worse?
#Eagles linebacker usage vs. Detroit
- 2 snaps of base : Baun & Dean LB, Campbell Edge
- 1 snap of dime : Baun only LB
- 56 snaps of nickel (51 normal, 5 w/3 DTs):
38 snaps : Baun & Dean
18 snaps : Baun & Campbell
- 2 snaps of base : Baun & Dean LB, Campbell Edge
- 1 snap of dime : Baun only LB
- 56 snaps of nickel (51 normal, 5 w/3 DTs):
38 snaps : Baun & Dean
18 snaps : Baun & Campbell
November 18, 2025 at 6:44 AM
#Eagles linebacker usage vs. Detroit
- 2 snaps of base : Baun & Dean LB, Campbell Edge
- 1 snap of dime : Baun only LB
- 56 snaps of nickel (51 normal, 5 w/3 DTs):
38 snaps : Baun & Dean
18 snaps : Baun & Campbell
- 2 snaps of base : Baun & Dean LB, Campbell Edge
- 1 snap of dime : Baun only LB
- 56 snaps of nickel (51 normal, 5 w/3 DTs):
38 snaps : Baun & Dean
18 snaps : Baun & Campbell